Levski Sofia vs Spartak Varna Prediction

Levski Sofia
6-0
Finished
HT 2-0
Spartak Varna
Georgi Asparuhov Stadium, Sofia·Georgi Dimitrov, Bulgaria 22/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
85%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.22
SignalSTRONGModel70%SurpriseMediumGap+3.2%
Levski Sofia Rest
3 days
Spartak Varna Rest
5 days

Levski Sofia vs Spartak Varna: the result in context

Levski Sofia beat Spartak Varna 6-0 in the First League on 22 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Levski Sofia had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Spartak Varna.

Levski Sofia have had the better of this fixture, winning 4 of the 6 previous meetings, which averaged 3.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
90%1.22
X
7%5.50
2
3%11.00
Double Chance
1X
97%1.04
X2
10%3.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%2.22
No
54%1.61
Goals
Projected Goals: 2 + 0.76 = 2.76
Over 1.5
80%1.20
Over 2.5
58%1.63
Over 3.5
32%2.64
Under 1.5
20%4.24
Under 2.5
42%2.15
Under 3.5
68%1.44
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

8'A. Oko-Flex
15'J. Perea
46'T. Marinov INR. Sousa out
46'A. Centelles INMaicon out
49'R. Sousa
59'A. Ivanov INJota Lopes out
59'A. Ahmedov INT. Chunchukov out
59'Bua INT. Silva out
61'D. Kusso
63'Serginho INM. Moubarik out
63'A. Mitkov INM. Grujic out
64'A. Oko-Flex
71'A. Oko-Flex INA. Raychev out
75'B. Hanne INS. Major out
77'
79'V. Oliveira
80'J. Perea INS. Stoyanchov out
88'S. Stoyanchov
90'A. Raychev

Lineups

Levski Sofia
4-2-3-1Coach: Julio Velazquez
Spartak Varna
4-2-3-1Coach: Yasen Petrov
Svetoslav Vutsov92S. Vutsov
Hevertton Santos2H. Santos
Gašper Trdin18G. Trdin
Christian Makoun4C. Makoun
Álex Centelles20Á. Centelles
Serginho35Serginho
Asen Ivanov Mitkov10A. Ivanov Mitkov
David Kusso27D. Kusso
Mazire Soula22M. Soula
Armstrong Oko-Flex11A. Oko-Flex
Juan Perea9J. Perea
Plamen Iliev23P. Iliev
David Valverde Juan76D. Valverde Juan
Angel Granchov44A. Granchov
Joey Tshitoku45J. Tshitoku
Boris Ivanov4B. Ivanov
Tsvetoslav Marinov17T. Marinov
Vasco Oliveira72V. Oliveira
Anton Ivanov77A. Ivanov
Boubacar Hanne11B. Hanne
Buá7Buá
Ahmed Ahmedov70A. Ahmedov

Levski Sofia Substitutes

1Ognyan Vladimirov
50Kristian Dimitrov
3Maicon46'for A. Centelles
31Nikola Serafimov
21Aldair
77Adrian Raychev71'for A. Oko-Flex90'
8Marko Grujić63'for A. Mitkov
17Everton Bala
19El Mehdi Moubarik63'for Serginho
7Reinaldo
28Steven Stoyanchov80'for J. Perea88'

Spartak Varna Substitutes

1Pedro Victor
3Mateo Jurić-Petrašilo
10Jota Lopes59'for A. Ivanov
19Sámuel Major75'for B. Hanne
82Tomás Silva59'replaced by Bua
6Ricardo Sousa46'for T. Marinov49'
80Ángel Gomes Arevalo
99Georgi Trifonov
9Tsvetelin Chunchukov59'for A. Ahmedov

Team Comparison

Levski SofiaLevski Sofia
Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna
1739Elo Rating 1451
1.56Attack 1.21
2.34Defense 0.39
56%Hit Rate 36%
8.5Shots per Game 10.9
3.1Shots on Target 3.4
3.9Corners per Game 4.6
0.8Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+288 Elo
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Levski SofiaLevski Sofia
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.5 in first half)
Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.3 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

Levski SofiaLevski Sofia4Wins · 67%
Draws233%
Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna0Wins · 0%
3.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored3 of 6
67%3+ goals4 of 6

Previous meetings

First League07/12/2025
Spartak VarnaLevski Sofia
13
First League10/08/2025
Levski SofiaSpartak Varna
21
First League21/02/2025
Levski SofiaSpartak Varna
20
First League31/08/2024
Spartak VarnaLevski Sofia
00
First League06/11/2022
Spartak VarnaLevski Sofia
22
First League16/07/2022
Levski SofiaSpartak Varna
50

Referee Profile

Georgi Dimitrov57 matches

5.14Cards per match
4.89Yellow cards per match
0.25Red cards per match
28.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Georgi Dimitrov5.14
Other referees5.20

5.14 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.20).

Cards come from 36 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Levski SofiaLevski Sofia12102025:5+2032WDWDW
2CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1394029:9+2031DWWDW
3LudogoretsLudogorets1292124:9+1529WLWWW
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481391331:14+1728WWLWW
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1371522:20+222WLWWW
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1363418:19-121WDLDL
7Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia132749:9013DDLLD
8Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1334612:23-1113LLWLD
9Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1333714:22-812WWLDD
10Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1332815:22-711LWWDL
11Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1324710:22-1210LDLDD
12Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1316615:25-109LDDWL
13Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv132386:17-119LDDDL
14Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1322911:25-148LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Levski SofiaLevski Sofia1225:532
2CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1329:931
3LudogoretsLudogorets1224:929
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481331:1428
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1322:2022
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1318:1921
7Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia139:913
8Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1312:2313
9Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1314:2212
10Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1315:2211
11Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1310:2210
12Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1315:259
13Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv136:179
14Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1311:258
Conference LeaguePromotionRelegation

About the Levski Sofia vs Spartak Varna forecast

The forecasts for this First League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Levski Sofia and Spartak Varna in the First League table

In the First League table, Levski Sofia are 1st and Spartak Varna 8th, 19 points apart. League goal record so far: Levski Sofia 25-5, Spartak Varna 12-23. The full standings are on the First League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Levski Sofia have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.