Monaco vs Lens Prediction

Monaco
2-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Lens
Stade Louis II, Monaco·Clement Turpin 18/09/2026
MonacoMonaco
2-1
Finished
LensLens

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
53%Trust
1X2
Home Win
2.02
SignalNEUTRALModel53%SurpriseMediumGap+4.5%
Monaco Rest
6 days
Lens Rest
5 days

Monaco vs Lens: result, form and history

Monaco beat Lens 2-1 in the Ligue 1 on 18 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Monaco had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Lens.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 4.0 goals, and both sides scored in 7 of them. Referee Clement Turpin averages 3.58 cards a game, 0.52 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
56%2.02
X
18%3.74
2
26%3.59
Double Chance
1X
73%1.30
X2
44%1.81
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.53
No
45%2.38
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.66 + 1.09 = 2.75
Over 1.5
75%1.17
Over 2.5
56%1.61
Over 3.5
34%2.52
Under 1.5
25%4.53
Under 2.5
44%2.32
Under 3.5
66%1.53
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.6 + 4.4 = 9
Over 8.5
46%1.44
Over 9.5
35%1.82
Over 10.5
26%2.23
Under 8.5
54%2.54
Under 9.5
65%1.95
Under 10.5
74%1.58
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 2 = 3.6
Over 3.5
48%1.97
Over 4.5
29%3.02
Under 3.5
52%1.79
Under 4.5
71%1.36

Match Events

20'Penalty cancelledMichaël Cuisance
32'Paris BrunnerAssist: Matthis Abline
45'Jean-Clair Todibo INJonathan Gradit out
53'Florian ThauvinFoul
57'Matthieu UdolAssist: Florian Thauvin
58'Mezian Soares Mesloub INThorgan Hazard out
58'Abdallah Sima INOdsonne Édouard out
62'Edan Diop INMathys Detourbet out
69'Junior Kadile INMichał Skóraś out
71'Lamine CamaraFoul
72'Amadou Haidara INAndrija Bulatović out
76'Matthis Abline INFolarin Balogun out
76'Denis Zakaria INPape Cabral out
84'Jonathan GraditOG
90+2'Paris Brunner INMohammed Salisu out

Lineups

Monaco
4-4-2Coach: Filipe Luís
Lens
3-4-2-1Coach: Yannick Cahuzac
Avg rating6.85
Avg rating6.47
L. Hrádecký7.01L. Hrádecký
Vanderson7.22Vanderson
Sadibou Sané7.172S. Sané
E. Dier6.815E. Dier
Flávio Nazinho6.320F. Nazinho
E. Diop6.437E. Diop
L. Camara6.58L. Camara
D. Zakaria6.66D. Zakaria
A. Golovin6.910A. Golovin
M. Abline7.211M. Abline
Paris Josua  Brunner7.929P. Josua Brunner
R. Risser6.940R. Risser
K. Antonio6.932K. Antonio
J. Todibo6.520J. Todibo
M. Udol7.314M. Udol
R. Aguilar6.42R. Aguilar
M. Cuisance6.327M. Cuisance
A. Haidara6.321A. Haidara
J. Kadile6.128J. Kadile
F. Thauvin6.410F. Thauvin
Mezian Mesloub6.338M. Mesloub
A. Sima6.519A. Sima

Monaco Substitutes

9F. Balogun76'for Matthis Abline6.7
47S. Benzahra
19Pape Cabral76'for Denis Zakaria6.5
7M. Detourbet62'for Edan Diop6.7
16P. Köhn
13C. Mawissa Elebi
18T. Minamino
22M. Salisu90+2'for Paris Brunner
49I. Touré

Lens Substitutes

7F. Sotoca
11O. Édouard58'for Abdallah Sima6.6
16M. Gorgelin
24J. Gradit45'for Jean-Clair Todibo84'6.7
9T. Hazard58'for Mezian Soares Mesloub6.0
29F. Ivanović
31S. Sagnan
22M. Skóraś69'for Junior Kadile6.5
5A. Bulatović72'for Amadou Haidara5.9

Match Stats

MonacoLens
52%Ball Possession48%
2Corner Kicks8
1Yellow Cards1
9Total Shots12
6Shots on Goal4
2Shots off Goal4
6Shots Inside Box10
3Shots Outside Box2
1Blocked Shots4
13Fouls11
3Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves5
531Total Passes528
464Passes Accurate455
11Free Kicks13

Team Comparison

MonacoMonaco
LensLens
1889Elo Rating 1846
1.81Attack 1.41
2.10Defense 1.38
61%Hit Rate 61%
12.3Shots per Game 14.9
5.3Shots on Target 5.0
3.7Corners per Game 5.5
2.4Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

MonacoMonaco
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
LensLens
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.5 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

MonacoMonaco3Wins · 30%
Draws330%
LensLens4Wins · 40%
4.0Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
90%3+ goals9 of 10

Previous meetings

Ligue 121/02/2026
LensMonaco
23
Ligue 108/11/2025
MonacoLens
14
Ligue 117/05/2025
LensMonaco
40
Ligue 101/09/2024
MonacoLens
11
Ligue 125/02/2024
LensMonaco
23
Coupe de France07/01/2024
LensMonaco
5262
Ligue 102/09/2023
MonacoLens
30
Ligue 122/04/2023
LensMonaco
30
Ligue 120/08/2022
MonacoLens
14
Ligue 121/05/2022
LensMonaco
22

Recent Form

MonacoMonaco
7W2D1L
LensLens
5W2D3L
13/09/2026
Le MansLens
22
D
10/09/2026
Slavia PrahaLens
23
W
05/09/2026
LensLorient
01
L
29/08/2026
StrasbourgLens
21
L
22/08/2026
LensAuxerre
52
W
16/08/2026
LensParis Saint Germain
10
W
08/08/2026
LensSunderland
02
L
01/08/2026
LensVillarreal
31
W
25/07/2026
LensCharleroi
22
D
18/07/2026
LensBoulogne
41
W

Referee Profile

Clement Turpin268 matches

3.58Cards per match
3.34Yellow cards per match
0.24Red cards per match
23.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Clement Turpin3.58
Other referees4.10

3.58 cards a match, 0.52 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.10).

Cards come from 261 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Ligue 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain962121:10+1120WWWWW
2RennesRennes951320:19+116LWLWL
3LilleLille843111:6+515DDWLW
4MonacoMonaco843111:7+415DLDWD
5LyonLyon842213:7+614LWLWD
6Paris FCParis FC842213:9+414LWLWD
7NiceNice942313:12+114WWLWW
8LensLens841316:12+413WWWLD
9MarseilleMarseille840418:13+512WWWLL
10LorientLorient83327:6+112DWWLD
11ToulouseToulouse824212:11+110DWDWD
12AuxerreAuxerre831412:18-610DWLWW
13Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29823314:12+29LDWLL
14AngersAngers82249:15-68DLLWD
15Le MansLe Mans814311:16-57DLLWD
16StrasbourgStrasbourg821512:18-67LLLLD
17Estac TroyesEstac Troyes81255:16-115DLLLL
18Le HavreLe Havre90279:20-112LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain921:1020
2RennesRennes920:1916
3LilleLille811:615
4MonacoMonaco811:715
5LyonLyon813:714
6Paris FCParis FC813:914
7NiceNice913:1214
8LensLens816:1213
9MarseilleMarseille818:1312
10LorientLorient87:612
11ToulouseToulouse812:1110
12AuxerreAuxerre812:1810
13Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29814:129
14AngersAngers89:158
15Le MansLe Mans811:167
16StrasbourgStrasbourg812:187
17Estac TroyesEstac Troyes85:165
18Le HavreLe Havre99:202
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Monaco vs Lens forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Monaco and Lens in the Ligue 1 table

In the Ligue 1 table, Monaco are 4th and Lens 8th, 2 points apart. League goal record so far: Monaco 11-7, Lens 16-12. The full standings are on the Ligue 1 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Monaco have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.