Los Angeles FC vs San Diego Prediction

Los Angeles FC
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
San Diego
BMO Stadium, Los Angeles·Ismail Elfath, USA 16/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.70
SignalSOLIDModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+9.4%
Los Angeles FC Rest
3 days
San Diego Rest
3 days

Los Angeles FC vs San Diego: the result in context

San Diego beat Los Angeles FC 1-0 in the Major League Soccer on 16 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 4.0 a game across 3 meetings, with both teams scoring in 3. Referee Ismail Elfath averages 4.58 cards a game, 0.52 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
60%1.63
X
23%4.25
2
17%4.57
Double Chance
1X
83%1.19
X2
40%2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.48
No
40%2.47
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.77 + 1.03 = 2.80
Over 1.5
77%1.12
Over 2.5
57%1.44
Over 3.5
36%2.12
Under 1.5
23%5.80
Under 2.5
43%2.70
Under 3.5
64%1.70
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4 = 9.5
Over 8.5
57%1.56
Over 9.5
46%1.93
Over 10.5
33%2.50
Under 8.5
43%2.27
Under 9.5
54%1.80
Under 10.5
67%1.50
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.7 = 4.7
Over 3.5
64%1.64
Over 4.5
42%2.20
Under 3.5
36%2.19
Under 4.5
58%1.62

Match Events

21'Goal Disallowed - handballD. Bouanga
29'A. Alvarado Jr
53'L. Morgan INE. Achouri out
62'E. Segura
65'T. Boyd INJ. Shaffelburg out
65'T. Tillman INM. Choiniere out
73'A. Alvarado Jr INJ. Tverskov out
73'Gabriel Pirani INO. Valakari out
75'O. Valakari
80'M. Delgado
84'M. Choiniere
85'M. Ingvartsen INA. Pellegrino out
85'I. Murphy INC. McVey out
89'A. Dreyer(Penalty)
90'A. Dreyer
90'R. Hollingshead INR. Raposo out
90'E. Segura INJ. Ebobisse out
90+6'A. Dreyer
90+6'A. Dreyer
90+7'Son Heung-Min

Lineups

Los Angeles FC
4-3-3Coach: Marc Dos Santos
San Diego
4-3-3Coach: Mikey Varas
Avg rating6.67
Avg rating6.84
H. LlorisC7.21H. Lloris
R. Hollingshead6.724R. Hollingshead
R. Porteous6.95R. Porteous
Nkosi Tafari6.591N. Tafari
Y. Cheberko6.623Y. Cheberko
T. Tillman6.911T. Tillman
E. Segura6.94E. Segura
M. Delgado6.78M. Delgado
T. Boyd6.219T. Boyd
Son Heung-Min7.37S. Heung-Min
D. Bouanga6.399D. Bouanga
dos Santos CJ7.31d. Santos CJ
O. Verhoeven7.333O. Verhoeven
M. Duah7.526M. Duah
I. Murphy6.932I. Murphy
L. Bombino7.327L. Bombino
A. Alvarado Jr6.970A. Alvarado Jr
A. GodoyC7.320A. Godoy
Gabriel Pirani6.712G. Pirani
A. Dreyer6.710A. Dreyer
M. Ingvartsen6.27M. Ingvartsen
L. Morgan6.69L. Morgan

Los Angeles FC Substitutes

31C. Carter
45K. Nielsen
33A. Long
22J. Terry
66M. Choiniere65'for T. Tillman84'6.3
36D. Guerra
18J. Shaffelburg65'for T. Boyd6.3
21R. Raposo90'for R. Hollingshead6.7
17J. Ebobisse90'for E. Segura6.5

San Diego Substitutes

18D. Ferree
3D. Thorhallsson
97C. McVey85'for I. Murphy6.6
5K. Sargeant
8O. Valakari73'for Gabriel Pirani75'6.3
19D. Vazquez
6J. Tverskov73'for A. Alvarado Jr6.6
90A. Pellegrino85'for M. Ingvartsen6.7
99E. Achouri53'for L. Morgan6.5

Match Stats

Los Angeles FCSan Diego
40%Ball Possession60%
9Corner Kicks7
4Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards1
15Total Shots9
3Shots on Goal2
7Shots off Goal4
9Shots Inside Box6
6Shots Outside Box3
5Blocked Shots3
21Fouls12
4Offsides4
1Goalkeeper Saves3
397Total Passes597
325Passes Accurate527
82%Pass Accuracy88%

Team Comparison

Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC
San DiegoSan Diego
1655Elo Rating 1572
1.43Attack 2.20
1.86Defense 0.22
23%Hit Rate 0%
13.2Shots per Game 14.3
4.9Shots on Target 5.5
4.0Corners per Game 4.8
1.7Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
San DiegoSan Diego
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC0Wins · 0%
Draws133%
San DiegoSan Diego2Wins · 67%
4.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored3 of 3
100%3+ goals3 of 3

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer03/05/2026
San DiegoLos Angeles FC
22
Major League Soccer01/09/2025
Los Angeles FCSan Diego
12
Major League Soccer30/03/2025
San DiegoLos Angeles FC
32

Recent Form

Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC
7W1D2L
13/08/2026
Los Angeles FCClub Queretaro
5131
W
09/08/2026
TolucaLos Angeles FC
01
W
06/08/2026
Los Angeles FCGuadalajara Chivas
5141
W
02/08/2026
Vancouver WhitecapsLos Angeles FC
11
D
26/07/2026
Los Angeles FCSporting Kansas City
40
W
23/07/2026
Los Angeles FCReal Salt Lake
31
W
18/07/2026
Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles FC
03
W
25/05/2026
Los Angeles FCSeattle Sounders
10
W
18/05/2026
Nashville SCLos Angeles FC
32
L
14/05/2026
St. Louis CityLos Angeles FC
21
L
San DiegoSan Diego
4W3D3L
13/08/2026
San DiegoPuebla
32
W
10/08/2026
San DiegoClub Tijuana
10
W
07/08/2026
Club AmericaSan Diego
31
L
02/08/2026
Minnesota United FCSan Diego
11
D
26/07/2026
San DiegoFC Dallas
10
W
23/07/2026
Colorado RapidsSan Diego
10
L
24/05/2026
San DiegoVancouver Whitecaps
24
L
17/05/2026
San DiegoFC Cincinnati
33
D
14/05/2026
San DiegoAustin
50
W
10/05/2026
Seattle SoundersSan Diego
11
D

Referee Profile

Ismail Elfath115 matches

4.58Cards per match
4.35Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
26.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Ismail Elfath4.58
Other referees4.06

4.58 cards a match, 0.52 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.06).

Cards come from 107 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps32177867:33+3458WLWDD
2FC DallasFC Dallas32159858:49+954LWDWL
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City32149958:47+1151LLLDW
4Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo32149942:39+351WDDDD
5San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes321310954:47+749DLDDD
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC321211950:35+1547DDWDL
7Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids321271344:43+143DWDDD
8Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3211101141:40+143LDDLW
9Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake321261450:49+142WWWDL
10Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3210111145:54-941DDWLW
11Portland TimbersPortland Timbers321171457:60-340WWDLD
12Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC329111250:56-638WDWDD
13San DiegoSan Diego328111356:62-635LDDDL
14AustinAustin328101441:59-1834LWLLL
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City32642238:80-4222LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps3267:3358
2FC DallasFC Dallas3258:4954
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City3258:4751
4Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo3242:3951
5San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3254:4749
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3250:3547
7Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids3244:4343
8Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3241:4043
9Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake3250:4942
10Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3245:5441
11Portland TimbersPortland Timbers3257:6040
12Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3250:5638
13San DiegoSan Diego3256:6235
14AustinAustin3241:5934
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City3238:8022
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About the Los Angeles FC vs San Diego forecast

The forecasts for this Major League Soccer match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Los Angeles FC and San Diego in the Major League Soccer table

In the Major League Soccer table, Los Angeles FC are 6th and San Diego 13th, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: Los Angeles FC 50-35, San Diego 56-62. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.