Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia Prediction
Japan · Regular Season - 6
Toyota Stadium, Toyota City 06/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
Value Analysis
57%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Over 4.5
1.85
SignalNEUTRALModel48%SurpriseMediumGap+7.1%
Nagoya Grampus Rest
3 days
Machida Zelvia Rest
3 days
Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia: result, form and history
Machida Zelvia beat Nagoya Grampus 3-1 in the J1 League on 6 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Machida Zelvia had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Nagoya Grampus.
Machida Zelvia have had the better of this fixture, winning 4 of the 6 previous meetings, which averaged 2.2 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
122%3.25
X30%3.37
248%2.15
Double Chance
1X52%1.67
X278%1.32
Both Teams to Score
Yes60%1.65
No40%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.14 + 1.73 = 2.87
Over 1.577%1.25
Over 2.551%1.84
Over 3.530%3.00
Under 1.523%3.60
Under 2.549%1.95
Under 3.570%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.5 + 5.4 = 10
Over 8.562%1.68
Over 9.547%2.10
Over 10.542%2.74
Under 8.538%2.06
Under 9.553%1.63
Under 10.558%1.37
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 1.4 = 3
Over 3.536%-
Over 4.519%-
Under 3.564%-
Under 4.581%-
Match Events
23'Yuya Asano INYuya Yamagishi out
36'Daihachi Okamura INHenry Heroki Mochizuki out
43'Ryuji IzumiFoul
45'Yuki Nogami INTeruki Hara out
45+7'Ryohei Shirasaki
46'Takahiro AkimotoFoul
55'Henry Heroki MochizukiOG
65'Kensuke Nagai INTomoya Koyamatsu out
66'Ryohei Shirasaki INHokuto Shimoda out
66'Takuma Nishimura INTete Yengi out
70'Ryuji Izumi INYota Sato out
75'Alexandre Kouto Horio PisanoOG
85'Tomoki TakamineFoul
85'Yuki Soma INYusuke Matsuo out
86'Koki Ogawa INMitchell Duke out
90+7'Yusuke Matsuo
Lineups
Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia
3-4-2-1Coach: G. KurodaAvg ratingAvg rating
35A. Pisano
2Y. Nogami
13H. Fujii
55S. Tokumoto
7R. Izumi
15S. Inagaki
31T. Takamine
27K. Nakayama
9Y. Asano
22Y. Kimura
18K. Nagai
1K. Tani
50D. Okamura
4R. Kikuchi
3G. Shōji
88H. Nakamura
16H. Mae
23R. Shirasaki
33T. Akimoto
20T. Nishimura
7Y. Soma
9K. OgawaNagoya Grampus Substitutes
70T. Hara45'for Yuki Nogami
33T. Kikuchi
19H. Koda
58T. Koyamatsu65'for Kensuke Nagai
14T. Morishima
41M. Ono
3Y. Sato70'for Ryuji Izumi
1D. Schmidt
11Y. Yamagishi23'for Yuya Asano
Machida Zelvia Substitutes
15M. Duke86'for Koki Ogawa
24Kim Min-Tae
14Y. Matsuo85'for Yuki Soma90+7'
6H. Mochizuki36'for Daihachi Okamura55'
13T. Morita
8K. Sento
18H. Shimoda66'for Ryohei Shirasaki
99T. Yengi66'for Takuma Nishimura
5I. Drešević
Match Stats
Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia 61%Ball Possession39%
6Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards1
12Total Shots12
1Shots on Goal5
4Shots off Goal5
10Shots Inside Box10
2Shots Outside Box2
7Blocked Shots2
11Fouls15
2Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves1
483Total Passes320
418Passes Accurate246
87%Pass Accuracy77%
Team Comparison
Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia1562Elo Rating 1754
1.61Attack 1.88
1.72Defense 3.00
17%Hit Rate 77%
15.3Shots per Game 17.0
4.8Shots on Target 6.9
3.9Corners per Game 4.8
0.7Cards per Game 0.9
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.87 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
Nagoya Grampus- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.7 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Machida Zelvia- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.6 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 6 meetings, all competitions
Nagoya Grampus0Wins · 0%Draws233%
Machida Zelvia4Wins · 67%
4Wins · 67%2.2Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored3 of 6
50%3+ goals3 of 6
Previous meetings
06/06/2026Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus2010
30/05/2026Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia22
30/11/2025Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus31
02/03/2025Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia12
06/07/2024Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus10
02/03/2024Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia01
Recent Form
Nagoya Grampus2W1D7L
02/09/2026
Sanfrecce HiroshimaNagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus
Fagiano OkayamaNagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
KashimaNagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus
Shimizu S-pulse
Sanfrecce HiroshimaNagoya Grampus30
L29/08/2026Nagoya GrampusFagiano Okayama21
W26/08/2026Nagoya Grampus
Gainare Tottori
22/08/2026Nagoya GrampusGainare Tottori13
LNagoya GrampusGamba Osaka31
W15/08/2026KashimaNagoya Grampus21
L08/08/2026Nagoya GrampusShimizu S-pulse01
L25/07/2026
Consadole SapporoNagoya Grampus
Consadole SapporoNagoya Grampus10
L21/07/2026
FC TokyoNagoya Grampus
FC TokyoNagoya Grampus21
L06/06/2026Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus2010
L30/05/2026Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia
Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia22
DMachida Zelvia8W2D0L
02/09/2026Machida Zelvia
Kawasaki FrontaleMachida Zelvia
Urawa
JEF United ChibaMachida ZelviaFC TokyoMachida Zelvia
Machida ZelviaKawasaki Frontale21
W29/08/2026
Mito HollyhockMachida Zelvia
Mito HollyhockMachida Zelvia11
D26/08/2026Machida Zelvia
Grulla Morioka
23/08/2026Machida ZelviaGrulla Morioka30
WMachida ZelviaUrawa31
W15/08/2026JEF United ChibaMachida Zelvia04
W08/08/2026FC TokyoMachida Zelvia15
W18/07/2026Machida Zelvia
Fujieda MYFC
Machida ZelviaFujieda MYFC21
W06/06/2026Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus2010
W30/05/2026Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia
Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia22
D22/05/2026Machida ZelviaUrawa
Machida ZelviaUrawa10
WLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Tokyo | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 31:8 | +23 | 30 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 32:10 | +22 | 29 | WWLWW |
| 3 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 29:19 | +10 | 28 | WWDLW |
| 4 | Machida Zelvia | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 30:10 | +20 | 27 | DWWWL |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21:12 | +9 | 26 | WDLWL |
| 6 | Kashima | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 29:22 | +7 | 23 | WLDWW |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 27:22 | +5 | 22 | LWWWL |
| 8 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 20:14 | +6 | 21 | WDDDD |
| 9 | Urawa | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 21:27 | -6 | 21 | LWWWL |
| 10 | Fagiano Okayama | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 15:21 | -6 | 16 | LLWLL |
| 11 | Nagoya Grampus | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15:21 | -6 | 14 | LDDWW |
| 12 |  Cerezo Osaka | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13:23 | -10 | 14 | LDDLD |
| 13 | Shimizu S-pulse | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 10:22 | -12 | 14 | LLLDW |
| 14 |  Kyoto Sanga | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:23 | -6 | 13 | WDDLL |
| 15 |  V-varen Nagasaki | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15:19 | -4 | 12 | LWLDD |
| 16 | Gamba Osaka | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14:21 | -7 | 11 | DWDLL |
| 17 | Mito Hollyhock | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12:25 | -13 | 9 | LLLLL |
| 18 |  Tokyo Verdy | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 9:21 | -12 | 8 | WDLLL |
| 19 |  Avispa Fukuoka | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 13:21 | -8 | 7 | LLLWL |
| 20 | JEF United Chiba | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12:24 | -12 | 7 | DLDDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Tokyo | 13 | 31:8 | 30 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 13 | 32:10 | 29 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 13 | 29:19 | 28 |
| 4 | Machida Zelvia | 12 | 30:10 | 27 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 13 | 21:12 | 26 |
| 6 | Kashima | 13 | 29:22 | 23 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 13 | 27:22 | 22 |
| 8 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 13 | 20:14 | 21 |
| 9 | Urawa | 13 | 21:27 | 21 |
| 10 | Fagiano Okayama | 13 | 15:21 | 16 |
| 11 | Nagoya Grampus | 13 | 15:21 | 14 |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 13 | 13:23 | 14 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-pulse | 13 | 10:22 | 14 |
| 14 | Kyoto Sanga | 13 | 17:23 | 13 |
| 15 | V-varen Nagasaki | 12 | 15:19 | 12 |
| 16 | Gamba Osaka | 12 | 14:21 | 11 |
| 17 | Mito Hollyhock | 13 | 12:25 | 9 |
| 18 | Tokyo Verdy | 12 | 9:21 | 8 |
| 19 | Avispa Fukuoka | 12 | 13:21 | 7 |
| 20 | JEF United Chiba | 12 | 12:24 | 7 |
Champions LeagueRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More J1 League matches
- Shimizu S-pulse vs FC Tokyo 02/09/26
- V-varen Nagasaki vs Gamba Osaka 02/09/26
- Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kyoto Sanga 02/09/26
- Avispa Fukuoka vs Mito Hollyhock 05/09/26
- JEF United Chiba vs Gamba Osaka 06/09/26
- Kashima vs Urawa 06/09/26
- Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima 06/09/26
- Cerezo Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy 06/09/26
About the Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Nagoya Grampus and Machida Zelvia in the J1 League table
In the J1 League table, Machida Zelvia are 4th and Nagoya Grampus 11th, 13 points apart. League goal record so far: Nagoya Grampus 15-21, Machida Zelvia 30-10. The full standings are on the J1 League Table 2027 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Machida Zelvia have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.