Manauara vs IndependĂȘncia Prediction

Manauara
1-1
Finished
HT 0-0
IndependĂȘncia
28/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.7 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.61
SignalHIGHModel90%SurpriseMediumGap+16.1%
Manauara Rest
6 days
IndependĂȘncia Rest
6 days

Manauara vs IndependĂȘncia: the result in context

Manauara and IndependĂȘncia drew 1-1 in the Serie D on 28 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 3 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 2 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
67%1.11
X
22%6.75
2
11%18.00
Double Chance
1X
89%1.02
X2
33%5.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%2.37
No
49%1.44
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.68 + 0.75 = 2.43
Over 1.5
65%1.12
Over 2.5
43%1.45
Over 3.5
22%2.15
Under 1.5
35%5.00
Under 2.5
57%2.41
Under 3.5
78%1.61
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

69'Joao Guilherme
87'I. Alves de Macedo(Penalty)

Team Comparison

ManauaraManauara
IndependĂȘnciaIndependĂȘncia
1672Elo Rating 1532
1.17Attack 1.74
2.27Defense 1.74
54%Hit Rate 31%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+140 Elo
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

ManauaraManauara
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
IndependĂȘnciaIndependĂȘncia
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

ManauaraManauara1Wins · 34%
Draws133%
IndependĂȘnciaIndependĂȘncia1Wins · 33%
2.3Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored2 of 3
33%3+ goals1 of 3

Previous meetings

Serie D21/06/2026
IndependĂȘnciaManauara
02
Serie D27/07/2025
IndependĂȘnciaManauara
21
Serie D19/04/2025
ManauaraIndependĂȘncia
11

Recent Form

ManauaraManauara
7W3D0L
21/06/2026
IndependĂȘnciaManauara
02
W
14/06/2026
ManauaraSao Raimundo
10
W
31/05/2026
Monte RoraimaManauara
01
W
24/05/2026
ManauaraManaus FC
11
D
16/05/2026
Nacional AMManauara
01
W
10/05/2026
ManauaraGAS
00
D
05/05/2026
GASManauara
12
W
25/04/2026
ManauaraNacional AM
42
W
19/04/2026
Manaus FCManauara
11
D
11/04/2026
ManauaraMonte Roraima
20
W
IndependĂȘnciaIndependĂȘncia
4W3D3L
21/06/2026
IndependĂȘnciaManauara
02
L
14/06/2026
IndependĂȘnciaGuaporĂ©
22
D
31/05/2026
HumaitĂĄIndependĂȘncia
04
W
24/05/2026
IndependĂȘnciaGalvez
31
W
17/05/2026
IndependĂȘnciaAraguaĂ­na
10
W
09/05/2026
Porto VelhoIndependĂȘncia
21
L
03/05/2026
IndependĂȘnciaPorto Velho
11
D
26/04/2026
AraguaĂ­naIndependĂȘncia
11
D
19/04/2026
GalvezIndependĂȘncia
21
L
12/04/2026
IndependĂȘnciaHumaitĂĄ
30
W

Bracket

Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded

League Table

Serie D 2026

Group 1

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ManauaraManauara1064013:5+822WWDWD
2Nacional AMNacional AM1062215:9+620WDWLW
3Sao RaimundoSao Raimundo1034310:7+313LWDLL
4Monte RoraimaMonte Roraima1024411:14-310LLDWW
5Manaus FCManaus FC102448:13-510LDDWL
6GASGAS101278:17-95WLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1ManauaraManauara1013:522
2Nacional AMNacional AM1015:920
3Sao RaimundoSao Raimundo1010:713
4Monte RoraimaMonte Roraima1011:1410
5Manaus FCManaus FC108:1310
6GASGAS108:175

Group 2

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1GuaporéGuaporé1064019:9+1022DWWDW
2Porto VelhoPorto Velho1053233:9+2418DWDDW
3AraguaĂ­naAraguaĂ­na1053231:9+2218WLDLW
4IndependĂȘnciaIndependĂȘncia1043317:10+715DWWWL
5GalvezGalvez1031614:31-1710LLLWL
6HumaitĂĄHumaitĂĄ1000104:50-460DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1GuaporéGuaporé1019:922
2Porto VelhoPorto Velho1033:918
3AraguaĂ­naAraguaĂ­na1031:918
4IndependĂȘnciaIndependĂȘncia1017:1015
5GalvezGalvez1014:3110
6HumaitĂĄHumaitĂĄ104:500
Promotion

About the Manauara vs IndependĂȘncia forecast

As a knockout tie in the Serie D, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Serie D

More Serie D fixtures and forecasts are on the Serie D Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.