Nacional Potosí vs Bolívar Prediction
Bolivia · Apertura - 22
Estadio Victor Agustín Ugarte, Potosi 18/10/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.20
SignalHIGHModel56%SurpriseMediumGap-7.1%
Nacional Potosí Rest
6 days
Bolívar Rest
6 days
Nacional Potosí vs Bolívar: result, form and history
Bolívar beat Nacional Potosí 1-0 in the Primera División on 18 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 4.2 goals, and both sides scored in 8 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
123%4.15
X23%4.00
254%1.67
Double Chance
1X46%2.01
X277%1.20
Both Teams to Score
Yes63%1.44
No37%2.53
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.59 + 1.65 = 3.24
Over 1.584%1.11
Over 2.565%1.44
Over 3.544%2.07
Under 1.516%5.40
Under 2.535%2.60
Under 3.556%1.66
Corners
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Cards
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
45'Wilson Álvarez INTommy Tobar out
45'Jesus Manuel Sagredo INLuiz Fernando Paz Vargas out
45+2'Jesus Manuel SagredoDissent
55'Oscar BaldomarFoul
63'dorny romeroAssist: Carlos Melgar
67'Schneider Peña Vaca INC. Abastoflor out
67'José Sagredo INE. Rivero out
71'Jhon velasquezFoul
75'Maximiliano Núñez INMaicon Solis out
75'P. Azogue IND. Hoyos out
77'Carlos Melgar INErwin Mario Saavedra out
77'Jhon velasquez INDamian Batallini out
84'Oscar Baldomar INjuan orellana out
90'Robson Matheus INErvin vaca out
90+5'Carlos LampeDissent
90+6'Tommy Tobar(Penalty missed)
90+6'Santiago EcheverriaDissent
90+6'Dairon AsprillaDissent
Lineups
Nacional PotosíBolívar
4-4-2Coach: A. RestrepoAvg ratingAvg rating
23P. Galindo
34K. Medina
5S. Alvarez
33L. Demiquel
16A. Torrico
10M. Núñez
18P. Azogue
21Ó. Baldomar
28S. Peña
19W. Álvarez
11M. Tomianovic
1C. Lampe
2J. Sagredo
5S. Echeverría
3X. Arreaga4J. Sagredo
77D. Romero
22A. Ayhuana
80C. Melgar
7J. Velásquez
14R. Matheus
27D. AsprillaNacional Potosí Substitutes
26K. Quiroz
22D. Hoyos75'for P. Azogue
30Y. Martínez
20E. Cano
2Rodrigo Fabián Ávila Sóliz
9T. Tobar45'for Wilson Álvarez
7M. Solís75'for Maximiliano Núñez
25J. Orellana84'for Oscar Baldomar
27C. Abastoflor67'for Schneider Peña Vaca
1E. Arauz
15Jhojan Fenando Arce Pari
14Juan Batista
Bolívar Substitutes
10B. Arce
99D. Batallini77'for Jhon velasquez
9M. Cauteruccio
35E. Rivero67'for José Sagredo
19J. García
33F. Mena
11B. Miranda
13D. Méndez
8L. Paz45'for Jesus Manuel Sagredo
26E. Saavedra77'for Carlos Melgar
6E. Vaca90'for Robson Matheus
18L. Chávez
Match Stats
Nacional PotosíBolívar 62%Ball Possession38%
5Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards5
16Total Shots14
5Shots on Goal6
8Shots off Goal4
11Shots Inside Box7
5Shots Outside Box7
3Blocked Shots4
8Fouls11
3Offsides4
5Goalkeeper Saves5
394Total Passes248
328Passes Accurate196
83%Pass Accuracy79%
Team Comparison
Nacional PotosíBolívar1555Elo Rating 1704
2.02Attack 1.27
1.50Defense 1.90
41%Hit Rate 63%
22.4Shots per Game 19.1
7.5Shots on Target 5.5
6.9Corners per Game 6.3
2.2Cards per Game 4.1
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.24 goals
📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
Nacional Potosí- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.6 in first half)
Bolívar- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Nacional Potosí3Wins · 30%Draws220%
Bolívar5Wins · 50%
5Wins · 50%4.2Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored8 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10
Previous meetings
14/05/2026BolívarNacional Potosí11
23/12/2025BolívarNacional Potosí14
20/12/2025Nacional PotosíBolívar02
05/12/2025BolívarNacional Potosí52
11/07/2025BolívarNacional Potosí21
29/06/2025Nacional PotosíBolívar11
27/06/2025Nacional PotosíBolívar30
24/11/2024BolívarNacional Potosí53
28/07/2024Nacional PotosíBolívar21
21/10/2023BolívarNacional Potosí43
Recent Form
Nacional Potosí5W3D2L
11/10/2026
AuroraNacional PotosíNacional Potosí
Real Oruro
AuroraNacional Potosí22
D08/10/2026
Always ReadyNacional Potosí
03/10/2026Always ReadyNacional Potosí23
WNacional PotosíReal Oruro20
W01/10/2026
Real TomayapoNacional Potosí
Real TomayapoNacional Potosí11
D26/09/2026Nacional PotosíAlways Ready
Nacional PotosíAlways Ready90
W23/09/2026Nacional Potosí
Real Potosí
Nacional PotosíReal Potosí01
L20/09/2026Real PotosíNacional Potosí
Real PotosíNacional Potosí22
D17/09/2026Nacional PotosíAlways Ready
Nacional PotosíAlways Ready04
L12/09/2026
Gualberto Villarroel SJNacional Potosí
Gualberto Villarroel SJNacional Potosí03
W09/09/2026Real OruroNacional Potosí
Real OruroNacional Potosí02
WBolívar7W3D0L
12/10/2026Bolívar
Blooming
BolívarBlooming10
W09/10/2026BloomingBolívar
BloomingBolívar11
D05/10/2026
Independiente PetroleroBolívar
Independiente PetroleroBolívar03
W02/10/2026BolívarGualberto Villarroel SJ
BolívarGualberto Villarroel SJ32
W27/09/2026BolívarBlooming
BolívarBlooming30
W20/09/2026
The StrongestBolívar
The StrongestBolívar11
D18/09/2026BolívarGualberto Villarroel SJ
14/09/2026BolívarGualberto Villarroel SJ42
WReal TomayapoBolívar12
W11/09/2026BolívarIndependiente Petrolero
06/09/2026BolívarIndependiente Petrolero11
DIndependiente PetroleroBolívar04
WLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolívar | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 60:24 | +36 | 57 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Always Ready | 24 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 58:17 | +41 | 54 | WWLWW |
| 3 | The Strongest | 24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 46:28 | +18 | 48 | WLWLW |
| 4 | Real Potosí | 24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 31:17 | +14 | 39 | DLWWW |
| 5 |  Oriente Petrolero | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 41:30 | +11 | 38 | DWDWW |
| 6 | Aurora | 24 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 35:31 | +4 | 35 | DWLDL |
| 7 | Nacional Potosí | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 36:32 | +4 | 32 | DWLDL |
| 8 | Blooming | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 33:26 | +7 | 31 | WLDLD |
| 9 | Independiente Petrolero | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 32:40 | -8 | 30 | DWDLL |
| 10 |  Guabirá | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 35:49 | -14 | 30 | LLDLW |
| 11 | Real Oruro | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 38:57 | -19 | 28 | DLWWL |
| 12 |  San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 27:45 | -18 | 27 | WWLDW |
| 13 |  Universitario de Vinto | 24 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 31:48 | -17 | 21 | LLWLD |
| 14 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 29:44 | -15 | 20 | LWLWL |
| 15 |  ABB | 24 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 35:54 | -19 | 20 | LLLLL |
| 16 | Real Tomayapo | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 17:42 | -25 | 20 | LLWDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolívar | 24 | 60:24 | 57 |
| 2 | Always Ready | 24 | 58:17 | 54 |
| 3 | The Strongest | 24 | 46:28 | 48 |
| 4 | Real Potosí | 24 | 31:17 | 39 |
| 5 | Oriente Petrolero | 24 | 41:30 | 38 |
| 6 | Aurora | 24 | 35:31 | 35 |
| 7 | Nacional Potosí | 24 | 36:32 | 32 |
| 8 | Blooming | 24 | 33:26 | 31 |
| 9 | Independiente Petrolero | 24 | 32:40 | 30 |
| 10 | Guabirá | 24 | 35:49 | 30 |
| 11 | Real Oruro | 24 | 38:57 | 28 |
| 12 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 24 | 27:45 | 27 |
| 13 | Universitario de Vinto | 24 | 31:48 | 21 |
| 14 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | 24 | 29:44 | 20 |
| 15 | ABB | 24 | 35:54 | 20 |
| 16 | Real Tomayapo | 24 | 17:42 | 20 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera División matches
- Real Tomayapo vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ 17/10/26
- Real Oruro vs Aurora 17/10/26
- Universitario de Vinto vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo 17/10/26
- Blooming vs Independiente Petrolero 18/10/26
- Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Blooming 24/10/26
- Independiente Petrolero vs ABB 25/10/26
- Aurora vs Real Tomayapo 25/10/26
- Oriente Petrolero vs The Strongest 26/10/26
About the Nacional Potosí vs Bolívar forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Nacional Potosí and Bolívar in the Primera División table
In the Primera División table, Bolívar are 1st and Nacional Potosí 7th, 25 points apart. League goal record so far: Nacional Potosí 36-32, Bolívar 60-24. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.