KuPS vs Mariehamn Prediction

KuPS
2-4
Finished
HT 1-3
Mariehamn
Vare Areena, Kuopio·Simo Mynttinen, Finland 23/08/2026
KuPSKuPS
2-4
Finished
MariehamnMariehamn

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.38
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseHighGap+5.2%
KuPS Rest
2 days
Mariehamn Rest
7 days

KuPS vs Mariehamn: result, form and history

Mariehamn beat KuPS 4-2 in the Veikkausliiga on 23 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
72%1.25
X
16%5.90
2
12%9.50
Double Chance
1X
88%1.05
X2
28%3.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.77
No
44%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.4 + 1.07 = 3.47
Over 1.5
87%1.11
Over 2.5
72%1.38
Over 3.5
52%2.00
Under 1.5
13%5.90
Under 2.5
28%2.82
Under 3.5
48%1.76
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

3'Taneli Hämäläinen
6'Adam LarssonAssist: Jonathan Svedberg
11'Gustav Engvall
13'Noah Nurmi
14'Jonathan Svedberg
19'Foster Gyamfi
42'Ludvig RichtnérAssist: Jelle van der Heyden
59'Piotr ParzyszekAssist: Clinton Antwi
62'Ludvig RichtnérAssist: Viktor Widlund

Team Comparison

KuPSKuPS
MariehamnMariehamn
1633Elo Rating 1482
1.34Attack 1.00
1.32Defense 1.83
17%Hit Rate 17%
15.7Shots per Game 14.1
6.4Shots on Target 2.5
6.9Corners per Game 5.0
2.2Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+151 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.47 goals
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

KuPSKuPS
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
MariehamnMariehamn
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

KuPSKuPS5Wins · 50%
Draws330%
MariehamnMariehamn2Wins · 20%
2.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Veikkausliiga16/05/2026
MariehamnKuPS
11
Veikkausliiga18/06/2025
MariehamnKuPS
10
Veikkausliiga23/04/2025
KuPSMariehamn
41
Veikkausliiga25/08/2024
KuPSMariehamn
30
Suomen Cup16/06/2024
MariehamnKuPS
13
Veikkausliiga13/04/2024
MariehamnKuPS
22
Suomen Cup05/07/2023
MariehamnKuPS
11
Veikkausliiga27/06/2023
KuPSMariehamn
01
Veikkausliiga30/04/2023
MariehamnKuPS
02
Veikkausliiga14/08/2022
KuPSMariehamn
10

League Table

Veikkausliiga 2026

Veikkausliiga

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1KuPSKuPS22127338:23+1543DDWLL
2Inter TurkuInter Turku22119229:16+1342LWLWD
3HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki22114736:27+937WDWWW
4GnistanGnistan22106636:29+736DLLLD
5AC OuluAC Oulu22104825:25034DWWLW
6VPSVPS2296729:22+733DLLWL
7LahtiLahti2295826:19+732WLDLW
8Turku PSTurku PS2287728:23+531LLLLD
9IlvesIlves22741134:37-325WDWWW
10SJKSJK22471125:33-819LWWDD
11FF JaroFF Jaro22361318:44-2615DWDDL
12MariehamnMariehamn22351417:43-2614DDLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1KuPSKuPS2238:2343
2Inter TurkuInter Turku2229:1642
3HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki2236:2737
4GnistanGnistan2236:2936
5AC OuluAC Oulu2225:2534
6VPSVPS2229:2233
7LahtiLahti2226:1932
8Turku PSTurku PS2228:2331
9IlvesIlves2234:3725
10SJKSJK2225:3319
11FF JaroFF Jaro2218:4415
12MariehamnMariehamn2217:4314

Champion Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki30167759:36+2355WDWWW
2Inter TurkuInter Turku301510537:24+1355LWLWD
3KuPSKuPS301411546:29+1753DDWLL
4AC OuluAC Oulu301351236:37-144DWWLW
5GnistanGnistan301110944:42+243DLLLD
6VPSVPS301171231:34-340DLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki3059:3655
2Inter TurkuInter Turku3037:2455
3KuPSKuPS3046:2953
4AC OuluAC Oulu3036:3744
5GnistanGnistan3044:4243
6VPSVPS3031:3440

Relegration Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1LahtiLahti271161035:26+939WLDLW
2IlvesIlves271151145:39+638WDWWW
3Turku PSTurku PS27881129:33-432LLLLD
4SJKSJK27691229:37-827LWWDD
5FF JaroFF Jaro27491422:49-2721DWDDL
6MariehamnMariehamn27471622:49-2719DDLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1LahtiLahti2735:2639
2IlvesIlves2745:3938
3Turku PSTurku PS2729:3332
4SJKSJK2729:3727
5FF JaroFF Jaro2722:4921
6MariehamnMariehamn2722:4919
Relegation

About the KuPS vs Mariehamn forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

KuPS and Mariehamn in the Veikkausliiga table

The table shows a wide gap: KuPS are 1st in the Veikkausliiga, while Mariehamn sit 12th, 29 points behind. League goal record so far: KuPS 38-23, Mariehamn 17-43. The full standings are on the Veikkausliiga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.