Keflavik vs Valur Reykjavik Prediction

Keflavik
1-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Valur Reykjavik

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.36
SignalHIGHModel62%SurpriseMediumGap+1.8%
Keflavik Rest
5 days
Valur Reykjavik Rest
5 days

Keflavik vs Valur Reykjavik: the result in context

Valur Reykjavik beat Keflavik 2-1 in the Úrvalsdeild on 5 Sep 2026. That went against recent form: Keflavik had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Valur Reykjavik.

Their 8 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
57%2.10
X
20%3.90
2
23%2.82
Double Chance
1X
78%1.36
X2
43%1.67
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

20'J. Palsson INI. Stole out
29'S. FridjonssonFoul
36'J. JonssonAssist: D. Gardarson
52'D. GardarsonAssist: T. Haraldsson
64'P. Pedersen INM. Veldman out
64'A. Conteh INM. Mudrazija out
69'M. Mudrazija
79'D. Valsson INM. Simicic out
89'D. Gardarson INO. Omarsson out

Team Comparison

KeflavikKeflavik
Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik
1487Elo Rating 1476
2.20Attack 2.23
0.00Defense 0.00
0%Hit Rate 37%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend63% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

KeflavikKeflavik
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

KeflavikKeflavik1Wins · 13%
Draws450%
Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik3Wins · 37%
2.3Avg Goals
63%Both teams scored5 of 8
50%3+ goals4 of 8

Previous meetings

Úrvalsdeild21/06/2026
Valur ReykjavikKeflavik
11
Cup09/06/2024
KeflavikValur Reykjavik
3232
Úrvalsdeild13/08/2023
KeflavikValur Reykjavik
11
Úrvalsdeild21/05/2023
Valur ReykjavikKeflavik
00
Úrvalsdeild11/07/2022
Valur ReykjavikKeflavik
03
Úrvalsdeild24/04/2022
KeflavikValur Reykjavik
01
Úrvalsdeild15/08/2021
Valur ReykjavikKeflavik
21
Úrvalsdeild24/05/2021
KeflavikValur Reykjavik
12

Recent Form

KeflavikKeflavik
5W1D4L
30/08/2026
FH hafnarfjordurKeflavik
21
L
23/08/2026
KeflavikIBV Vestmannaeyjar
10
W
15/08/2026
Thor AkureyriKeflavik
02
W
09/08/2026
StjarnanKeflavik
10
L
05/08/2026
KeflavikKA Akureyri
30
W
24/07/2026
Vikingur ReykjavikKeflavik
51
L
20/07/2026
KeflavikIA Akranes
52
W
13/07/2026
BreidablikKeflavik
21
L
06/07/2026
KeflavikFram Reykjavik
11
D
28/06/2026
KeflavikKR Reykjavik
32
W
Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik
2W3D5L
30/08/2026
Valur ReykjavikIA Akranes
22
D
23/08/2026
Vikingur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik
20
L
17/08/2026
Valur ReykjavikKA Akureyri
44
D
13/08/2026
FC NordsjaellandValur Reykjavik
50
L
09/08/2026
BreidablikValur Reykjavik
13
W
06/08/2026
Valur ReykjavikFC Nordsjaelland
02
L
03/08/2026
Valur ReykjavikStjarnan
23
L
30/07/2026
ZrinjskiValur Reykjavik
22
D
23/07/2026
Valur ReykjavikZrinjski
10
W
18/07/2026
Valur ReykjavikFram Reykjavik
23
L

League Table

Úrvalsdeild 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vikingur ReykjavikVikingur Reykjavik22165167:21+4653DDWWD
2Fram ReykjavikFram Reykjavik22136356:42+1445DDWWL
3KR ReykjavikKR Reykjavik22135474:49+2544LDWDW
4BreidablikBreidablik2286843:41+230LLLDL
5IA AkranesIA Akranes2286839:41-230WDDWW
6KeflavikKeflavik22841033:38-528LLWWL
7StjarnanStjarnan22841042:50-828DWWLW
8Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik22831139:45-627WDLDW
9FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur2249927:39-1221LWDLW
10Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri22631322:50-2821WWLLL
11KA AkureyriKA Akureyri22551235:48-1320WDLDL
12IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar22461232:45-1318DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Vikingur ReykjavikVikingur Reykjavik2267:2153
2Fram ReykjavikFram Reykjavik2256:4245
3KR ReykjavikKR Reykjavik2274:4944
4BreidablikBreidablik2243:4130
5IA AkranesIA Akranes2239:4130
6KeflavikKeflavik2233:3828
7StjarnanStjarnan2242:5028
8Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik2239:4527
9FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur2227:3921
10Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri2222:5021
11KA AkureyriKA Akureyri2235:4820
12IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar2232:4518
Relegation

About the Keflavik vs Valur Reykjavik forecast

The forecasts for this Úrvalsdeild match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Keflavik and Valur Reykjavik in the Úrvalsdeild table

Keflavik and Valur Reykjavik are close in the Úrvalsdeild table, 6th and 8th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Keflavik 33-38, Valur Reykjavik 39-45. The full standings are on the Úrvalsdeild Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.