Tlaxcala vs Leones Negros UDG Prediction
Mexico · Apertura - 1
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Tlaxcala vs Leones Negros UDG: result, form and history
Leones Negros UDG beat Tlaxcala 4-2 in the Liga de Expansión MX on 25 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Leones Negros UDG have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.6 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
Team Comparison
Tlaxcala
Leones Negros UDGAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Tlaxcala- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 1.1 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Leones Negros UDG- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Tlaxcala2Wins · 20%7Wins · 70%Previous meetings
08/02/2026TlaxcalaLeones Negros UDG31/08/2025Leones Negros UDGTlaxcala02/02/2025Leones Negros UDGTlaxcala18/08/2024TlaxcalaLeones Negros UDG24/03/2024TlaxcalaLeones Negros UDG30/10/2023Leones Negros UDGTlaxcala01/04/2023Leones Negros UDGTlaxcala01/09/2022TlaxcalaLeones Negros UDG20/03/2022TlaxcalaLeones Negros UDG28/10/2021Leones Negros UDGTlaxcalaRecent Form
Tlaxcala
PueblaTlaxcalaTlaxcala
Venados FC
MonarcasTlaxcala
TapatíoTlaxcalaTlaxcala
Dorados
CDS Tampico MaderoTlaxcalaTlaxcala
Atlante FC
CA La PazTlaxcalaTlaxcala
Tepatitlán
Alebrijes de OaxacaTlaxcalaLeones Negros UDGLeones Negros UDG
CancúnVenados FCLeones Negros UDGLeones Negros UDGMonarcasAlebrijes de OaxacaLeones Negros UDGLeones Negros UDG
Mineros de ZacatecasDoradosLeones Negros UDGCA La PazLeones Negros UDGLeones Negros UDGAtlante FCLeones Negros UDGTepatitlánTlaxcalaLeones Negros UDGLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CA La Paz | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 36:18 | +18 | 30 | WWDWL |
| 2 | Leones Negros UDG | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 34:20 | +14 | 30 | WWLDW |
| 3 | Monarcas | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 26:19 | +7 | 26 | LWLDD |
| 4 |  Piratas | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27:15 | +12 | 25 | DWWLW |
| 5 | Cancún | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28:18 | +10 | 25 | WWDDW |
| 6 | Venados FC | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 31:25 | +6 | 25 | DWDDW |
| 7 |  Durango | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21:15 | +6 | 24 | WLWDW |
| 8 | Tlaxcala | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 29:27 | +2 | 22 | WWDWD |
| 9 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 15:25 | -10 | 22 | WWWWL |
| 10 | Mineros de Zacatecas | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 26:26 | 0 | 18 | LLLDL |
| 11 | Tapatío | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 25:28 | -3 | 18 | DLLWL |
| 12 |  Correcaminos Uat | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 17 | DLLLD |
| 13 | Dorados | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 23:32 | -9 | 16 | LLWLL |
| 14 | CDS Tampico Madero | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15:25 | -10 | 15 | LLWDL |
| 15 |  Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17:24 | -7 | 14 | LLWWD |
| 16 | Tepatitlán | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 11:44 | -33 | 7 | LLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CA La Paz | 15 | 36:18 | 30 |
| 2 | Leones Negros UDG | 15 | 34:20 | 30 |
| 3 | Monarcas | 15 | 26:19 | 26 |
| 4 | Piratas | 15 | 27:15 | 25 |
| 5 | Cancún | 15 | 28:18 | 25 |
| 6 | Venados FC | 15 | 31:25 | 25 |
| 7 | Durango | 15 | 21:15 | 24 |
| 8 | Tlaxcala | 15 | 29:27 | 22 |
| 9 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 15 | 15:25 | 22 |
| 10 | Mineros de Zacatecas | 15 | 26:26 | 18 |
| 11 | Tapatío | 15 | 25:28 | 18 |
| 12 | Correcaminos Uat | 15 | 21:24 | 17 |
| 13 | Dorados | 15 | 23:32 | 16 |
| 14 | CDS Tampico Madero | 15 | 15:25 | 15 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 15 | 17:24 | 14 |
| 16 | Tepatitlán | 15 | 11:44 | 7 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Liga de Expansión MX matches
- Venados FC vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca 26/07/26
- Correcaminos Uat vs Tepatitlán 01/08/26
- Mineros de Zacatecas vs Tlaxcala 01/08/26
- Tapatío vs CDS Tampico Madero 02/08/26
- Monarcas vs Cancún 09/08/26
- Monarcas vs Correcaminos Uat 21/08/26
- Tlaxcala vs CDS Tampico Madero 13/09/26
- CA La Paz vs Correcaminos Uat 19/09/26
About the Tlaxcala vs Leones Negros UDG forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Tlaxcala and Leones Negros UDG in the Liga de Expansión MX table
In the Liga de Expansión MX table, Leones Negros UDG are 2nd and Tlaxcala 8th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Tlaxcala 29-27, Leones Negros UDG 34-20. The full standings are on the Liga de Expansión MX Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.