Sao Jose vs Portuguesa RJ Prediction

Sao Jose
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Portuguesa RJ
Francisco Novelletto Neto, Porto Alegre 04/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.7 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.26
SignalHIGHModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-3.8%
Sao Jose Rest
7 days
Portuguesa RJ Rest
6 days

Sao Jose vs Portuguesa RJ: the result in context

Sao Jose beat Portuguesa RJ 1-0 in the Serie D on 4 Jul 2026. It was in line with recent form: Sao Jose had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Portuguesa RJ.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.33
X
35%2.75
2
25%3.20
Double Chance
1X
75%1.26
X2
59%1.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%2.24
No
62%1.55
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.13 + 0.85 = 1.98
Over 1.5
55%1.58
Over 2.5
30%2.79
Over 3.5
14%5.50
Under 1.5
45%2.19
Under 2.5
70%1.36
Under 3.5
86%1.10
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

10'Fabio Rampi
90+4'

Team Comparison

Sao JoseSao Jose
Portuguesa RJPortuguesa RJ
1507Elo Rating 1525
0.44Attack 0.63
1.64Defense 2.34
0%Hit Rate 19%
-Shots per Game 9.1
-Shots on Target 4.4
-Corners per Game 4.6
-Cards per Game 4.0

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Sao JoseSao Jose
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Portuguesa RJPortuguesa RJ
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time

Recent Form

Sao JoseSao Jose
4W5D1L
27/06/2026
Santa CatarinaSao Jose
2141
W
21/06/2026
Sao JoseSanta Catarina
11
D
07/06/2026
BlumenauSao Jose
01
W
01/06/2026
Sao JoseIndependiente FSJ
10
W
24/05/2026
Sao JoseMarcílio Dias
11
D
17/05/2026
Brasil DE PelotasSao Jose
00
D
10/05/2026
Sao JoseAzuriz
10
W
03/05/2026
AzurizSao Jose
11
D
25/04/2026
Sao JoseBrasil DE Pelotas
00
D
19/04/2026
Marcílio DiasSao Jose
21
L
Portuguesa RJPortuguesa RJ
3W5D2L
28/06/2026
NoroestePortuguesa RJ
13
W
21/06/2026
Portuguesa RJNoroeste
11
D
06/06/2026
PortuguesaPortuguesa RJ
20
L
31/05/2026
Portuguesa RJAmérica RJ
22
D
23/05/2026
MadureiraPortuguesa RJ
11
D
16/05/2026
Pouso AlegrePortuguesa RJ
02
W
10/05/2026
Portuguesa RJÁgua Santa
22
D
02/05/2026
Água SantaPortuguesa RJ
10
L
26/04/2026
Portuguesa RJPouso Alegre
20
W
19/04/2026
Portuguesa RJMadureira
00
D

Bracket

Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded
Sao Jose
Seeded
Goiatuba EC
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
CSA
Seeded

League Table

Serie D 2026

Group 5

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PortuguesaPortuguesa1063116:6+1021WWWDL
2Água SantaÁgua Santa1052316:8+817LWWDD
3Portuguesa RJPortuguesa RJ1035214:9+514LDDWD
4América RJAmérica RJ1033411:21-1012WDLWL
5MadureiraMadureira1032511:16-511WLDLW
6Pouso AlegrePouso Alegre102176:14-87LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1PortuguesaPortuguesa1016:621
2Água SantaÁgua Santa1016:817
3Portuguesa RJPortuguesa RJ1014:914
4América RJAmérica RJ1011:2112
5MadureiraMadureira1011:1611
6Pouso AlegrePouso Alegre106:147

Group 8

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BlumenauBlumenau1061314:8+619LWWLD
2Marcílio DiasMarcílio Dias104429:5+416DLDWW
3Independiente FSJIndependiente FSJ103433:4-113DLDLD
4Sao JoseSao Jose103436:8-213WWDDW
5Brasil DE PelotasBrasil DE Pelotas102449:12-310DLDDL
6AzurizAzuriz102357:11-49DWLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1BlumenauBlumenau1014:819
2Marcílio DiasMarcílio Dias109:516
3Independiente FSJIndependiente FSJ103:413
4Sao JoseSao Jose106:813
5Brasil DE PelotasBrasil DE Pelotas109:1210
6AzurizAzuriz107:119
Promotion

About the Sao Jose vs Portuguesa RJ forecast

As a knockout tie in the Serie D, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Serie D

More Serie D fixtures and forecasts are on the Serie D Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Sao Jose and Portuguesa RJ have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.