Urawa vs Fagiano Okayama Prediction

J1 LeagueJapan Japan · Regular Season - 7
Urawa
1-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Fagiano Okayama
Saitama Stadium, Saitama 13/09/2026
UrawaUrawa
1-2
Finished
Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.38
SignalGOODModel42%SurpriseMediumGap-2.0%
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.58
SignalSOLIDModel64%SurpriseMediumGap+2.2%
Urawa Rest
7 days
Fagiano Okayama Rest
7 days

Urawa vs Fagiano Okayama: result, form and history

Fagiano Okayama beat Urawa 2-1 in the J1 League on 13 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.5 goals a game across 4 matches.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%2.31
X
31%3.40
2
27%2.94
Double Chance
1X
73%1.38
X2
58%1.57
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.70
No
46%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.46 + 1.21 = 2.67
Over 1.5
75%1.28
Over 2.5
48%1.91
Over 3.5
28%3.25
Under 1.5
25%3.45
Under 2.5
52%1.88
Under 3.5
72%1.31
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 4.6 = 9.9
Over 8.5
57%1.46
Over 9.5
46%1.76
Over 10.5
36%2.23
Under 8.5
43%2.52
Under 9.5
54%1.96
Under 10.5
64%1.58
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.2 + 1.7 = 2.9
Over 3.5
33%-
Over 4.5
17%-
Under 3.5
67%-
Under 4.5
83%-

Match Events

15'Danilo INKota Kudo out
18'Hiroshi OmoriAssist: Haruka Motoyama
27'Harumi MinaminoAssist: Tatsuki Seko
38'Eiji MiyamotoFoul
56'Ataru Esaka INNa Sang-Ho out
56'Kota Kawano INKamiya Yuta out
59'Lucas Marcos MeirelesFoul
63'Matheus Sávio INRyoma Watanabe out
63'Tatsuki Seko INKaito Yasui out
64'Lucas Marcos Meireles INLéo Gaúcho out
72'Kota Mizunuma INMiki Yamane out
72'Ado Onaiwu INHiiro Komori out
75'Haruka MotoyamaFoul
80'Ibuki Fujita INSoichiro Mori out
80'Kosuke Shirai INNoah Kenshin Browne out
80'Hayate Ueki Foul
90+8'Eiji Miyamoto INDaichi Tagami out
90+8'Hayate Ueki INShuta Sasa out
90+11'Yugo TatsutaAssist: Noah Kenshin Browne

Lineups

Urawa
4-3-3Coach: Gwi-jae Jo
Fagiano Okayama
3-4-2-1Coach: T. Kiyama
Avg rating6.27
Avg rating6.45
K. Fukui6.023K. Fukui
Danilo Boza6.13D. Boza
Y. Miyamoto5.72Y. Miyamoto
K. Nemoto6.35K. Nemoto
Y. Naganuma6.788Y. Naganuma
H. Ueki6.037H. Ueki
T. Seko6.412T. Seko
H. Minamino7.242H. Minamino
K. Mizunuma6.28K. Mizunuma
A. Onaiwu6.445A. Onaiwu
Matheus Sávio6.110M. Sávio
L. Moser5.91L. Moser
H. Omori6.86H. Omori
Y. Tatsuta7.348Y. Tatsuta
Y. Suzuki6.343Y. Suzuki
H. Motoyama6.626H. Motoyama
I. Fujita6.124I. Fujita
E. Miyamoto6.541E. Miyamoto
K. Shirai6.451K. Shirai
K. Kawano6.220K. Kawano
A. Esaka5.98A. Esaka
Lucão6.499Lucão

Urawa Substitutes

25K. Yasui63'for Tatsuki Seko5.9
6M. Yamane72'for Kota Mizunuma5.8
13R. Watanabe63'for Matheus Sávio6.6
33S. Sasa90+8'for Hayate Ueki
15K. Kudo15'for Danilo6.5
17H. Komori72'for Ado Onaiwu6.5
39J. Hayakawa
44Y. Arai
34Reon Tanaka

Fagiano Okayama Substitutes

88T. Yamane
18D. Tagami90+8'for Eiji Miyamoto
19R. Sato
10Na Sang-Ho56'for Ataru Esaka6.8
44S. Mori80'for Ibuki Fujita6.3
9Léo Gaúcho64'for Lucas Marcos Meireles6.6
77G. Kawanami
33Y. Kamiya56'for Kota Kawano6.5
79N. Browne80'for Kosuke Shirai6.7

Match Stats

UrawaFagiano Okayama
60%Ball Possession40%
4Corner Kicks8
1Yellow Cards3
12Total Shots12
2Shots on Goal3
5Shots off Goal8
6Shots Inside Box8
6Shots Outside Box4
5Blocked Shots1
10Fouls10
5Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves1
505Total Passes324
404Passes Accurate223
80%Pass Accuracy69%

Team Comparison

UrawaUrawa
Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama
1624Elo Rating 1563
2.24Attack 1.43
1.68Defense 1.40
83%Hit Rate 41%
16.5Shots per Game 12.6
4.2Shots on Target 4.2
7.7Corners per Game 5.8
0.3Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend25% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

UrawaUrawa
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.9 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

UrawaUrawa2Wins · 50%
Draws125%
Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1Wins · 25%
1.5Avg Goals
25%Both teams scored1 of 4
0%3+ goals0 of 4

Previous meetings

J1 League06/06/2026
UrawaFagiano Okayama
02
J1 League31/05/2026
Fagiano OkayamaUrawa
11
J1 League30/11/2025
Fagiano OkayamaUrawa
01
J1 League08/03/2025
UrawaFagiano Okayama
10

Recent Form

UrawaUrawa
4W1D5L
06/09/2026
KashimaUrawa
01
W02/09/2026
Avispa FukuokaUrawa
23
W29/08/2026
UrawaYokohama F. Marinos
32
W
26/08/2026
UrawaYamanashi Gakuin
30
W
23/08/2026
Machida ZelviaUrawa
31
L
15/08/2026
UrawaSanfrecce Hiroshima
14
L
07/08/2026
Gamba OsakaUrawa
43
L
01/08/2026
UrawaOmiya Ardija
22
D
17/07/2026
FC RyukyuUrawa
54
L
06/06/2026
UrawaFagiano Okayama
02
L
Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama
5W1D4L
06/09/2026
Fagiano OkayamaSanfrecce Hiroshima
32
W02/09/2026
JEF United ChibaFagiano Okayama
12
W29/08/2026
Nagoya GrampusFagiano Okayama
21
L
26/08/2026
Fagiano OkayamaBeluga Rosso Iwami
30
W
22/08/2026
Fagiano OkayamaTokyo Verdy
00
D
15/08/2026
Fagiano OkayamaV-varen Nagasaki
10
W
08/08/2026
Cerezo OsakaFagiano Okayama
21
L
25/07/2026
FC Schalke 04Fagiano Okayama
31
L
22/07/2026
Werder BremenFagiano Okayama
20
L
21/07/2026
Metalist 1925 KharkivFagiano Okayama
12
W

League Table

J1 League 2027
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia1283130:10+2027DWWWL
2FC TokyoFC Tokyo1283127:8+1927WDWWW
3Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima1282229:10+1926WLWWW
4Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol1281325:19+625WDLWW
5Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1272318:11+723DLWLW
6Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale1264225:18+722WWWLD
7UrawaUrawa1270521:23-221WWWLW
8KashimaKashima1262425:21+420LDWWD
9Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos1246216:12+418DDDDW
10Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1251615:17-216LWLLL
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus1242614:18-414DDWWL
12Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka1235412:19-714DDLDD
13Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse1242610:20-1014LLDWW
14V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki1233615:19-412LWLDD
15Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1225514:21-711DWDLL
16Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1224615:23-810DDLLW
17Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock1223712:22-109LLLLL
18Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy121569:21-128WDLLL
19Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka1221913:21-87LLLWL
20JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba1214712:24-127DLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia1230:1027
2FC TokyoFC Tokyo1227:827
3Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima1229:1026
4Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol1225:1925
5Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1218:1123
6Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale1225:1822
7UrawaUrawa1221:2321
8KashimaKashima1225:2120
9Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos1216:1218
10Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1215:1716
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus1214:1814
12Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka1212:1914
13Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse1210:2014
14V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki1215:1912
15Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1214:2111
16Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1215:2310
17Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock1212:229
18Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy129:218
19Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka1213:217
20JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba1212:247
Champions LeagueRelegation

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About the Urawa vs Fagiano Okayama forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Urawa and Fagiano Okayama in the J1 League table

In the J1 League table, Urawa are 7th and Fagiano Okayama 10th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Urawa 21-23, Fagiano Okayama 15-17. The full standings are on the J1 League Table 2027 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.