Ludogorets vs Slavia Sofia Prediction

Ludogorets
1-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Slavia Sofia
Huvepharma Arena, Razgrad·Marijan Grebencharski, Bulgaria 22/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.33
SignalGOODModel72%SurpriseMediumGap-1.8%
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.44
SignalGOODModel56%SurpriseMediumGap+6.7%
Ludogorets Rest
6 days
Slavia Sofia Rest
12 days

Ludogorets vs Slavia Sofia: result, form and history

Ludogorets and Slavia Sofia drew 1-1 in the First League on 22 Aug 2026. Ludogorets had gone in with the better form, having won 4 of their previous five against 2 for Slavia Sofia.

Ludogorets have had the better of this fixture, winning 8 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
77%1.33
X
20%4.80
2
3%8.00
Double Chance
1X
97%1.06
X2
23%3.12
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.95
No
51%1.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.94 + 0.83 = 2.77
Over 1.5
80%1.18
Over 2.5
60%1.63
Over 3.5
31%2.52
Under 1.5
20%4.25
Under 2.5
40%2.20
Under 3.5
69%1.44
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

7'N. Savic
19'Rwan Cruz
25'F. Kaloc INK. Duah out
26'E. Stoev
33'E. Kurtulus
41'K. Duah
46'N. Savic INL. Marin out
46'D. Duarte INP. Stanic out
46'J. Andersson INSon out
48'V. Nikolov
53'D. Burov INJ. Semedo out
55'P. Stanic
63'K. Stoyanov
72'E. Stoev INV. Kazaldzhiev out
73'R. Raychev INM. Dosso out
78'A. Salido Tajero INCaio Vidal out
79'V. Miletic
80'I. Chochev
83'K. Stoyanov INY. Bornosuzov out
84'A. Camara INH. Abdelmaguid out
90'Diego

Lineups

Ludogorets
4-2-3-1Coach: Thomas Reis
Slavia Sofia
4-2-3-1Coach: Ratko Dostanic
Hendrik Bonmann39H. Bonmann
Joel Andersson2J. Andersson
Edvin Kurtulus15E. Kurtulus
Simeon Shishkov42S. Shishkov
Anton Nedyalkov3A. Nedyalkov
Filip Kaloč26F. Kaloč
Deroy Duarte23D. Duarte
Aguibou Camara20A. Camara
Ivajlo Chochev18I. Chochev
Alberto Salido7A. Salido
Rwan Cruz12R. Cruz
Ivan Andonov99I. Andonov
Diego Ferraresso87D. Ferraresso
Nikola Savić4N. Savić
David Malembana5D. Malembana
Dimitar Burov26D. Burov
Kristiyan Stoyanov71K. Stoyanov
Vladimir Miletić95V. Miletić
Emil Stoev77E. Stoev
Roberto Raychev7R. Raychev
Umaro Baldé27U. Baldé
Vladimir Nikolov88V. Nikolov

Ludogorets Substitutes

9Kwadwo Duah25'for F. Kaloc41'
17Son46'for J. Andersson
14Petar Stanić46'for D. Duarte55'
1Sergio Padt
4Hossam Abdelmaguid84'for A. Camara
55Idan Nachmias
22Mihail Polen Dakov
5Georgi Terziev
11Caio Vidal78'for A. Salido Tajero
40Aleksandar Marinov
82Ivan Yordanov

Slavia Sofia Substitutes

24Lazar Marin46'for N. Savic
20Jordan Semedo Varela53'for D. Burov
63Levi Ntumba
1Georgi Petkov
3Martin Georgiev
11Mouhamed Dosso73'for R. Raychev
6Boris Todorov
7Emilian Gogev
23Ilian Antonov
9Yoan Bornosuzov83'for K. Stoyanov
17Vasil Kazaldzhiev

Team Comparison

LudogoretsLudogorets
Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia
1683Elo Rating 1494
2.82Attack 1.14
2.50Defense 2.38
86%Hit Rate 41%
14.0Shots per Game 7.7
6.9Shots on Target 2.1
6.1Corners per Game 5.8
2.0Cards per Game 2.8

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+189 Elo
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

LudogoretsLudogorets
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.8 vs 1 in first half)
Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

LudogoretsLudogorets8Wins · 80%
Draws110%
Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia1Wins · 10%
3.0Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

First League08/12/2025
LudogoretsSlavia Sofia
11
First League09/08/2025
Slavia SofiaLudogorets
03
First League01/12/2024
LudogoretsSlavia Sofia
20
First League18/09/2024
Slavia SofiaLudogorets
01
First League27/11/2023
LudogoretsSlavia Sofia
23
First League02/11/2023
Slavia SofiaLudogorets
02
First League19/02/2023
LudogoretsSlavia Sofia
21
First League26/11/2022
Slavia SofiaLudogorets
12
First League17/04/2022
LudogoretsSlavia Sofia
41
First League26/02/2022
LudogoretsSlavia Sofia
31

Recent Form

LudogoretsLudogorets
7W2D1L
15/08/2026
LudogoretsBotev Plovdiv
20
W
09/08/2026
Cherno More VarnaLudogorets
23
W
02/08/2026
LudogoretsBotev Vratsa
21
W
30/07/2026
LudogoretsHapoel Tel Aviv
22
D
27/07/2026
Dunav RuseLudogorets
02
W
23/07/2026
Hapoel Tel AvivLudogorets
20
L
18/07/2026
LudogoretsLokomotiv Plovdiv
10
W
10/07/2026
LudogoretsTeuta Durrës
10
W
10/07/2026
LudogoretsSeptemvri Sofia
10
W
04/07/2026
LudogoretsFC Botosani
22
D
Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia
4W2D4L
10/08/2026
Botev VratsaSlavia Sofia
03
W
31/07/2026
Slavia SofiaLokomotiv Sofia
11
D
24/07/2026
Arda KardzhaliSlavia Sofia
10
L
20/07/2026
Slavia SofiaCSKA Sofia
00
D
11/07/2026
Slavia SofiaMontana
72
W
04/07/2026
Septemvri SofiaSlavia Sofia
23
W
22/05/2026
Slavia SofiaMontana
20
W
18/05/2026
Lokomotiv SofiaSlavia Sofia
20
L
13/05/2026
Slavia SofiaDobrudzha
02
L
10/05/2026
Spartak VarnaSlavia Sofia
21
L

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1293029:9+2030WWDWW
2Levski SofiaLevski Sofia1192024:5+1929DWDWW
3LudogoretsLudogorets1182121:9+1226LWWWD
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481281325:13+1225WLWWL
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1261517:18-119LWWWW
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1253416:18-218DLDLL
7Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1234511:17-613LWLDD
8Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia122649:9012DLLDW
9Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1232715:21-611WWDLL
10Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1224610:21-1110DLDDW
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv122376:14-89DDDLW
12Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1216513:20-79DDWLD
13Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1223713:22-99WLDDL
14Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1222810:23-138LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1229:930
2Levski SofiaLevski Sofia1124:529
3LudogoretsLudogorets1121:926
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481225:1325
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1217:1819
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1216:1818
7Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1211:1713
8Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia129:912
9Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1215:2111
10Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1210:2110
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv126:149
12Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1213:209
13Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1213:229
14Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1210:238
Conference LeaguePromotionRelegation

About the Ludogorets vs Slavia Sofia forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Ludogorets and Slavia Sofia in the First League table

In the First League table, Ludogorets are 3rd and Slavia Sofia 8th, 14 points apart. League goal record so far: Ludogorets 21-9, Slavia Sofia 9-9. The full standings are on the First League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.