Noroeste vs Portuguesa RJ Prediction

Noroeste
1-3
Finished
HT 0-2
Portuguesa RJ
Estadio Alfredo de Castilho, Bauru 28/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.7 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.23
SignalHIGHModel32%SurpriseHighGap-2.6%
Noroeste Rest
7 days
Portuguesa RJ Rest
7 days

Noroeste vs Portuguesa RJ: the result in context

Portuguesa RJ beat Noroeste 3-1 in the Serie D on 28 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%2.06
X
32%2.98
2
21%3.48
Double Chance
1X
79%1.23
X2
53%1.69
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%2.03
No
49%1.63
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.41 + 0.87 = 2.28
Over 1.5
63%1.45
Over 2.5
37%2.38
Over 3.5
19%4.50
Under 1.5
37%2.45
Under 2.5
63%1.48
Under 3.5
81%1.16
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

35'Matheus Iacovelli
38'Lohan
52'Matheus Iacovelli
74'
78'Marlyson

Team Comparison

NoroesteNoroeste
Portuguesa RJPortuguesa RJ
1503Elo Rating 1525
1.12Attack 0.63
1.75Defense 2.34
14%Hit Rate 19%
-Shots per Game 9.1
-Shots on Target 4.4
-Corners per Game 4.6
-Cards per Game 4.0

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

NoroesteNoroeste
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.4 in second half)
Portuguesa RJPortuguesa RJ
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

NoroesteNoroeste0Wins · 0%
Draws1100%
Portuguesa RJPortuguesa RJ0Wins · 0%
2.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Recent Form

NoroesteNoroeste
4W4D2L
21/06/2026
Portuguesa RJNoroeste
11
D
07/06/2026
NoroesteSampaio Corrêa RJ
10
W
30/05/2026
XV de PiracicabaNoroeste
11
D
23/05/2026
Nova IguaçuNoroeste
10
L
16/05/2026
NoroesteVelo Clube
30
W
09/05/2026
CFRJ / MaricáNoroeste
03
W
02/05/2026
NoroesteCFRJ / Maricá
10
W
25/04/2026
Velo ClubeNoroeste
10
L
18/04/2026
NoroesteNova Iguaçu
11
D
11/04/2026
NoroesteXV de Piracicaba
22
D
Portuguesa RJPortuguesa RJ
3W5D2L
21/06/2026
Portuguesa RJNoroeste
11
D
06/06/2026
PortuguesaPortuguesa RJ
20
L
31/05/2026
Portuguesa RJAmérica RJ
22
D
23/05/2026
MadureiraPortuguesa RJ
11
D
16/05/2026
Pouso AlegrePortuguesa RJ
02
W
10/05/2026
Portuguesa RJÁgua Santa
22
D
02/05/2026
Água SantaPortuguesa RJ
10
L
26/04/2026
Portuguesa RJPouso Alegre
20
W
19/04/2026
Portuguesa RJMadureira
00
D
11/04/2026
América RJPortuguesa RJ
04
W

Bracket

Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded

League Table

Serie D 2026

Group 5

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PortuguesaPortuguesa1063116:6+1021WWWDL
2Água SantaÁgua Santa1052316:8+817LWWDD
3Portuguesa RJPortuguesa RJ1035214:9+514LDDWD
4América RJAmérica RJ1033411:21-1012WDLWL
5MadureiraMadureira1032511:16-511WLDLW
6Pouso AlegrePouso Alegre102176:14-87LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1PortuguesaPortuguesa1016:621
2Água SantaÁgua Santa1016:817
3Portuguesa RJPortuguesa RJ1014:914
4América RJAmérica RJ1011:2112
5MadureiraMadureira1011:1611
6Pouso AlegrePouso Alegre106:147

Group 6

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1XV de PiracicabaXV de Piracicaba1045114:9+517LDDWW
2NoroesteNoroeste1043312:7+515WDLWW
3Velo ClubeVelo Clube1034310:10013WLDLD
4Sampaio Corrêa RJSampaio Corrêa RJ103348:10-212LWDLL
5Nova IguaçuNova Iguaçu103347:10-312WLWWD
6CFRJ / MaricáCFRJ / Maricá103259:14-511LWDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1XV de PiracicabaXV de Piracicaba1014:917
2NoroesteNoroeste1012:715
3Velo ClubeVelo Clube1010:1013
4Sampaio Corrêa RJSampaio Corrêa RJ108:1012
5Nova IguaçuNova Iguaçu107:1012
6CFRJ / MaricáCFRJ / Maricá109:1411
Promotion

About the Noroeste vs Portuguesa RJ forecast

As a knockout tie in the Serie D, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Serie D

More Serie D fixtures and forecasts are on the Serie D Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Noroeste and Portuguesa RJ have met only 1 time recently, with 2.0 goals in that meeting. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.