Aalesund vs Valerenga Prediction
Norway · Regular Season - 18
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Aalesund vs Valerenga: result, form and history
Aalesund and Valerenga drew 5-5 in the Eliteserien on 16 Aug 2026. Valerenga had gone in with the better form, having won 2 of their previous five against none for Aalesund.
Valerenga have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 7 previous meetings, which averaged 3.9 goals a game. Referee Mischa Kellerhals averages 2.27 cards a game, 1.37 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Aalesund
Avg ratingAvg rating
1L. Podlech
14U. Charles
4S. Haram
22E. Engqvist
3Ó. Guðmundsson
16J. Nyland Örsahl
C21M. Christensen
18E. Kristoffersen Hagen
6H. Butli Hammer
27M. Haagensen Reed
15E. Hjertager Osenbroch
1O. Hedvall
55S. Jarl
4A. Kiil Olsen
C37I. Näsberg
2K. Finnsson
7M. Ofkir
24P. Strand
10C. Lange
77L. Haren
17M. Grundetjern
9G. RajkovicAalesund Substitutes
Valerenga Substitutes
Match Stats
AalesundValerenga Team Comparison
AalesundValerengaAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Aalesund- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.8 in first half)
Valerenga- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.6 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 7 meetings, all competitions
Aalesund0Wins · 0%6Wins · 86%Previous meetings
16/07/2026ValerengaAalesund
24/09/2024ValerengaAalesund11/05/2024AalesundValerenga17/09/2023ValerengaAalesund10/04/2023AalesundValerenga07/08/2022ValerengaAalesund19/06/2022AalesundValerengaRecent Form
Aalesund
Ham-KamAalesundAalesund
TromsoAalesund
VikingValerengaAalesundAalesund
Molde
Kristiansund BKAalesundAalesundHam-KamTromsoAalesundAalesund
Brann
RosenborgAalesundValerengaValerenga
Bodo/GlimtValerengaHam-KamBrannValerengaValerengaAalesundTromsoValerengaValerenga
FredrikstadValerenga
Gais
IFK GoteborgValerengaValerengaKristiansund BK
StartValerengaReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
2.27 cards a match, 1.37 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.64).
Cards come from 11 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viking | 24 | 19 | 2 | 3 | 62:23 | +39 | 59 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Bodo/Glimt | 24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 58:21 | +37 | 56 | LWWLW |
| 3 | Molde | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 57:36 | +21 | 43 | WWDLW |
| 4 | Rosenborg | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 46:31 | +15 | 40 | WWDWW |
| 5 | Tromso | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 43:34 | +9 | 40 | LDDWL |
| 6 |  Lillestrom | 24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 35:33 | +2 | 39 | WWDLW |
| 7 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 30:35 | -5 | 31 | WLWLD |
| 8 |  KFUM Oslo | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 30:39 | -9 | 30 | DDWWW |
| 9 | Brann | 24 | 9 | 2 | 13 | 42:40 | +2 | 29 | LLLWL |
| 10 | Valerenga | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 39:46 | -7 | 29 | WWLDL |
| 11 | Fredrikstad | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 29:41 | -12 | 29 | LLDDD |
| 12 | Ham-Kam | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 33:51 | -18 | 26 | LLWLL |
| 13 |  Sandefjord | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 22:31 | -9 | 24 | LLDWL |
| 14 | Aalesund | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 40:53 | -13 | 24 | LWLWL |
| 15 | Kristiansund BK | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 25:49 | -24 | 20 | DLLLL |
| 16 | Start | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 26:54 | -28 | 19 | WLLLW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viking | 24 | 62:23 | 59 |
| 2 | Bodo/Glimt | 24 | 58:21 | 56 |
| 3 | Molde | 24 | 57:36 | 43 |
| 4 | Rosenborg | 24 | 46:31 | 40 |
| 5 | Tromso | 24 | 43:34 | 40 |
| 6 | Lillestrom | 24 | 35:33 | 39 |
| 7 | Sarpsborg 08 FF | 24 | 30:35 | 31 |
| 8 | KFUM Oslo | 24 | 30:39 | 30 |
| 9 | Brann | 24 | 42:40 | 29 |
| 10 | Valerenga | 24 | 39:46 | 29 |
| 11 | Fredrikstad | 24 | 29:41 | 29 |
| 12 | Ham-Kam | 24 | 33:51 | 26 |
| 13 | Sandefjord | 24 | 22:31 | 24 |
| 14 | Aalesund | 24 | 40:53 | 24 |
| 15 | Kristiansund BK | 24 | 25:49 | 20 |
| 16 | Start | 24 | 26:54 | 19 |
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About the Aalesund vs Valerenga forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Aalesund and Valerenga in the Eliteserien table
In the Eliteserien table, Valerenga are 10th and Aalesund 14th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Aalesund 40-53, Valerenga 39-46. The full standings are on the Eliteserien Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.