Lausanne vs FC Thun Prediction

Lausanne
4-5
Finished
HT 2-1
FC Thun
Stockhorn Arena, Thun 01/11/2026
LausanneLausanne
4-5
Finished
FC ThunFC Thun

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
62%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.53
SignalNEUTRALModel38%SurpriseMediumGap-3.0%
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 5.5
1.57
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+3.2%
Lausanne Rest
7 days
FC Thun Rest
7 days

Lausanne vs FC Thun: the result in context

FC Thun beat Lausanne 5-4 in the Super League on 1 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.4 a game across 8 meetings, with both teams scoring in 6. Lausanne tend to win more corners, 6.9 a game to 3.8 for FC Thun.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
37%2.50
X
27%3.60
2
36%2.51
Double Chance
1X
64%1.48
X2
62%1.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%1.44
No
37%2.60
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.58 + 1.35 = 2.93
Over 1.5
81%1.14
Over 2.5
60%1.53
Over 3.5
39%2.29
Under 1.5
19%4.80
Under 2.5
40%2.35
Under 3.5
61%1.58
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 4.8 = 10.5
Over 8.5
70%1.33
Over 9.5
59%1.56
Over 10.5
48%1.95
Under 8.5
30%2.97
Under 9.5
41%2.21
Under 10.5
52%1.80
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.4 = 4.7
Over 3.5
68%-
Over 4.5
50%-
Under 3.5
32%-
Under 4.5
50%-

Match Events

8'Olivier MambwaFoul
12'Furkan DursunAssist: Brighton Labeau
27'Morgan PoatyFoul
30'Red card cancelledAbdou Karim Sow
32'Penalty confirmedEnzo Molebe
36'Omar Janneh(Penalty)
45'Olivier Mambwa INLucien Dähler out
45+1'Omar Janneh
53'Enzo MolebeAssist: Nathan Butler-Oyedeji
61'Furkan Dursun INRiccardo Braschi out
61'Patrik Kristal INNico Maier out
62'Morgan Poaty INDircssi Ngonzo out
62'Lucien DählerOG
67'Nassim Zoukit INJustin·Roth out
70'Brighton Labeau
72'Omar Janneh INSeydou Traore out
72'Olivier Custodio INPapa Souleymane N'Diaye out
77'Nils·Reichmuth INNoah Christoffersson out
81'Riccardo BraschiAssist: Noah Christoffersson
86'Abdou Karim SowOG
87'Enzo Molebe INSekou Kone out
87'Nathan Butler-Oyedeji INFlorent Mollet out
90'G. PrivitelliDissent
90+5'Papa Souleymane N'DiayeFoul
90+6'Brighton LabeauAssist: Noah Christoffersson

Lineups

Lausanne
3-4-3Coach: Luka Elsner
FC Thun
4-4-2Coach: Gian Luca Privitelli
Avg rating6.22
Avg rating6.59
M. Mastil6.090M. Mastil
É. Youté6.14É. Youté
K. Sow4.771K. Sow
N. Cozza6.231N. Cozza
B. Soppy5.72B. Soppy
A. Blin6.429A. Blin
O. Custodio6.510O. Custodio
M. Poaty6.118M. Poaty
N. Butler-Oyedeji7.111N. Butler-Oyedeji
Omar Janneh8.278O. Janneh
E. Molébé7.19E. Molébé
N. Steffen6.21N. Steffen
F. Fehr6.447F. Fehr
J. Bamert6.319J. Bamert
M. Bürki6.323M. Bürki
O. Mambwa5.52O. Mambwa
N. Reichmuth6.470N. Reichmuth
N. Zoukit6.113N. Zoukit
M. Käit6.514M. Käit
P. Kristal6.615P. Kristal
F. Dursun7.89F. Dursun
B. Labeau8.996B. Labeau

Lausanne Substitutes

51I. Bah Mendes Mayala
7A. Ajdini
1T. Castella
22T. Cordier
80S. Koné87'for Enzo Molebe5.9
91F. Mollet87'for Nathan Butler-Oyedeji5.8
47Papa Souleymane N'Diaye72'for Olivier Custodio90+5'5.6
5D. Ngonzo62'for Morgan Poaty5.8
17S. Traore72'for Omar Janneh6.4

FC Thun Substitutes

20R. Braschi61'for Furkan Dursun81'7.7
5N. Bürgy
26N. Christoffersson77'for Nils·Reichmuth6.8
25T. Spycher
37L. Dähler45'for Olivier Mambwa62'5.6
52Adam Ilic
80S. Lengen
30N. Maier61'for Patrik Kristal5.8
16J. Roth67'for Nassim Zoukit6.5

Match Stats

LausanneFC Thun
42%Ball Possession58%
9Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards1
12Total Shots16
5Shots on Goal8
4Shots off Goal7
9Shots Inside Box10
3Shots Outside Box6
3Blocked Shots1
15Fouls13
1Offsides3
4Goalkeeper Saves3
263Total Passes370
189Passes Accurate305
12Free Kicks15

Team Comparison

LausanneLausanne
FC ThunFC Thun
1491Elo Rating 1536
1.60Attack 1.02
1.73Defense 1.04
23%Hit Rate 0%
12.3Shots per Game 12.6
3.7Shots on Target 5.0
6.9Corners per Game 3.8
3.5Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.93 goals
📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

LausanneLausanne
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.2 in first half)
FC ThunFC Thun
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

LausanneLausanne2Wins · 25%
Draws225%
FC ThunFC Thun4Wins · 50%
3.4Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored6 of 8
75%3+ goals6 of 8

Previous meetings

Super League02/09/2026
FC ThunLausanne
00
Super League12/02/2026
FC ThunLausanne
51
Super League30/11/2025
LausanneFC Thun
21
Super League03/08/2025
FC ThunLausanne
21
Challenge League19/05/2023
FC ThunLausanne
33
Challenge League19/03/2023
LausanneFC Thun
13
Challenge League21/10/2022
LausanneFC Thun
21
Challenge League02/09/2022
FC ThunLausanne
20

Recent Form

FC ThunFC Thun
2W1D7L
25/10/2026
FC ThunFC Lugano
23
L
22/10/2026
FC ThunHNK Hajduk Split
01
L
18/10/2026
FC SchaffhausenFC Thun
2121
D
15/10/2026
TwenteFC Thun
10
L
10/10/2026
FC ZurichFC Thun
42
L
03/10/2026
FC ThunSC Kriens
20
W
20/09/2026
FC VaduzFC Thun
12
W
16/09/2026
FC ThunServette FC
24
L
12/09/2026
FC ThunGrasshoppers
01
L
06/09/2026
FC SionFC Thun
32
L

League Table

Super League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC LuganoFC Lugano12111036:10+2634WWWWW
2BSC Young BoysBSC Young Boys1274138:23+1525LWWWD
3FC SionFC Sion1272325:18+723DWLDW
4FC ZurichFC Zurich1262425:26-120WWWDW
5FC ST. GallenFC ST. Gallen1261519:22-319WLWWL
6Servette FCServette FC1251617:16+116LWWLW
7FC Basel 1893FC Basel 18931242618:22-414LDLLW
8FC LuzernFC Luzern1234519:25-613DLLWL
9FC ThunFC Thun1241724:34-1013WLLWL
10FC VaduzFC Vaduz1231824:25-110DLWLL
11GrasshoppersGrasshoppers1224615:28-1310DDLLL
12LausanneLausanne1213811:22-116LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FC LuganoFC Lugano1236:1034
2BSC Young BoysBSC Young Boys1238:2325
3FC SionFC Sion1225:1823
4FC ZurichFC Zurich1225:2620
5FC ST. GallenFC ST. Gallen1219:2219
6Servette FCServette FC1217:1616
7FC Basel 1893FC Basel 18931218:2214
8FC LuzernFC Luzern1219:2513
9FC ThunFC Thun1224:3413
10FC VaduzFC Vaduz1224:2510
11GrasshoppersGrasshoppers1215:2810
12LausanneLausanne1211:226
Relegation

About the Lausanne vs FC Thun forecast

The forecasts for this Super League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Lausanne and FC Thun in the Super League table

In the Super League table, FC Thun are 9th and Lausanne 12th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Lausanne 11-22, FC Thun 24-34. The full standings are on the Super League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.