Strasbourg vs Monaco Prediction

Strasbourg
1-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Monaco
Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg·Eric Wattellier 12/09/2026
StrasbourgStrasbourg
1-1
Finished
MonacoMonaco

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.46
SignalSOLIDModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-0.2%
Value Analysis
61%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Over 4.5
1.93
SignalSOLIDModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+11.0%
Strasbourg Rest
6 days
Monaco Rest
7 days

Strasbourg vs Monaco: the result in context

Strasbourg and Monaco drew 1-1 in the Ligue 1 on 12 Sep 2026. Monaco had gone in with the better form, having won 5 of their previous five against 3 for Strasbourg.

Monaco have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.7 goals a game. Referee Eric Wattellier averages 3.03 cards a game, 0.93 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
34%3.30
X
26%3.88
2
40%2.07
Double Chance
1X
60%1.75
X2
66%1.34
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68%1.46
No
32%2.52
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.49 + 1.46 = 2.95
Over 1.5
83%1.14
Over 2.5
62%1.53
Over 3.5
38%2.37
Under 1.5
17%4.92
Under 2.5
38%2.45
Under 3.5
62%1.62
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 4.3 = 9.2
Over 8.5
51%1.53
Over 9.5
43%1.97
Over 10.5
31%2.45
Under 8.5
49%2.31
Under 9.5
57%1.81
Under 10.5
69%1.48
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 1.8 = 3.5
Over 3.5
45%1.98
Over 4.5
27%3.14
Under 3.5
55%1.77
Under 4.5
73%1.33

Match Events

22'Anis Soubeir INMatthis Abline out
45'Diogo Sousa INDario Essugo out
52'Sadibou SaneOG
69'Jacobo Ortega INConrad Harder out
71'Paris BrunnerAssist: Lamine Camara
72'Stanis Idumbo INMathys Detourbet out
78'Pape Demba DiopFoul
81'Giovanni Reyna INSamir El-Mourabet out
82'Sebastian Nanasi INSamuel Amo-Ameyaw out
90'Aleksandr GolovinDissent
90+2'Gessime Yassine INAbdoul Karim Coulibaly out

Lineups

Strasbourg
4-3-3Coach: Hugo Oliveira
Monaco
4-2-3-1Coach: Filipe Luís
Avg rating6.65
Avg rating6.89
F. Jörgensen6.61F. Jörgensen
G. Antwi6.716G. Antwi
J. Mitchell7.04J. Mitchell
I. Doukouré6.96I. Doukouré
Oso7.036Oso
Gessime Yassine6.480G. Yassine
P. Diop7.121P. Diop
G. Reyna6.710G. Reyna
Diogo Sousa6.623D. Sousa
J. Ortega6.530J. Ortega
S. Nanasi6.411S. Nanasi
L. Hrádecký6.51L. Hrádecký
Vanderson6.92Vanderson
Sadibou Sané6.272S. Sané
E. Dier7.215E. Dier
Flávio Nazinho6.820F. Nazinho
L. Camara7.78L. Camara
D. Zakaria7.06D. Zakaria
A. Soubeir6.446A. Soubeir
A. Golovin7.110A. Golovin
S. Idumbo-Muzambo6.717S. Idumbo-Muzambo
Paris Josua  Brunner8.229P. Josua Brunner

Strasbourg Substitutes

12M. Piekutowski
24L. Høgsberg
31Abdoul Karim Coulibaly90+2'for Gessime Yassine
28Tyrese Noubissie
14Dário Essugo45'for Diogo Sousa6.8
29S. El Mourabet81'for Giovanni Reyna6.4
45B. Brantlind
7S. Amo-Ameyaw82'for Sebastian Nanasi6.5
40C. Harder69'for Jacobo Ortega6.2

Monaco Substitutes

13C. Mawissa Elebi
16P. Köhn
7M. Detourbet72'for Stanis Idumbo6.5
19Pape Cabral
14M. Biereth
47S. Benzahra
11M. Abline22'for Anis Soubeir6.4
22M. Salisu
49I. Touré

Match Stats

StrasbourgMonaco
44%Ball Possession56%
2Corner Kicks7
1Yellow Cards1
13Total Shots12
2Shots on Goal3
8Shots off Goal6
6Shots Inside Box7
7Shots Outside Box5
3Blocked Shots3
9Fouls10
0Offsides3
2Goalkeeper Saves2
441Total Passes562
370Passes Accurate510
84%Pass Accuracy91%

Team Comparison

StrasbourgStrasbourg
MonacoMonaco
1762Elo Rating 1889
1.70Attack 1.81
0.90Defense 2.10
14%Hit Rate 61%
12.9Shots per Game 12.3
5.1Shots on Target 5.3
1.8Corners per Game 3.7
1.5Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.95 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

StrasbourgStrasbourg
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
MonacoMonaco
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

StrasbourgStrasbourg3Wins · 30%
Draws110%
MonacoMonaco6Wins · 60%
3.7Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Ligue 117/05/2026
StrasbourgMonaco
54
Coupe de France05/02/2026
StrasbourgMonaco
31
Ligue 131/08/2025
MonacoStrasbourg
32
Ligue 119/04/2025
MonacoStrasbourg
00
Ligue 109/11/2024
StrasbourgMonaco
13
Ligue 110/03/2024
StrasbourgMonaco
01
Ligue 120/08/2023
MonacoStrasbourg
30
Ligue 102/04/2023
MonacoStrasbourg
43
Ligue 106/08/2022
StrasbourgMonaco
12
Ligue 113/03/2022
StrasbourgMonaco
10

Recent Form

StrasbourgStrasbourg
4W0D6L
06/09/2026
Estac TroyesStrasbourg
26
W
29/08/2026
StrasbourgLens
21
W
21/08/2026
MarseilleStrasbourg
40
L
16/08/2026
NewcastleStrasbourg
2131
W
08/08/2026
SC FreiburgStrasbourg
20
L
04/08/2026
StrasbourgSV Elversberg
25
L
01/08/2026
BrightonStrasbourg
43
L
25/07/2026
StrasbourgBlackburn
02
L
20/07/2026
Sporting CPStrasbourg
70
L
17/05/2026
StrasbourgMonaco
54
W
MonacoMonaco
7W1D2L
04/09/2026
Paris Saint GermainMonaco
12
W
30/08/2026
MonacoMarseille
20
W
27/08/2026
MonacoGornik Zabrze
41
W
23/08/2026
Le HavreMonaco
01
W
20/08/2026
Gornik ZabrzeMonaco
23
W
14/08/2026
CoventryMonaco
20
L
09/08/2026
LiverpoolMonaco
23
W
06/08/2026
MonacoGetafe
10
W
31/07/2026
MonacoCercle Brugge
22
D
25/07/2026
Sporting CPMonaco
20
L

Referee Profile

Eric Wattellier152 matches

3.03Cards per match
2.86Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
20.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Eric Wattellier3.03
Other referees3.96

3.03 cards a match, 0.93 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.96).

Cards come from 148 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Ligue 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain852116:9+717WWWWW
2RennesRennes851218:14+416WLWLW
3LilleLille843111:6+515DDWLW
4MonacoMonaco843111:7+415DLDWD
5LyonLyon842213:7+614LWLWD
6Paris FCParis FC842213:9+414LWLWD
7LensLens841316:12+413WWWLD
8MarseilleMarseille840418:13+512WWWLL
9LorientLorient83327:6+112DWWLD
10NiceNice83238:10-211WLWWL
11ToulouseToulouse824212:11+110DWDWD
12AuxerreAuxerre831412:18-610DWLWW
13Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29823314:12+29LDWLL
14AngersAngers82249:15-68DLLWD
15Le MansLe Mans814311:16-57DLLWD
16StrasbourgStrasbourg821512:18-67LLLLD
17Estac TroyesEstac Troyes81255:16-115DLLLL
18Le HavreLe Havre80268:15-72LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain816:917
2RennesRennes818:1416
3LilleLille811:615
4MonacoMonaco811:715
5LyonLyon813:714
6Paris FCParis FC813:914
7LensLens816:1213
8MarseilleMarseille818:1312
9LorientLorient87:612
10NiceNice88:1011
11ToulouseToulouse812:1110
12AuxerreAuxerre812:1810
13Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29814:129
14AngersAngers89:158
15Le MansLe Mans811:167
16StrasbourgStrasbourg812:187
17Estac TroyesEstac Troyes85:165
18Le HavreLe Havre88:152
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Strasbourg vs Monaco forecast

The forecasts for this Ligue 1 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Strasbourg and Monaco in the Ligue 1 table

The table shows a wide gap: Monaco are 4th in the Ligue 1, while Strasbourg sit 16th, 8 points behind. League goal record so far: Strasbourg 12-18, Monaco 11-7. The full standings are on the Ligue 1 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Monaco have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.