HNK Rijeka vs Ilves Prediction

HNK Rijeka
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Ilves
Stadion HNK Rijeka Dean Šćulac, Rijeka·Ishmael Barbara, Malta 06/08/2026
HNK RijekaHNK Rijeka
1-0
Finished
IlvesIlves

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.8 / 10
Value Analysis
74%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.40
SignalHIGHModel60%SurpriseMediumGap+10.1%
HNK Rijeka Rest
3 days
Ilves Rest
4 days

HNK Rijeka vs Ilves: the result in context

HNK Rijeka beat Ilves 1-0 in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 6 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: HNK Rijeka had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 3 for Ilves.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
76%1.22
X
8%5.53
2
16%12.00
Double Chance
1X
84%1.02
X2
24%3.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%2.30
No
52%1.53
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.95 + 0.63 = 2.58
Over 1.5
76%1.20
Over 2.5
54%1.70
Over 3.5
27%2.70
Under 1.5
24%3.98
Under 2.5
46%2.09
Under 3.5
73%1.40
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

11'B. Pavic
16'N. JankovicAssist: T. Dantas
27'J. Kilo
46'T. Fruk INS. Vignato out
50'A. Barco
59'T. Hytonen INR. Riski out
59'L. Ala-Myllymaki INO. Multala out
71'D. Adu Adjei INJ. Puljic out
71'T. Dantas INJ. Lasickas out
72'S. Vaisanen INT. Miettunen out
72'A. Popovitch INY. Sacko out
75'J. Kanga
83'J. Kanga INE. Tamminen out
84'M. Devetak ING. Rukavina out
90'A. Gojak INI. Cubelic out
90+2'G. Bamba

Lineups

HNK Rijeka
4-2-3-1Coach: Matjaz Kek
Ilves
4-3-3Coach: Joni Lehtonen
Aleksa Todorović99A. Todorović
Ante Oreč22A. Oreč
Ante Majstorović45A. Majstorović
Alfonso Barco5A. Barco
Mladen Devetak34M. Devetak
Tiago Dantas26T. Dantas
Branko Pavić6B. Pavić
Amer Gojak14A. Gojak
Toni Fruk10T. Fruk
Niko Janković4N. Janković
Daniel Adu-Adjei18D. Adu-Adjei
Faris Krkalić12F. Krkalić
Abdoul Goudouss Bamba19A. Goudouss Bamba
Ville Kumpu24V. Kumpu
Sauli Väisänen5S. Väisänen
Matias Rale3M. Rale
Jesse Kilo28J. Kilo
Anton Popovitch14A. Popovitch
Lauri Ala-Myllymäki15L. Ala-Myllymäki
Jardell Kanga30J. Kanga
Teemu Hytönen9T. Hytönen
Kalle Wallius13K. Wallius

HNK Rijeka Substitutes

19Samuele Vignato46'for T. Fruk
23Justas Lasickas71'for T. Dantas
21Jakov Puljić71'for D. Adu Adjei
13Igor Vekič
1Vito Kovač
3Moreno Živković
51Anel Husić
91Noel Bodetić
8Ivan Ćubelić90'for A. Gojak
11Gabriel Rukavina84'for M. Devetak
15Goran Grulović
37Cherno Saho

Ilves Substitutes

22Oskari Multala59'for L. Ala-Myllymaki
10Roope Riski59'for T. Hytonen
16Tatu Miettunen72'for S. Vaisanen
33Yacouba Sacko
1Otso Virtanen
31Rasmus Leislahti
25Sebastian Suvanne
36Roope Aho
17Stanislav Baranov
45Elias Tamminen83'for J. Kanga

Match Stats

HNK RijekaIlves
66%Ball Possession34%
9Corner Kicks1
2Yellow Cards3
14Shots on Goal1
5Shots off Goal1
7Blocked Shots1
9Fouls10
2Offsides0

Team Comparison

HNK RijekaHNK Rijeka
IlvesIlves
1681Elo Rating 1657
3.07Attack 2.13
1.72Defense 2.61
81%Hit Rate 77%
10.8Shots per Game 12.1
4.3Shots on Target 4.6
3.9Corners per Game 2.0
1.6Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

HNK RijekaHNK Rijeka
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (2.1 vs 0.9 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
IlvesIlves
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

HNK RijekaHNK Rijeka
8W1D1L
02/08/2026
HNK RijekaRudes
21
W
30/07/2026
Derry CityHNK Rijeka
01
W
23/07/2026
HNK RijekaDerry City
10
W
03/07/2026
RadomljeHNK Rijeka
02
W
30/06/2026
Brinje-GrosupljeHNK Rijeka
03
W
27/06/2026
BravoHNK Rijeka
12
W
23/05/2026
HNK RijekaHNK Gorica
20
W
17/05/2026
Istra 1961HNK Rijeka
00
D
13/05/2026
Dinamo ZagrebHNK Rijeka
20
L
08/05/2026
HNK RijekaVukovar
30
W

Referee Profile

Ishmael Barbara4 matches analysed

4.27Cards per match
4.05Yellow cards per match
0.22Red cards per match
24.1Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 31% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
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Monaco
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SC Freiburg
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Maccabi Tel Aviv
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Heart Of Midlothian
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Rangers
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KuPS
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Pafos
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Getafe
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Tromso
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Sheriff Tiraspol
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Dynamo Kyiv
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Qarabag
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Inter Club d'Escaldes
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Hammarby FF
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Twente
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FC Midtjylland
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Tre Fiori
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IFK Goteborg
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Floriana
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Atert Bissen
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Neftchi Baku
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Başakşehir
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Riga
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Spartak Trnava
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CSKA 1948
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Železničar Pančevo
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SC Braga
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Hibernian
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Austria Vienna
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HJK Helsinki
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Flora Tallinn
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Apollon Limassol
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AEK Larnaca
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Beitar Jerusalem
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Raków Częstochowa
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Valletta FC
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Dunajska Streda
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Vestri
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Gais
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FC Nordsjaelland
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FC Sion
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Rapid Vienna
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Zimbru
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FC Noah
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ML Vitebsk
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Sutjeska
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Universitatea Cluj
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Brann
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FC Vaduz
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FCSB
Seeded
Auda
Seeded
NK Varazdin
Seeded
FK Jablonec
Seeded
Aluminij
Seeded
Vojvodina
Seeded
Ajax
Seeded
Polessya
Seeded
FC Copenhagen
Seeded
Paks
Seeded
Panathinaikos
Seeded
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Seeded
Ludogorets
Seeded
Borac Banja Luka
Seeded
Petrocub
Seeded
LNZ Cherkasy
Seeded
Gent
Seeded
FC Lugano
Seeded
Dukagjini
Seeded
Žilina
Seeded
GKS Katowice
Seeded
Motherwell
Seeded
HB Torshavn
Seeded
Bravo
Seeded
Koper
Seeded
HNK Rijeka
Seeded
Derry City
Seeded
Shelbourne
Seeded
FK Partizan
Seeded
Valur Reykjavik
Seeded
Zrinjski
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
Monaco
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
SC Freiburg
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Atalanta
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Getafe
Seeded
Tromso
Seeded
HNK Hajduk Split
Seeded
Sheriff Tiraspol
Seeded
FC ST. Gallen
Seeded
Dynamo Kyiv
Seeded
Qarabag
Seeded
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Seeded
Hammarby FF
Seeded
Twente
Seeded
FC Midtjylland
Seeded
Tre Fiori
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
Monaco
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
SC Freiburg
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Atalanta
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Getafe
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
Monaco
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
SC Freiburg
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Atalanta
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Getafe
Seeded

About the HNK Rijeka vs Ilves forecast

This is a UEFA Europa Conference League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About UEFA Europa Conference League

More UEFA Europa Conference League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Europa Conference League Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

HNK Rijeka have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Ilves have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. HNK Rijeka and Ilves have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.