Machida Zelvia vs Yokohama F. Marinos Prediction
Japan · Regular Season - 7
Machida GION Stadium, Machida 12/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Over 4.5
1.63
SignalGOODModel67%SurpriseMediumGap+7.1%
Machida Zelvia Rest
6 days
Yokohama F. Marinos Rest
6 days
Machida Zelvia vs Yokohama F. Marinos: result, form and history
Machida Zelvia and Yokohama F. Marinos drew 1-1 in the J1 League on 12 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 7 previous meetings averaged 3.1 goals, and both sides scored in 4 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
148%1.89
X30%3.60
222%3.90
Double Chance
1X78%1.23
X252%1.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes54%1.75
No46%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.73 + 0.95 = 2.68
Over 1.575%1.25
Over 2.548%1.84
Over 3.528%3.08
Under 1.525%3.65
Under 2.552%1.92
Under 3.572%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4 = 9.5
Over 8.554%1.72
Over 9.543%2.12
Over 10.535%2.89
Under 8.546%2.02
Under 9.557%1.60
Under 10.565%1.34
Cards
Projected Cards: 1 + 1.6 = 2.7
Over 3.528%-
Over 4.513%-
Under 3.572%-
Under 4.587%-
Match Events
12'Kaina TanimuraAssist: Kosuke Matsumura
20'Hotaka NakamuraDissent
32'Goal cancelledKaina Tanimura
45'Hotaka Nakamura INMin-Tae Kim out
45'Takuma Nishimura INTete Yengi out
45+4'Ryohei ShirasakiFoul
51'Ryotaro Tsunoda INToichi Suzuki out
65'Kosuke Matsumura INShin Miidera out
67'Tomoki KondoFoul
72'Takahiro AkimotoFoul
73'Ryohei Shirasaki INHokuto Shimoda out
73'Ryuho Kikuchi INYusuke Matsuo out
79'Ryo Miyaichi INTakuya Kida out
79'Kaina Tanimura INRio Nitta out
81'Kei Chinen INTakuto Kimura out
81'Takahiro Akimoto
84'Hiroyuki Mae INIbrahim Drešević out
84'Henry Heroki Mochizuki
Lineups
Machida ZelviaYokohama F. Marinos
4-2-3-1Coach: S. CoricaAvg ratingAvg rating
1K. Tani
6H. Mochizuki
4R. Kikuchi
3G. Shōji
88H. Nakamura
23R. Shirasaki
16H. Mae
33T. Akimoto
20T. Nishimura
7Y. Soma
9K. Ogawa
21H. Iikura
13T. Inoue
17J. Quiñónes
33K. Suwama
22R. Tsunoda
14K. Chinen
28R. Yamane
24T. Kondo
41K. Matsumura
23R. Miyaichi
9K. TanimuraMachida Zelvia Substitutes
5I. Drešević84'for Hiroyuki Mae
24Kim Min-Tae45'for Hotaka Nakamura
31N. Lavi
11A. Masuyama
14Y. Matsuo73'for Ryuho Kikuchi
13T. Morita
8K. Sento
18H. Shimoda73'for Ryohei Shirasaki
99T. Yengi45'for Takuma Nishimura
Yokohama F. Marinos Substitutes
25T. Suzuki51'for Ryotaro Tsunoda
35S. Kanta
1Park Il-Gyu
43R. Nitta79'for Kaina Tanimura
47S. Miidera65'for Kosuke Matsumura
34T. Kimura81'for Kei Chinen
8T. Kida79'for Ryo Miyaichi
11J. Croux
46H. Asada
Match Stats
Machida ZelviaYokohama F. Marinos 55%Ball Possession45%
5Corner Kicks6
2Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards0
11Total Shots11
5Shots on Goal3
3Shots off Goal5
9Shots Inside Box4
2Shots Outside Box7
3Blocked Shots3
8Fouls10
4Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves3
486Total Passes407
391Passes Accurate310
9Free Kicks8
Team Comparison
Machida ZelviaYokohama F. Marinos1754Elo Rating 1635
1.88Attack 1.98
3.00Defense 1.43
77%Hit Rate 41%
17.0Shots per Game 12.3
6.9Shots on Target 4.6
4.8Corners per Game 4.8
0.9Cards per Game 1.2
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+119 Elo
📈BTTS Trend57% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
Machida Zelvia- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.6 in first half)
Yokohama F. Marinos- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 7 meetings, all competitions
Machida Zelvia4Wins · 57%Draws114%
Yokohama F. Marinos2Wins · 29%
2Wins · 29%3.1Avg Goals
57%Both teams scored4 of 7
71%3+ goals5 of 7
Previous meetings
06/05/2026Machida ZelviaYokohama F. Marinos20
06/02/2026Yokohama F. MarinosMachida Zelvia23
23/08/2025Yokohama F. MarinosMachida Zelvia00
31/05/2025Machida ZelviaYokohama F. Marinos03
20/07/2024Machida ZelviaYokohama F. Marinos12
15/06/2024Yokohama F. MarinosMachida Zelvia13
12/07/2023Yokohama F. MarinosMachida Zelvia14
Recent Form
Machida Zelvia8W2D0L
06/09/2026
Nagoya GrampusMachida ZelviaMachida Zelvia
Kawasaki FrontaleMachida Zelvia
Urawa
JEF United ChibaMachida Zelvia
FC TokyoMachida Zelvia
Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia13
W02/09/2026Machida ZelviaKawasaki Frontale21
W29/08/2026
Mito HollyhockMachida Zelvia
Mito HollyhockMachida Zelvia11
D26/08/2026Machida Zelvia
Grulla Morioka
23/08/2026Machida ZelviaGrulla Morioka30
WMachida ZelviaUrawa31
W15/08/2026JEF United ChibaMachida Zelvia04
W08/08/2026FC TokyoMachida Zelvia15
W18/07/2026Machida Zelvia
Fujieda MYFC
Machida ZelviaFujieda MYFC21
W06/06/2026Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus2010
W30/05/2026Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia
Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia22
DYokohama F. Marinos6W2D2L
06/09/2026
Kashiwa ReysolYokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos
Kyoto SangaUrawaYokohama F. Marinos
Shimizu S-pulseYokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos
Kashima
Kashiwa ReysolYokohama F. Marinos02
W02/09/2026Yokohama F. MarinosKyoto Sanga11
D29/08/2026UrawaYokohama F. Marinos32
L26/08/2026Yokohama F. Marinos
Fukushima United
Yokohama F. MarinosFukushima United10
W22/08/2026Yokohama F. Marinos
Vissel Kobe
15/08/2026Yokohama F. MarinosVissel Kobe10
WShimizu S-pulseYokohama F. Marinos01
W07/08/2026Yokohama F. MarinosKashima34
L19/07/2026Yokohama F. Marinos
Roasso Kumamoto
Yokohama F. MarinosRoasso Kumamoto31
W15/07/2026Yokohama F. Marinos
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Yokohama F. MarinosTegevajaro Miyazaki11
D06/06/2026Yokohama F. MarinosShimizu S-pulse
Yokohama F. MarinosShimizu S-pulse30
WLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Tokyo | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 31:8 | +23 | 30 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 32:10 | +22 | 29 | WWLWW |
| 3 | Machida Zelvia | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 30:10 | +20 | 28 | DDWWW |
| 4 | Kashiwa Reysol | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 29:19 | +10 | 28 | WWDLW |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21:12 | +9 | 26 | WDLWL |
| 6 | Kashima | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 29:22 | +7 | 23 | WLDWW |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 27:22 | +5 | 22 | LWWWL |
| 8 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 20:14 | +6 | 21 | WDDDD |
| 9 | Urawa | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 21:27 | -6 | 21 | LWWWL |
| 10 |  Fagiano Okayama | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 15:21 | -6 | 16 | LLWLL |
| 11 | Nagoya Grampus | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15:21 | -6 | 14 | LDDWW |
| 12 |  Cerezo Osaka | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13:23 | -10 | 14 | LDDLD |
| 13 | Shimizu S-pulse | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 10:22 | -12 | 14 | LLLDW |
| 14 | Kyoto Sanga | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:23 | -6 | 13 | WDDLL |
| 15 |  V-varen Nagasaki | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16:21 | -5 | 12 | LLWLD |
| 16 |  Gamba Osaka | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 14:21 | -7 | 12 | DDWDL |
| 17 |  Tokyo Verdy | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11:22 | -11 | 11 | WWDLL |
| 18 | JEF United Chiba | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 15:24 | -9 | 10 | WDLDD |
| 19 | Mito Hollyhock | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12:25 | -13 | 9 | LLLLL |
| 20 |  Avispa Fukuoka | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 13:24 | -11 | 7 | LLLLW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Tokyo | 13 | 31:8 | 30 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 13 | 32:10 | 29 |
| 3 | Machida Zelvia | 13 | 30:10 | 28 |
| 4 | Kashiwa Reysol | 13 | 29:19 | 28 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 13 | 21:12 | 26 |
| 6 | Kashima | 13 | 29:22 | 23 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 13 | 27:22 | 22 |
| 8 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 13 | 20:14 | 21 |
| 9 | Urawa | 13 | 21:27 | 21 |
| 10 | Fagiano Okayama | 13 | 15:21 | 16 |
| 11 | Nagoya Grampus | 13 | 15:21 | 14 |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 13 | 13:23 | 14 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-pulse | 13 | 10:22 | 14 |
| 14 | Kyoto Sanga | 13 | 17:23 | 13 |
| 15 | V-varen Nagasaki | 13 | 16:21 | 12 |
| 16 | Gamba Osaka | 13 | 14:21 | 12 |
| 17 | Tokyo Verdy | 13 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 18 | JEF United Chiba | 13 | 15:24 | 10 |
| 19 | Mito Hollyhock | 13 | 12:25 | 9 |
| 20 | Avispa Fukuoka | 13 | 13:24 | 7 |
Champions LeagueRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More J1 League matches
- Kawasaki Frontale vs Shimizu S-pulse 06/09/26
- Kyoto Sanga vs Kashiwa Reysol 11/09/26
- Vissel Kobe vs Kashima 11/09/26
- Shimizu S-pulse vs Avispa Fukuoka 12/09/26
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka 12/09/26
- V-varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus 12/09/26
- Urawa vs Fagiano Okayama 13/09/26
- Shimizu S-pulse vs JEF United Chiba 19/09/26
About the Machida Zelvia vs Yokohama F. Marinos forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Machida Zelvia and Yokohama F. Marinos in the J1 League table
In the J1 League table, Machida Zelvia are 3rd and Yokohama F. Marinos 8th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Machida Zelvia 30-10, Yokohama F. Marinos 20-14. The full standings are on the J1 League Table 2027 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Machida Zelvia have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.