Latvia vs Cyprus Prediction

Latvia
0-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Cyprus
Skonto, Riga·Michal Ocenas 28/09/2026
LatviaLatvia
0-0
Finished
CyprusCyprus

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.0 / 10
Value Analysis
59%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Over 4.5
1.97
SignalSOLIDModel59%SurpriseMediumGap+9.3%
Latvia Rest
3 days
Cyprus Rest
2 days

Latvia vs Cyprus: result, form and history

Latvia and Cyprus drew 0-0 in the UEFA Nations League on 28 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee Michal Ocenas averages 4.62 cards a game, 0.56 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
34%2.64
X
30%3.10
2
36%2.75
Double Chance
1X
64%1.44
X2
66%1.47
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%2.00
No
54%1.74
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.64 + 1.1 = 2.74
Over 1.5
69%1.44
Over 2.5
44%2.39
Over 3.5
26%4.50
Under 1.5
31%2.62
Under 2.5
56%1.56
Under 3.5
74%1.17
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 3.1 = 8.4
Over 8.5
54%1.69
Over 9.5
43%2.12
Over 10.5
31%2.85
Under 8.5
46%2.04
Under 9.5
57%1.62
Under 10.5
69%1.35
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.2 = 4.1
Over 3.5
58%1.67
Over 4.5
38%2.15
Under 3.5
42%2.12
Under 4.5
62%1.65

Match Events

14'Vladislavs GutkovskisHandball
62'Giannis KostiFoul
66'Nicholas TsaroullaFoul
69'Konstantinos SotiriouFoul
74'Loizos Loizou INMarinos Tzionis out
74'Kostakis Artymatas INHector Kyprianou out
78'Vladislavs Gutkovskis INEduards Daskevics out
78'Eduards Emsis INMarkuss Strods out
85'Nicholas Tsaroulla INKostas Pileas out
86'Giannis Kosti INAndronikos Kakoullis out
88'Antonijs ČernomordijsArgument
88'Ioannis PittasArgument

Lineups

Latvia
5-3-2Coach: P. Nicolato
Cyprus
4-2-3-1Coach: A. Mantzios
Avg rating6.62
Avg rating6.78
R. Matrevics7.723R. Matrevics
R. Savaļnieks6.711R. Savaļnieks
D. Meļņiks7.121D. Meļņiks
A. Černomordijs6.25A. Černomordijs
D. Cirkin6.43D. Cirkin
A. Cigaņiks6.614A. Cigaņiks
D. Zelenkovs6.515D. Zelenkovs
E. Emsis6.68E. Emsis
L. Vapne6.510L. Vapne
V. Gutkovskis6.39V. Gutkovskis
R. Uldriķis6.320R. Uldriķis
Fabiano7.11Fabiano
N. Tsaroulla6.617N. Tsaroulla
K. Sotiriou6.65K. Sotiriou
N. Panagiotou7.13N. Panagiotou
G. Malekkides7.214G. Malekkides
K. Artymatas6.918K. Artymatas
G. Kastanos6.720G. Kastanos
M. Edwards7.023M. Edwards
I. Kosti6.813I. Kosti
L. Loizou7.210L. Loizou
I. Pittas6.99I. Pittas

Latvia Substitutes

1N. Puriņš
12F. Orols
7E. Dašķevičs78'for Vladislavs Gutkovskis6.7
13R. Jurkovskis
22A. Saveļjevs
17M. Strods78'for Eduards Emsis6.4
6D. Patijčuks
4O. Vientiess
2D. Balodis
16K. Čudars
19M. Toņiševs
18A. Aleksanjan

Cyprus Substitutes

16P. Andreou
6A. Christou
19S. Georgiou
11A. Kakoullis86'for Giannis Kosti6.5
4H. Kyprianou74'for Kostakis Artymatas6.6
12J. Mall
22N. Michael
7A. Neophytou
2K. Pileas85'for Nicholas Tsaroulla6.2
21M. Tzionis74'for Loizos Loizou6.4
8C. Kyriakou
15L. Konomis

Match Stats

LatviaCyprus
33%Ball Possession67%
4Corner Kicks11
2Yellow Cards4
8Total Shots18
0Shots on Goal5
5Shots off Goal8
6Shots Inside Box11
2Shots Outside Box7
3Blocked Shots5
16Fouls12
0Offsides1
5Goalkeeper Saves0
265Total Passes532
204Passes Accurate472
12Free Kicks15

Team Comparison

LatviaLatvia
CyprusCyprus
1410Elo Rating 1334
0.50Attack 1.16
1.53Defense 2.12
0%Hit Rate 50%
10.3Shots per Game 12.8
1.0Shots on Target 4.4
3.6Corners per Game 5.3
1.7Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

LatviaLatvia
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
CyprusCyprus
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

LatviaLatvia
2W1D7L
25/09/2026
ArmeniaLatvia
20
L
09/06/2026
LatviaFaroe Islands
01
L
06/06/2026
LithuaniaLatvia
5141
L
31/03/2026
LatviaGibraltar
10
W
26/03/2026
GibraltarLatvia
01
W
16/11/2025
SerbiaLatvia
21
L
14/10/2025
LatviaEngland
05
L
11/10/2025
LatviaAndorra
22
D
09/09/2025
AlbaniaLatvia
10
L
06/09/2025
LatviaSerbia
01
L
CyprusCyprus
2W3D5L
25/09/2026
MontenegroCyprus
21
L
07/06/2026
LiechtensteinCyprus
02
W
04/06/2026
SloveniaCyprus
11
D
15/11/2025
CyprusAustria
02
L
12/10/2025
San MarinoCyprus
04
W
09/10/2025
CyprusBosnia & Herzegovina
22
D
09/09/2025
CyprusRomania
22
D
06/09/2025
AustriaCyprus
10
L
10/06/2025
RomaniaCyprus
20
L
24/03/2025
Bosnia & HerzegovinaCyprus
21
L

Referee Profile

Michal Ocenas164 matches

4.62Cards per match
4.45Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
26.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Michal Ocenas4.62
Other referees4.06

4.62 cards a match, 0.56 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.06).

Cards come from 85 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Nations League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1MontenegroMontenegro43107:4+310DWWW
2CyprusCyprus42115:3+27WWDL
3ArmeniaArmenia41124:5-14DLLW
4LatviaLatvia40132:6-41LLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1MontenegroMontenegro47:410
2CyprusCyprus45:37
3ArmeniaArmenia44:54
4LatviaLatvia42:61
Promotion

About the Latvia vs Cyprus forecast

This is a UEFA Nations League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Latvia and Cyprus in the UEFA Nations League table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Cyprus are 2nd in the UEFA Nations League, 6 points ahead of Latvia in 4th. League goal record so far: Latvia 2-6, Cyprus 5-3. The full standings are on the UEFA Nations League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Latvia and Cyprus have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.