Monarcas vs Leones Negros UDG Prediction

Monarcas
2-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Leones Negros UDG
Estadio Morelos, Morelia·F. Cruz Garatachea 20/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.20
SignalGOODModel54%SurpriseMediumGap-10.3%
Monarcas Rest
7 days
Leones Negros UDG Rest
6 days

Monarcas vs Leones Negros UDG: result, form and history

Monarcas beat Leones Negros UDG 2-0 in the Liga de Expansión MX on 20 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Leones Negros UDG have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.3 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
51%1.67
X
24%3.65
2
25%4.33
Double Chance
1X
75%1.20
X2
49%2.02
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

23'R. del CampoAssist: M. Dominguez
40'D. Aguilar
41'U. Torres
44'R. del Campo
45+2'J. Aguayo
59'D. ZamoraAssist: D. Aguilar
65'R. del Campo INA. Flores out
65'D. Aguilar INA. Andrade out
65'O. Gil INJ. Perez out
65'J. Brigido INJ. Cazares out
70'M. Dominguez INJ. Martinez out
70'M. Rodriguez INE. Castellanos out
73'M. Nambo
76'A. De Jesus Bravo Santiago INM. Valenzuela out
76'L. Razo INK. Loera out
79'M. Valenzuela
81'M. Nambo INJ. Van Rankin out
83'J. Martinez
88'
89'O. Gonzalez
90+1'S. A. Hernandez INU. Meza out

Team Comparison

MonarcasMonarcas
Leones Negros UDGLeones Negros UDG
1553Elo Rating 1552
1.14Attack 2.00
1.71Defense 1.20
14%Hit Rate 36%

Game State Tendencies

MonarcasMonarcas
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Leones Negros UDGLeones Negros UDG
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

MonarcasMonarcas2Wins · 20%
Draws110%
Leones Negros UDGLeones Negros UDG7Wins · 70%
2.3Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga de Expansión MX05/04/2026
Leones Negros UDGMonarcas
20
Liga de Expansión MX27/10/2025
MonarcasLeones Negros UDG
23
Liga de Expansión MX11/05/2025
Leones Negros UDGMonarcas
20
Liga de Expansión MX04/05/2025
MonarcasLeones Negros UDG
20
Liga de Expansión MX21/03/2025
Leones Negros UDGMonarcas
21
Liga de Expansión MX06/10/2024
MonarcasLeones Negros UDG
02
Liga de Expansión MX05/04/2024
MonarcasLeones Negros UDG
02
Liga de Expansión MX19/11/2023
Leones Negros UDGMonarcas
20
Liga de Expansión MX16/11/2023
MonarcasLeones Negros UDG
21
Liga de Expansión MX02/09/2023
Leones Negros UDGMonarcas
00

Recent Form

MonarcasMonarcas
6W1D3L
13/09/2026
Mineros de ZacatecasMonarcas
01
W
06/09/2026
MonarcasAlebrijes de Oaxaca
41
W
29/08/2026
DoradosMonarcas
01
W
21/08/2026
MonarcasCorrecaminos Uat
13
L
15/08/2026
Cruz Azul HidalgoMonarcas
12
W
09/08/2026
MonarcasCancún
41
W
02/08/2026
PiratasMonarcas
10
L
26/07/2026
MonarcasCA La Paz
42
W
05/07/2026
MonarcasCruz Azul
33
D
20/06/2026
NecaxaMonarcas
10
L
Leones Negros UDGLeones Negros UDG
5W2D3L
13/09/2026
Leones Negros UDGCA La Paz
22
D
07/09/2026
TapatíoLeones Negros UDG
13
W
30/08/2026
Leones Negros UDGPiratas
11
D
23/08/2026
DurangoLeones Negros UDG
12
W
16/08/2026
Leones Negros UDGCDS Tampico Madero
40
W
07/08/2026
Leones Negros UDGCorrecaminos Uat
13
L
02/08/2026
CancúnLeones Negros UDG
02
W
26/07/2026
TlaxcalaLeones Negros UDG
24
W
19/04/2026
Leones Negros UDGCancún
12
L
12/04/2026
Venados FCLeones Negros UDG
21
L

League Table

Liga de Expansión MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CA La PazCA La Paz1483333:18+1527WDWLW
2Leones Negros UDGLeones Negros UDG1483331:19+1227WLDWW
3MonarcasMonarcas1482425:16+926WLDDL
4PiratasPiratas1473426:14+1224WWLWL
5Venados FCVenados FC1473431:25+624WDDWW
6CancúnCancún1464426:18+822WDDWL
7DurangoDurango1463518:14+421LWDWW
8TlaxcalaTlaxcala1454527:27019WDWDW
9Alebrijes de OaxacaAlebrijes de Oaxaca1461714:25-1119WWWLL
10Mineros de ZacatecasMineros de Zacatecas1453626:25+118LLDLW
11TapatíoTapatío1452724:27-317LLWLL
12Correcaminos UatCorrecaminos Uat1444621:24-316LLLDW
13DoradosDorados1444623:29-616LWLLL
14CDS Tampico MaderoCDS Tampico Madero1443715:23-815LWDLL
15Cruz Azul HidalgoCruz Azul Hidalgo1435617:22-514LWWDL
16TepatitlánTepatitlán14211110:41-317LLLDW
#TeamMPGPts
1CA La PazCA La Paz1433:1827
2Leones Negros UDGLeones Negros UDG1431:1927
3MonarcasMonarcas1425:1626
4PiratasPiratas1426:1424
5Venados FCVenados FC1431:2524
6CancúnCancún1426:1822
7DurangoDurango1418:1421
8TlaxcalaTlaxcala1427:2719
9Alebrijes de OaxacaAlebrijes de Oaxaca1414:2519
10Mineros de ZacatecasMineros de Zacatecas1426:2518
11TapatíoTapatío1424:2717
12Correcaminos UatCorrecaminos Uat1421:2416
13DoradosDorados1423:2916
14CDS Tampico MaderoCDS Tampico Madero1415:2315
15Cruz Azul HidalgoCruz Azul Hidalgo1417:2214
16TepatitlánTepatitlán1410:417
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About the Monarcas vs Leones Negros UDG forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Monarcas and Leones Negros UDG in the Liga de Expansión MX table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Leones Negros UDG are 2nd in the Liga de Expansión MX, 1 point ahead of Monarcas in 3rd. League goal record so far: Monarcas 25-16, Leones Negros UDG 31-19. The full standings are on the Liga de Expansión MX Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Monarcas have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.