Molde vs Tromso Prediction

Molde
3-2
Finished
HT 1-0
Tromso
Aker Stadion, Molde·Espen Eskas, Norway 16/08/2026
MoldeMolde
3-2
Finished
TromsoTromso

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.18
SignalSTRONGModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-4.8%
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.46
SignalGOODModel42%SurpriseMediumGap+6.8%
Molde Rest
6 days
Tromso Rest
2 days

Molde vs Tromso: result, form and history

Molde beat Tromso 3-2 in the Eliteserien on 16 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: Tromso had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Molde.

Molde have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.1 goals a game. Molde tend to win more corners, 5.9 a game to 3.2 for Tromso.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
44%2.04
X
30%3.65
2
26%3.30
Double Chance
1X
74%1.32
X2
57%1.73
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.53
No
42%2.38
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.48 + 1.4 = 2.88
Over 1.5
82%1.18
Over 2.5
58%1.62
Over 3.5
31%2.50
Under 1.5
18%4.45
Under 2.5
42%2.25
Under 3.5
69%1.46
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.4 + 5.7 = 10.1
Over 8.5
64%1.36
Over 9.5
53%1.64
Over 10.5
43%2.03
Under 8.5
36%2.83
Under 9.5
47%2.13
Under 10.5
57%1.71
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.6 + 2 = 4.6
Over 3.5
63%-
Over 4.5
39%-
Under 3.5
37%-
Under 4.5
61%-

Match Events

31'J. Haugaard INO. Lauvli out
35'M. Lovik
41'E. Hestad(Penalty)
46'L. O. Larsen INIeltsin Camoes out
50'S. Granaas
53'H. LarsenAssist: T. Nyhammer
55'O. Spiten-NysaeterAssist: J. Abdullai
60'J. Abdullai
70'I. Dahlqvist INS. Innvaer out
74'D. Daga INV. Bender out
75'J. Abdullai INT. Kone-Doherty out
75'M. Lovik INS. Kabini out
84'H. Larsen
85'T. Nyhammer IND. Braut out
85'L. Hien INC. Oyvann out
87'M. Linnes
90+2'O. Spiten-Nysaeter
90+4'M. Linnes INE. Haugan out
90+5'O. Spiten-Nysaeter INC. Zady out
90+8'Ieltsin CamoesAssist: S. Innvaer

Lineups

Molde
4-2-3-1Coach: Sindre Tjelmeland
Tromso
5-3-2Coach: Jorgen Vik
Avg rating6.86
Avg rating6.54
Albert Posiadała6.622A. Posiadała
Martin Linnes7.325M. Linnes
Sivert Sira Hansen7.04S. Sira Hansen
Birk Risa7.533B. Risa
Mathias Løvik7.08M. Løvik
Emil BreivikC6.210E. Breivik
Daniel Daga6.630D. Daga
Eirik Hestad7.65E. Hestad
Sondre Milian Granaas6.723S. Milian Granaas
Oskar Spiten-Nysæter7.221O. Spiten-Nysæter
Jalal Abdullai6.59J. Abdullai
Jakob Haugaard7.31J. Haugaard
Isak Dahlqvist7.217I. Dahlqvist
Isak Vadebu6.630I. Vadebu
Leon Hien6.221L. Hien
Mathias Tonnessen6.63M. Tonnessen
Alexander Warneryd5.329A. Warneryd
David Edvardsson6.95D. Edvardsson
Ruben JenssenC6.511R. Jenssen
Lars Olden Larsen6.27L. Olden Larsen
Troy Nyhammer7.210T. Nyhammer
Heine Asen Larsen7.322H. Asen Larsen

Molde Substitutes

12Peder Hoel Lervik
26Samukelo Kabini75'for M. Lovik6.9
45Noah Ljøen Bye
19Eirik Haugan90+4'for M. Linnes
28Viktor Bender74'for D. Daga6.3
11Caleb Zady Sery90+5'for O. Spiten-Nysaeter
17Mats Møller Dæhli
24Trent Kone Doherty75'for J. Abdullai6.6
44Igor Fabian Gosik

Tromso Substitutes

12Ole Lauvli31'for J. Haugaard5.5
20Ieltsin Camões6.2
27Mads Mikkelsen
25Casper Öyvann85'for L. Hien6.5
37Sander Innvær70'for I. Dahlqvist6.6
8Jesper Andreas Grundt
19Aleksander Lilletun Elvebu
9Daniel Braut85'for T. Nyhammer6.5
15Viktor Ekblom

Match Stats

MoldeTromso
55%Ball Possession45%
3Corner Kicks2
4Yellow Cards1
12Total Shots7
3Shots on Goal3
5Shots off Goal3
8Shots Inside Box5
4Shots Outside Box2
4Blocked Shots1
16Fouls12
3Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves1
621Total Passes515
530Passes Accurate413
85%Pass Accuracy80%

Team Comparison

MoldeMolde
TromsoTromso
1706Elo Rating 1651
3.80Attack 1.84
1.74Defense 1.24
58%Hit Rate 36%
21.1Shots per Game 14.4
10.2Shots on Target 6.4
5.9Corners per Game 3.2
2.1Cards per Game 2.9

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.88 goals
📈BTTS Trend30% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

MoldeMolde
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.5 vs 1.3 in first half)
TromsoTromso
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.6 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

MoldeMolde6Wins · 60%
Draws00%
TromsoTromso4Wins · 40%
3.1Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Eliteserien10/05/2026
TromsoMolde
20
Eliteserien24/08/2025
MoldeTromso
20
Eliteserien05/07/2025
TromsoMolde
10
Eliteserien28/09/2024
MoldeTromso
53
Eliteserien28/06/2024
TromsoMolde
02
Eliteserien30/10/2023
MoldeTromso
14
Eliteserien10/04/2023
TromsoMolde
10
Eliteserien01/10/2022
TromsoMolde
01
Eliteserien10/07/2022
MoldeTromso
51
Eliteserien16/10/2021
MoldeTromso
30

Recent Form

MoldeMolde
3W2D5L
09/08/2026
Kristiansund BKMolde
21
L
02/08/2026
MoldeSarpsborg 08 FF
33
D
26/07/2026
KFUM OsloMolde
24
W
18/07/2026
MoldeBrann
12
L
11/07/2026
AalesundMolde
22
D
05/07/2026
RosenborgMolde
21
L
28/06/2026
MoldeBodo/Glimt
14
L
21/06/2026
MoldeKFUM Oslo
51
W
30/05/2026
MoldeSandefjord
21
W
25/05/2026
Sarpsborg 08 FFMolde
21
L

Referee Profile

Espen Eskas166 matches

3.56Cards per match
3.48Yellow cards per match
0.08Red cards per match
21.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Espen Eskas3.56
Other referees3.67

3.56 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.67).

Cards come from 150 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eliteserien 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1VikingViking24192362:23+3959WWWWW
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt24182458:21+3756LWWLW
3MoldeMolde24134757:36+2143WWDLW
4RosenborgRosenborg24124846:31+1540WWDWW
5TromsoTromso24117643:34+940LDDWL
6LillestromLillestrom24123935:33+239WWDLW
7Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2487930:35-531WLWLD
8KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo24861030:39-930DDWWW
9BrannBrann24921342:40+229LLLWL
10ValerengaValerenga24851139:46-729WWLDL
11FredrikstadFredrikstad24851129:41-1229LLDDD
12Ham-KamHam-Kam24751233:51-1826LLWLL
13SandefjordSandefjord24661222:31-924LLDWL
14AalesundAalesund24591040:53-1324LWLWL
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK24551425:49-2420DLLLL
16StartStart24541526:54-2819WLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1VikingViking2462:2359
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt2458:2156
3MoldeMolde2457:3643
4RosenborgRosenborg2446:3140
5TromsoTromso2443:3440
6LillestromLillestrom2435:3339
7Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2430:3531
8KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo2430:3930
9BrannBrann2442:4029
10ValerengaValerenga2439:4629
11FredrikstadFredrikstad2429:4129
12Ham-KamHam-Kam2433:5126
13SandefjordSandefjord2422:3124
14AalesundAalesund2440:5324
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK2425:4920
16StartStart2426:5419
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Molde vs Tromso forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Molde and Tromso in the Eliteserien table

Molde and Tromso are close in the Eliteserien table, 3rd and 5th, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: Molde 57-36, Tromso 43-34. The full standings are on the Eliteserien Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Molde have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.