Lille vs Estac Troyes Prediction
France · Regular Season - 4
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Lille vs Estac Troyes: the result in context
Lille beat Estac Troyes 2-0 in the Ligue 1 on 13 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Lille have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 5 previous meetings, which averaged 3.2 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Lille
Avg ratingAvg rating
1B. Özer
22T. Santos
3N. Ngoy
4A. Ribeiro
15R. Perraud
17N. Mukau
6N. Bentaleb
7D. Bakwa
10H. Haraldsson
19B. Önal
18A. Ueda
33P. Beach
2L. Maronnier
6A. Monfray
4M. Diaz
3A. Ouzenadji
8M. Diop
29D. Karim
7K. Diawara
17A. Mille
22H. Picard
9J. Le DouaronLille Substitutes
Estac Troyes Substitutes
Match Stats
LilleEstac Troyes Team Comparison
LilleEstac TroyesAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Lille- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Estac Troyes- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Head to Head
Last 5 meetings, all competitions
Lille3Wins · 60%1Wins · 20%Previous meetings
03/06/2023Estac TroyesLille15/01/2023LilleEstac Troyes
08/01/2023LilleEstac Troyes01/05/2022Estac TroyesLille04/12/2021LilleEstac TroyesRecent Form
LilleLille
Real Betis
ToulouseLilleLille
Paris Saint Germain
AngersLille
EvertonLille
Hamburger SVLille
OH LeuvenLilleLille
RAAL La LouvièreLille
Auxerre
MonacoLilleEstac TroyesEstac Troyes
Strasbourg
LorientEstac TroyesEstac Troyes
Paris FCEstac Troyes
PanetolikosAuxerreEstac TroyesEstac Troyes
Chasselay MDA
GrenobleEstac TroyesEstac Troyes
RED Star FC 93
NancyEstac TroyesGrenobleEstac TroyesReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
3.93 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.02).
Cards come from 127 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | +11 | 20 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Rennes | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20:19 | +1 | 16 | LWLWL |
| 3 | Lille | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:6 | +5 | 15 | DDWLW |
| 4 | Monaco | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:7 | +4 | 15 | DLDWD |
| 5 |  Lyon | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:7 | +6 | 14 | LWLWD |
| 6 | Paris FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | +4 | 14 | LWLWD |
| 7 |  Nice | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | +1 | 14 | WWLWW |
| 8 |  Lens | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16:12 | +4 | 13 | WWWLD |
| 9 |  Marseille | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 18:13 | +5 | 12 | WWWLL |
| 10 | Lorient | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:6 | +1 | 12 | DWWLD |
| 11 | Toulouse | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:11 | +1 | 10 | DWDWD |
| 12 | Auxerre | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:18 | -6 | 10 | DWLWW |
| 13 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | +2 | 9 | LDWLL |
| 14 | Angers | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 8 | DLLWD |
| 15 |  Le Mans | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11:16 | -5 | 7 | DLLWD |
| 16 | Strasbourg | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:18 | -6 | 7 | LLLLD |
| 17 | Estac Troyes | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:16 | -11 | 5 | DLLLL |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9:20 | -11 | 2 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 | Rennes | 9 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 3 | Lille | 8 | 11:6 | 15 |
| 4 | Monaco | 8 | 11:7 | 15 |
| 5 | Lyon | 8 | 13:7 | 14 |
| 6 | Paris FC | 8 | 13:9 | 14 |
| 7 | Nice | 9 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 8 | Lens | 8 | 16:12 | 13 |
| 9 | Marseille | 8 | 18:13 | 12 |
| 10 | Lorient | 8 | 7:6 | 12 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 8 | 12:11 | 10 |
| 12 | Auxerre | 8 | 12:18 | 10 |
| 13 | Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | 14:12 | 9 |
| 14 | Angers | 8 | 9:15 | 8 |
| 15 | Le Mans | 8 | 11:16 | 7 |
| 16 | Strasbourg | 8 | 12:18 | 7 |
| 17 | Estac Troyes | 8 | 5:16 | 5 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 9 | 9:20 | 2 |
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About the Lille vs Estac Troyes forecast
The forecasts for this Ligue 1 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Lille and Estac Troyes in the Ligue 1 table
The table shows a wide gap: Lille are 3rd in the Ligue 1, while Estac Troyes sit 17th, 10 points behind. League goal record so far: Lille 11-6, Estac Troyes 5-16. The full standings are on the Ligue 1 Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.