Avispa Fukuoka vs Mito Hollyhock Prediction

Best Denki Stadium, Fukuoka 05/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
Value Analysis
59%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.81
SignalSOLIDModel36%SurpriseHighGap+8.3%
Avispa Fukuoka Rest
3 days
Mito Hollyhock Rest
3 days

Avispa Fukuoka vs Mito Hollyhock: result, form and history

Avispa Fukuoka and Mito Hollyhock drew 1-1 in the J1 League on 5 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
44%2.04
X
26%3.30
2
30%3.70
Double Chance
1X
70%1.25
X2
56%1.77
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%1.81
No
41%1.89
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.49 + 1.16 = 2.65
Over 1.5
77%1.33
Over 2.5
50%2.05
Over 3.5
30%3.55
Under 1.5
23%3.10
Under 2.5
50%1.75
Under 3.5
70%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 4.5 = 10.2
Over 8.5
62%1.96
Over 9.5
56%2.40
Over 10.5
42%3.20
Under 8.5
38%1.79
Under 9.5
44%1.47
Under 10.5
58%1.25
Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

45+1'Arata WatanabeFoul
50'Kokoro MaedaFoul
53'Shu MorookaAssist: Daiki Fukazawa
54'Yu Funabashi INKoshi Osaki out
57'Shu MorookaArgument
62'Werik Popo INShintaro Nago out
63'Kokoro Maeda INKeiya Shiihashi out
63'Teppei Oka INYota Maejima out
69'Kotaro Uchino INPatryck Ferreira out
69'Arata Watanabe INChihiro Kato out
69'Kaito Taniguchi INHayata Yamamoto out
70'Yoshiki TorikaiFoul
77'Yuma Tsujioka INDaiki Miya out
82'Yasuki KimotoFoul
85'Yoshiki Torikai INRyo Nemoto out
86'Yasuki KimotoAssist: Sho Omori
89'Yu Hashimoto INKazuki Fujimoto out

Lineups

Avispa Fukuoka
3-4-2-1Coach: Shinya Tsukahara
Mito Hollyhock
4-4-2Coach: Daisuke Kimori
Avg rating6.56
Avg rating6.56
K. Fujita6.141K. Fujita
T. Oka6.116T. Oka
M. Tashiro7.137M. Tashiro
Y. Tsujioka6.815Y. Tsujioka
Y. Hashimoto6.447Y. Hashimoto
K. Maeda6.055K. Maeda
T. Miki6.811T. Miki
D. Fukazawa6.923D. Fukazawa
S. Morooka7.613S. Morooka
M. Shigemi6.36M. Shigemi
Werik Popo6.29W. Popo
K. Nishikawa7.334K. Nishikawa
T. Mase6.025T. Mase
Y. Kimoto7.415Y. Kimoto
A. Kawazura6.64A. Kawazura
S. Omori7.87S. Omori
Y. Torikai6.211Y. Torikai
T. Semba6.619T. Semba
Y. Funabashi5.920Y. Funabashi
K. Taniguchi6.122K. Taniguchi
A. Watanabe6.410A. Watanabe
K. Uchino6.818K. Uchino

Avispa Fukuoka Substitutes

1T. Nagaishi
38D. Miya77'for Yuma Tsujioka6.6
29Y. Maejima63'for Teppei Oka6.5
17H. Akino
34K. Shiihashi63'for Kokoro Maeda6.3
14S. Nago62'for Werik Popo6.6
25Y. Kitajima
32A. Brown
22K. Fujimoto89'for Yu Hashimoto6.5

Mito Hollyhock Substitutes

27J. Slowik
3K. Osaki54'for Yu Funabashi6.3
50R. Ieizumi
17K. Itakura
16Y. Tamura
8C. Kato69'for Arata Watanabe6.2
39H. Yamamoto69'for Kaito Taniguchi6.4
9R. Nemoto85'for Yoshiki Torikai6.7
33Patryck69'for Kotaro Uchino6.4

Match Stats

Avispa FukuokaMito Hollyhock
46%Ball Possession54%
5Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards3
16Total Shots10
5Shots on Goal4
10Shots off Goal3
10Shots Inside Box8
6Shots Outside Box2
1Blocked Shots3
11Fouls18
1Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves4
378Total Passes438
293Passes Accurate349
17Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka
Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock
1423Elo Rating 1460
0.95Attack 1.35
0.68Defense 1.90
14%Hit Rate 34%
11.3Shots per Game 4.9
2.7Shots on Target 2.1
3.9Corners per Game 2.6
2.5Cards per Game 1.2

AI Insights

📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka
4W1D5L
02/09/2026
Avispa FukuokaUrawa
23
L
29/08/2026
Kyoto SangaAvispa Fukuoka
21
L
26/08/2026
Avispa FukuokaVerspah Oita
5040
W
22/08/2026
KashimaAvispa Fukuoka
32
L
15/08/2026
Avispa FukuokaCerezo Osaka
30
W
08/08/2026
Avispa FukuokaVissel Kobe
01
L
19/07/2026
Avispa FukuokaOsaka
32
W
11/07/2026
Avispa FukuokaKitakyushu
12
L
06/06/2026
JEF United ChibaAvispa Fukuoka
12
W
30/05/2026
Avispa FukuokaJEF United Chiba
22
D
Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock
2W2D6L
02/09/2026
Mito HollyhockKashima
42
W
29/08/2026
Mito HollyhockMachida Zelvia
11
D
26/08/2026
Mito HollyhockKyoto Sangyo University
02
L
22/08/2026
Kyoto SangaMito Hollyhock
13
W
15/08/2026
Mito HollyhockGamba Osaka
11
D
08/08/2026
Kashiwa ReysolMito Hollyhock
21
L
06/06/2026
Mito HollyhockV-varen Nagasaki
01
L
30/05/2026
V-varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock
10
L
24/05/2026
Mito HollyhockKawasaki Frontale
13
L
16/05/2026
Mito HollyhockTokyo Verdy
01
L

League Table

J1 League 2027
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia1283130:10+2027DWWWL
2FC TokyoFC Tokyo1283127:8+1927WDWWW
3Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima1282229:10+1926WLWWW
4Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol1281325:19+625WDLWW
5Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1272318:11+723DLWLW
6Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale1264225:18+722WWWLD
7UrawaUrawa1270521:23-221WWWLW
8KashimaKashima1262425:21+420LDWWD
9Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos1246216:12+418DDDDW
10Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1251615:17-216LWLLL
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus1242614:18-414DDWWL
12Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka1235412:19-714DDLDD
13Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse1242610:20-1014LLDWW
14V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki1233615:19-412LWLDD
15Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1225514:21-711DWDLL
16Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1224615:23-810DDLLW
17Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock1223712:22-109LLLLL
18Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy121569:21-128WDLLL
19Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka1221913:21-87LLLWL
20JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba1214712:24-127DLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia1230:1027
2FC TokyoFC Tokyo1227:827
3Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima1229:1026
4Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol1225:1925
5Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1218:1123
6Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale1225:1822
7UrawaUrawa1221:2321
8KashimaKashima1225:2120
9Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos1216:1218
10Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1215:1716
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus1214:1814
12Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka1212:1914
13Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse1210:2014
14V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki1215:1912
15Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1214:2111
16Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1215:2310
17Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock1212:229
18Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy129:218
19Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka1213:217
20JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba1212:247
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Avispa Fukuoka vs Mito Hollyhock forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Avispa Fukuoka and Mito Hollyhock in the J1 League table

Mito Hollyhock and Avispa Fukuoka are close in the J1 League table, 17th and 19th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Avispa Fukuoka 13-21, Mito Hollyhock 12-22. The full standings are on the J1 League Table 2027 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Avispa Fukuoka and Mito Hollyhock have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.