Ilves vs VPS Prediction

Ilves
0-1
Finished
HT 0-1
VPS
Tammela Stadium, Tampere·Matti Roth, Finland 22/08/2026
IlvesIlves
0-1
Finished
VPSVPS

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.40
SignalSOLIDModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-2.8%
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.50
SignalGOODModel40%SurpriseMediumGap+7.0%
Ilves Rest
4 days
VPS Rest
7 days

Ilves vs VPS: result, form and history

VPS beat Ilves 1-0 in the Veikkausliiga on 22 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Ilves have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.0 goals a game. VPS tend to win more corners, 4.2 a game to 2.0 for Ilves.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%2.22
X
24%3.52
2
29%2.88
Double Chance
1X
71%1.40
X2
53%1.60
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.50
No
43%2.40
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.63 + 1.19 = 2.82
Over 1.5
77%1.17
Over 2.5
54%1.60
Over 3.5
32%2.45
Under 1.5
23%4.45
Under 2.5
46%2.27
Under 3.5
68%1.50
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

9'S. LindholmAssist: K. Kouassivi-Benissan
38'J. KangaDiving
46'L. Ala-Myllymaki INM. Stjopin out
46'J. Kilo INJ. Veteli out
67'O. PetterssonFoul
69'Y. DaoussiFoul
71'A. Raisanen IND. Terrnava out
76'A. Popovitch INE. Tamminen out
76'G. Bamba INS. Baranov out
81'T. Miettunen INH. Coulibaly out
81'Y. Daoussi INR. Simpson out
81'S. Lindholm INC. Holmelund out
90'P. LimaFoul

Lineups

Ilves
3-4-2-1Coach: Camilo Speranza
VPS
3-4-2-1Coach: Jussi Nuorela
Faris Krkalić12F. Krkalić
Oliver Pettersson4O. Pettersson
Tatu Miettunen16T. Miettunen
Matias Rale3M. Rale
Abdoul Goudouss Bamba19A. Goudouss Bamba
Lauri Ala-Myllymäki15L. Ala-Myllymäki
Anton Popovitch14A. Popovitch
Kalle Wallius13K. Wallius
Jardell Kanga30J. Kanga
Jesse Kilo28J. Kilo
Teemu Hytönen9T. Hytönen
Mamadou Jalloh41M. Jalloh
Miika Niemi23M. Niemi
Lassana Mané2L. Mané
Martti Haukioja19M. Haukioja
Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi13O. Ogunniyi
Antti-Ville Räisänen34A. Räisänen
Paulo Lima8P. Lima
Jayden Turfkruier7J. Turfkruier
Yassin Daoussi24Y. Daoussi
Kevin Kouassivi-Benissan27K. Kouassivi-Benissan
Simon Lindholm14S. Lindholm

Ilves Substitutes

7Joona Veteli46'for J. Kilo
8Maksim Stjopin46'for L. Ala-Myllymaki
17Stanislav Baranov76'for G. Bamba
45Elias Tamminen76'for A. Popovitch
11Hamidou Coulibaly81'for T. Miettunen
1Otso Virtanen
6Yiandro Raap
24Ville Kumpu
33Yacouba Sacko

VPS Substitutes

17Dren Terrnava71'for A. Raisanen
20Xavier Odhiambo
3Razak Simpson81'for Y. Daoussi
9Casper Holmelund81'for S. Lindholm
12Lucas Väyrynen
21Arnold Adu-Boahen
25Henri Salomaa
30Joonas Vahtera
29Wilson Samaké

Team Comparison

IlvesIlves
VPSVPS
1657Elo Rating 1572
2.13Attack 0.19
2.61Defense 1.00
77%Hit Rate 19%
12.1Shots per Game 9.0
4.6Shots on Target 1.3
2.0Corners per Game 4.2
1.6Cards per Game 2.7

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.82 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

IlvesIlves
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
VPSVPS
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

IlvesIlves6Wins · 60%
Draws110%
VPSVPS3Wins · 30%
3.0Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Veikkausliiga24/04/2026
VPSIlves
32
League Cup07/02/2026
VPSIlves
12
Veikkausliiga14/07/2025
IlvesVPS
32
Veikkausliiga02/05/2025
VPSIlves
10
League Cup15/02/2025
IlvesVPS
10
Veikkausliiga04/10/2024
VPSIlves
02
Veikkausliiga21/07/2024
IlvesVPS
32
Veikkausliiga07/06/2024
VPSIlves
11
League Cup03/02/2024
IlvesVPS
31
Veikkausliiga28/07/2023
IlvesVPS
02

Referee Profile

Matti Roth133 matches

3.90Cards per match
3.70Yellow cards per match
0.20Red cards per match
20.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Matti Roth3.90
Other referees3.53

3.90 cards a match, 0.37 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.53).

Cards come from 10 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Veikkausliiga 2026

Veikkausliiga

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1KuPSKuPS22127338:23+1543DWLLW
2Inter TurkuInter Turku22119229:16+1342WLWDW
3HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki22114736:27+937DWWWD
4GnistanGnistan22106636:29+736LLLDD
5AC OuluAC Oulu22104825:25034DWWLW
6VPSVPS2296729:22+733DLLWL
7LahtiLahti2295826:19+732WLDLW
8Turku PSTurku PS2287728:23+531LLLLD
9IlvesIlves22741134:37-325WDWWW
10SJKSJK22471125:33-819LWWDD
11FF JaroFF Jaro22361318:44-2615DWDDL
12MariehamnMariehamn22351417:43-2614DDLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1KuPSKuPS2238:2343
2Inter TurkuInter Turku2229:1642
3HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki2236:2737
4GnistanGnistan2236:2936
5AC OuluAC Oulu2225:2534
6VPSVPS2229:2233
7LahtiLahti2226:1932
8Turku PSTurku PS2228:2331
9IlvesIlves2234:3725
10SJKSJK2225:3319
11FF JaroFF Jaro2218:4415
12MariehamnMariehamn2217:4314

Champion Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Inter TurkuInter Turku291510435:20+1555WLWDW
2HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki29157755:34+2152DWWWD
3KuPSKuPS291410545:28+1752DWLLW
4AC OuluAC Oulu301351236:37-144DWWLW
5GnistanGnistan29119943:41+242LLLDD
6VPSVPS301171231:34-340DLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Inter TurkuInter Turku2935:2055
2HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki2955:3452
3KuPSKuPS2945:2852
4AC OuluAC Oulu3036:3744
5GnistanGnistan2943:4142
6VPSVPS3031:3440

Relegration Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1LahtiLahti271161035:26+939WLDLW
2IlvesIlves271151145:39+638WDWWW
3Turku PSTurku PS27881129:33-432LLLLD
4SJKSJK27691229:37-827LWWDD
5FF JaroFF Jaro27491422:49-2721DWDDL
6MariehamnMariehamn27471622:49-2719DDLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1LahtiLahti2735:2639
2IlvesIlves2745:3938
3Turku PSTurku PS2729:3332
4SJKSJK2729:3727
5FF JaroFF Jaro2722:4921
6MariehamnMariehamn2722:4919
Relegation

About the Ilves vs VPS forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Ilves and VPS in the Veikkausliiga table

In the Veikkausliiga table, VPS are 6th and Ilves 9th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Ilves 34-37, VPS 29-22. The full standings are on the Veikkausliiga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Ilves have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.