Lillestrom vs Rosenborg Prediction

Lillestrom
0-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Rosenborg
Åråsen, Lillestrøm·Sigurd Smehus Kringstad, Norway 09/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.1 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.41
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap+0.4%
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 5.5
1.54
SignalGOODModel46%SurpriseMediumGap+10.8%
Lillestrom Rest
8 days
Rosenborg Rest
6 days

Lillestrom vs Rosenborg: result, form and history

Rosenborg beat Lillestrom 2-0 in the Eliteserien on 9 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. Rosenborg tend to win more corners, 7.1 a game to 3.3 for Lillestrom.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%2.31
X
24%3.57
2
29%2.77
Double Chance
1X
72%1.41
X2
53%1.57
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.50
No
45%2.43
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.57 + 1.12 = 2.69
Over 1.5
74%1.17
Over 2.5
47%1.60
Over 3.5
25%2.49
Under 1.5
26%4.60
Under 2.5
53%2.29
Under 3.5
75%1.50
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4.5 = 9.7
Over 8.5
62%1.27
Over 9.5
50%1.50
Over 10.5
39%1.84
Under 8.5
38%3.20
Under 9.5
50%2.38
Under 10.5
61%1.86
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 1.6 = 3.4
Over 3.5
37%-
Over 4.5
17%-
Under 3.5
63%-
Under 4.5
83%-

Match Events

24'J. Svensson
39'N. SahsahAssist: A. Chiakha
46'J. Svensson INA. F. Witry out
61'N. Sahsah INJ. Mortensen out
62'T. Olsen INF. Gulbrandsen out
62'A. Chiakha
69'D. Duris
71'A. Pereira INT. Dahl out
74'T. Nemcik
74'K. Krygard INH. Woxen out
74'L. Alperud ING. Nordh out
84'T. Dahl
88'E. K. Ceide INJ. Reitan-Sunde out
90'A. ChiakhaAssist: M. Bomholt
90+4'H. Woxen
90+6'M. Bomholt

Lineups

Lillestrom
4-5-1Coach: Hans Odegaard
Rosenborg
4-1-4-1Coach: Freyr Alexandersson
Avg rating6.84
Avg rating7.09
Pontus Dahlberg7.512P. Dahlberg
Lars Ranger6.02L. Ranger
Ruben GabrielsenC6.728R. Gabrielsen
Stian Kristiansen6.947S. Kristiansen
Frederik Elkær8.211F. Elkær
Karl Linus Alperud7.27K. Linus Alperud
Ylldren Ibrahimaj6.729Y. Ibrahimaj
Kevin Martin Krygard6.618K. Martin Krygard
Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim6.314G. Kjolstad Nyheim
Felix Vá6.920F. Vá
Thomas Lehne Olsen6.210T. Lehne Olsen
Leopold Wahlstedt7.91L. Wahlstedt
Jonas SvenssonC6.522J. Svensson
Mikkel Konradsen Ceide7.34M. Konradsen Ceide
Tomáš Nemčík6.921T. Nemčík
Adrian Nilsen Pereira7.219A. Nilsen Pereira
Ole Selnaes7.610O. Selnaes
Noah Sahsah7.511N. Sahsah
Mads Bomholt7.017M. Bomholt
Dávid Ďuriš6.529D. Ďuriš
Emil Konradsen Ceide7.035E. Konradsen Ceide
Amin Chiakha7.918A. Chiakha

Lillestrom Substitutes

1Stephan Hagerup
26Yaw Paintsil
3Sturla Ottesen
22John Kitolano
5Sander Moen Foss
15Gustav Nordh74'for L. Alperud6.9
6Harald Woxen74'for K. Krygard90+4'6.2
77Fredrik Gulbrandsen62'for T. Olsen7.5
25Seun Akanji

Rosenborg Substitutes

12Rasmus Sandberg
5Håkon Volden
3Tobias Solheim Dahl71'for A. Pereira84'6.9
16Aslak Witry46'for J. Svensson6.3
15Jonas Mortensen61'for N. Sahsah6.7
25Johan Johanessen Bakke
28Elias Slordal
30Maciej Soboczynski
14Jesper Reitan-Sunde88'for E. K. Ceide

Match Stats

LillestromRosenborg
55%Ball Possession45%
8Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards6
18Total Shots15
4Shots on Goal7
4Shots off Goal7
15Shots Inside Box14
3Shots Outside Box1
10Blocked Shots1
16Fouls26
1Offsides1
7Goalkeeper Saves4
448Total Passes365
343Passes Accurate276
77%Pass Accuracy76%

Team Comparison

LillestromLillestrom
RosenborgRosenborg
1665Elo Rating 1766
1.69Attack 2.75
0.72Defense 2.50
37%Hit Rate 81%
10.9Shots per Game 19.8
3.6Shots on Target 7.6
3.3Corners per Game 7.1
1.3Cards per Game 2.1

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
🔥Derby Match
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

LillestromLillestrom
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
RosenborgRosenborg
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 0.8 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

LillestromLillestrom5Wins · 50%
Draws110%
RosenborgRosenborg4Wins · 40%
2.9Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Eliteserien10/05/2026
RosenborgLillestrom
20
Eliteserien15/09/2024
LillestromRosenborg
11
Eliteserien21/08/2024
RosenborgLillestrom
40
Eliteserien24/09/2023
LillestromRosenborg
30
Eliteserien09/07/2023
RosenborgLillestrom
12
Eliteserien18/09/2022
RosenborgLillestrom
31
Eliteserien19/06/2022
LillestromRosenborg
31
Eliteserien30/10/2021
RosenborgLillestrom
13
Eliteserien25/06/2021
LillestromRosenborg
20
Super Cup26/04/2018
LillestromRosenborg
01

Recent Form

LillestromLillestrom
3W0D7L
31/07/2026
Bodo/GlimtLillestrom
40
L
22/07/2026
LillestromViking
12
L
18/07/2026
LillestromKFUM Oslo
21
W
11/07/2026
FredrikstadLillestrom
02
W
26/06/2026
LillestromDegerfors IF
23
L
20/06/2026
FC MidtjyllandLillestrom
10
L
25/05/2026
Ham-KamLillestrom
20
L
20/05/2026
LillestromKristiansund BK
12
L
16/05/2026
LillestromSandefjord
31
W
10/05/2026
RosenborgLillestrom
20
L
RosenborgRosenborg
5W1D4L
02/08/2026
BrannRosenborg
32
L
27/07/2026
RosenborgFredrikstad
40
W
24/07/2026
RosenborgManchester United
05
L
18/07/2026
StartRosenborg
03
W
12/07/2026
RosenborgKristiansund BK
30
W
05/07/2026
RosenborgMolde
21
W
29/05/2026
RosenborgBodo/Glimt
22
D
25/05/2026
KFUM OsloRosenborg
20
L
16/05/2026
RosenborgAalesund
23
L
10/05/2026
RosenborgLillestrom
20
W

Referee Profile

Sigurd Smehus Kringstad96 matches

3.65Cards per match
3.48Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
23.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Sigurd Smehus Kringstad3.65
Other referees3.38

3.65 cards a match, 0.27 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.38).

Cards come from 80 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eliteserien 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1VikingViking24192362:23+3959WWWWW
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt24182458:21+3756LWWLW
3MoldeMolde24134757:36+2143WWDLW
4RosenborgRosenborg24124846:31+1540WWDWW
5TromsoTromso24117643:34+940LDDWL
6LillestromLillestrom24123935:33+239WWDLW
7Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2487930:35-531WLWLD
8KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo24861030:39-930DDWWW
9BrannBrann24921342:40+229LLLWL
10ValerengaValerenga24851139:46-729WWLDL
11FredrikstadFredrikstad24851129:41-1229LLDDD
12Ham-KamHam-Kam24751233:51-1826LLWLL
13SandefjordSandefjord24661222:31-924LLDWL
14AalesundAalesund24591040:53-1324LWLWL
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK24551425:49-2420DLLLL
16StartStart24541526:54-2819WLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1VikingViking2462:2359
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt2458:2156
3MoldeMolde2457:3643
4RosenborgRosenborg2446:3140
5TromsoTromso2443:3440
6LillestromLillestrom2435:3339
7Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2430:3531
8KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo2430:3930
9BrannBrann2442:4029
10ValerengaValerenga2439:4629
11FredrikstadFredrikstad2429:4129
12Ham-KamHam-Kam2433:5126
13SandefjordSandefjord2422:3124
14AalesundAalesund2440:5324
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK2425:4920
16StartStart2426:5419
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Lillestrom vs Rosenborg forecast

As a derby, this Eliteserien meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Lillestrom and Rosenborg in the Eliteserien table

Rosenborg and Lillestrom are close in the Eliteserien table, 4th and 6th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Lillestrom 35-33, Rosenborg 46-31. The full standings are on the Eliteserien Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.