Monarcas vs Correcaminos Uat Prediction

Monarcas
1-3
Finished
HT 0-1
Correcaminos Uat
Estadio Morelos, Morelia·A. Rodriguez 21/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
87%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.17
SignalSTRONGModel66%SurpriseMediumGap+1.1%
Monarcas Rest
5 days
Correcaminos Uat Rest
6 days

Monarcas vs Correcaminos Uat: the result in context

Correcaminos Uat beat Monarcas 3-1 in the Liga de Expansión MX on 21 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
71%1.62
X
19%4.00
2
10%4.50
Double Chance
1X
90%1.17
X2
29%2.13
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.55
No
56%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.15
Over 2.5
39%1.51
Over 3.5
19%2.29
Under 1.5
36%4.70
Under 2.5
61%2.32
Under 3.5
81%1.55
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

5'D. Aguilar
15'Y. Uribe
15'D. De Buen
22'D. Zamora
28'D. Torres
33'T. SandovalAssist: O. Islas
45+6'J. Van Rankin INA. Flores out
46'V. Lopez INM. Rodriguez out
58'W. Guzman
58'D. Mina INB. Mendoza out
60'D. Aguilar INM. Dominguez out
66'B. MendozaAssist: W. Guzman
74'O. IslasAssist: Y. Uribe
75'M. Nambo INP. Romero out
75'R. Sandoval INE. Castellanos out
78'G. Moreno INC. Sosa out
78'Y. Uribe INN. Gomez Del Rosal out
78'T. Sandoval INJ. Zapata out
82'O. Islas INA. Catalan out
88'J. Zapata
90+4'A. Flores

Lineups

Monarcas
Coach: Roberto Colace Hugo
Correcaminos Uat
Coach: Gabriel Pereyra

Monarcas Starting XI

22R. Pasquel Colin
2R. Lopez Aburto
5J. Van Rankin45+6'replaced by A. Flores
6D. De Buen15'
16R. Sandoval75'replaced by E. Castellanos
13A. Andrade
4D. Zamora22'
11V. Lopez46'replaced by M. Rodriguez
20D. Aguilar5'60'replaced by M. Dominguez
17M. Nambo75'replaced by P. Romero
9R. del Campo

Correcaminos Uat Starting XI

24E. Resendez
2W. Ortega
13G. Moreno78'replaced by C. Sosa
6A. Ruiz
3O. Perez
32T. Sandoval33'78'replaced by J. Zapata
7O. Islas74'82'replaced by A. Catalan
8D. Torres28'
10W. Guzman58'
33D. Mina58'replaced by B. Mendoza
11Y. Uribe15'78'replaced by N. Gomez Del Rosal

Monarcas Substitutes

1R. Galan
14R. Castellanos
15O. Botello
7P. Romero75'for M. Nambo
10M. Dominguez60'for D. Aguilar
19M. Rodriguez46'for V. Lopez
21E. Castellanos75'for R. Sandoval
30J. Conejo
28A. Flores45+6'for J. Van Rankin90+4'
32A. Izarra

Correcaminos Uat Substitutes

1E. Perez
5A. Monarrez
19A. Catalan82'for O. Islas
12N. Gomez Del Rosal78'for Y. Uribe
17J. Zapata78'for T. Sandoval88'
20J. Estopier
101A. Aguilar
14C. Sosa78'for G. Moreno
28R. Arce
29B. Mendoza58'for D. Mina66'

Team Comparison

MonarcasMonarcas
Correcaminos UatCorrecaminos Uat
1553Elo Rating 1434
1.14Attack 0.81
1.71Defense 1.58
14%Hit Rate 17%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+119 Elo
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

MonarcasMonarcas
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Correcaminos UatCorrecaminos Uat
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

MonarcasMonarcas5Wins · 50%
Draws330%
Correcaminos UatCorrecaminos Uat2Wins · 20%
2.7Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga de Expansión MX11/01/2026
MonarcasCorrecaminos Uat
30
Liga de Expansión MX02/08/2025
Correcaminos UatMonarcas
11
Liga de Expansión MX30/03/2025
MonarcasCorrecaminos Uat
32
Liga de Expansión MX11/10/2024
Correcaminos UatMonarcas
30
Liga de Expansión MX21/02/2024
Correcaminos UatMonarcas
31
Liga de Expansión MX14/08/2023
MonarcasCorrecaminos Uat
20
Liga de Expansión MX15/02/2023
Correcaminos UatMonarcas
11
Liga de Expansión MX05/08/2022
MonarcasCorrecaminos Uat
10
Liga de Expansión MX09/02/2022
Correcaminos UatMonarcas
11
Liga de Expansión MX27/08/2021
MonarcasCorrecaminos Uat
21

Recent Form

MonarcasMonarcas
4W2D4L
15/08/2026
Cruz Azul HidalgoMonarcas
12
W
09/08/2026
MonarcasCancún
41
W
02/08/2026
PiratasMonarcas
10
L
26/07/2026
MonarcasCA La Paz
42
W
05/07/2026
MonarcasCruz Azul
33
D
20/06/2026
NecaxaMonarcas
10
L
26/04/2026
MonarcasMineros de Zacatecas
20
W
23/04/2026
Mineros de ZacatecasMonarcas
30
L
20/04/2026
CDS Tampico MaderoMonarcas
10
L
12/04/2026
MonarcasTlaxcala
00
D
Correcaminos UatCorrecaminos Uat
2W2D6L
15/08/2026
Correcaminos UatTapatío
23
L
07/08/2026
Leones Negros UDGCorrecaminos Uat
13
W
01/08/2026
Correcaminos UatTepatitlán
31
W
25/07/2026
Mineros de ZacatecasCorrecaminos Uat
33
D
04/07/2026
Correcaminos UatGuadalajara Chivas
00
D
01/07/2026
Correcaminos UatNecaxa
36
L
18/04/2026
Correcaminos UatAlebrijes de Oaxaca
13
L
13/04/2026
Mineros de ZacatecasCorrecaminos Uat
31
L
04/04/2026
Correcaminos UatCancún
13
L
29/03/2026
DoradosCorrecaminos Uat
21
L

League Table

Liga de Expansión MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CA La PazCA La Paz1483333:18+1527WDWLW
2Leones Negros UDGLeones Negros UDG1483331:19+1227WLDWW
3MonarcasMonarcas1482425:16+926WLDDL
4PiratasPiratas1473426:14+1224WWLWL
5Venados FCVenados FC1473431:25+624WDDWW
6CancúnCancún1464426:18+822WDDWL
7DurangoDurango1463518:14+421LWDWW
8TlaxcalaTlaxcala1454527:27019WDWDW
9Alebrijes de OaxacaAlebrijes de Oaxaca1461714:25-1119WWWLL
10Mineros de ZacatecasMineros de Zacatecas1453626:25+118LLDLW
11TapatíoTapatío1452724:27-317LLWLL
12Correcaminos UatCorrecaminos Uat1444621:24-316LLLDW
13DoradosDorados1444623:29-616LWLLL
14CDS Tampico MaderoCDS Tampico Madero1443715:23-815LWDLL
15Cruz Azul HidalgoCruz Azul Hidalgo1435617:22-514LWWDL
16TepatitlánTepatitlán14211110:41-317LLLDW
#TeamMPGPts
1CA La PazCA La Paz1433:1827
2Leones Negros UDGLeones Negros UDG1431:1927
3MonarcasMonarcas1425:1626
4PiratasPiratas1426:1424
5Venados FCVenados FC1431:2524
6CancúnCancún1426:1822
7DurangoDurango1418:1421
8TlaxcalaTlaxcala1427:2719
9Alebrijes de OaxacaAlebrijes de Oaxaca1414:2519
10Mineros de ZacatecasMineros de Zacatecas1426:2518
11TapatíoTapatío1424:2717
12Correcaminos UatCorrecaminos Uat1421:2416
13DoradosDorados1423:2916
14CDS Tampico MaderoCDS Tampico Madero1415:2315
15Cruz Azul HidalgoCruz Azul Hidalgo1417:2214
16TepatitlánTepatitlán1410:417
Promotion

About the Monarcas vs Correcaminos Uat forecast

The forecasts for this Liga de Expansión MX match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Monarcas and Correcaminos Uat in the Liga de Expansión MX table

In the Liga de Expansión MX table, Monarcas are 3rd and Correcaminos Uat 12th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Monarcas 25-16, Correcaminos Uat 21-24. The full standings are on the Liga de Expansión MX Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Monarcas have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.