Nacional Potosí vs Guabirá Prediction

Nacional Potosí
3-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Guabirá
Estadio Victor Agustín Ugarte, Potosi 26/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.33
SignalSOLIDModel72%SurpriseMediumGap-5.6%
Value Analysis
77%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.33
SignalHIGHModel77%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
Nacional Potosí Rest
4 days
Guabirá Rest
7 days

Nacional Potosí vs Guabirá: the result in context

Nacional Potosí beat Guabirá 3-0 in the Primera División on 26 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.5 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 6. Nacional Potosí tend to win more corners, 6.9 a game to 3.3 for Guabirá.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
68%1.33
X
19%4.80
2
13%7.00
Double Chance
1X
87%1.08
X2
32%3.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.65
No
43%2.08
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.45 + 1.08 = 3.53
Over 1.5
84%1.12
Over 2.5
67%1.44
Over 3.5
46%2.11
Under 1.5
16%5.28
Under 2.5
33%2.50
Under 3.5
54%1.63
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

22'Gustavo PeredoFoul
35'Gustavo Peredo INVictor Abrego out
45'Schneider Peña Vaca INC. Abastoflor out
51'Goal cancelledP. Azogue
56'M. TomianovicAssist: Andres Torrico
61'Wilson Álvarez INTommy Tobar out
63'S.Garzón INDenilso Fernandez Tokudome out
64'D. Da Silva INrafael corrales out
69'C. AbastoflorAssist: Kevin Joel Bailaba Medina
71'Enrique FloresDissent
72'Juan Carlos ParadaFoul
75'P. Azogue INluis pavia out
76'Maximiliano Núñez INJuan Batista out
77'Enrique Flores INMakerlo Tellez out
77'Juan Carlos Parada INMilton Maciel out
79'Oscar BaldomarFoul
81'sebastian vargas alvarezFoul
88'M. Tomianovic INMaicon Solis out
90+4'Tommy TobarAssist: Andres Torrico

Lineups

Nacional Potosí
4-4-2Coach: Dailer Gutiérrez
Guabirá
4-1-3-2Coach: L. Eguez
Avg rating7.28
Avg rating6.14
Pedro Galindo7.223P. Galindo
K. Medina8.234K. Medina
S. Alvarez6.75S. Alvarez
J. Orellana7.925J. Orellana
A. Torrico8.116A. Torrico
M. Núñez7.310M. Núñez
Ó. Baldomar7.021Ó. Baldomar
P. Azogue7.218P. Azogue
S. Peña7.128S. Peña
W. Álvarez6.619W. Álvarez
M. Tomianovic8.211M. Tomianovic
J. Araúz6.713J. Araúz
Pablo Andres5.716P. Andres
S. Gil5.997S. Gil
J. Barro5.62J. Barro
J. Flores5.419J. Flores
Juan Carlos Parada6.414J. Carlos Parada
A. Moreno6.28A. Moreno
Rafinha6.115Rafinha
D. Da Silva6.235D. Da Silva
G. Peredo6.07G. Peredo
S. Garzón6.311S. Garzón

Nacional Potosí Substitutes

22D. Hoyos
20E. Cano
14Juan Batista76'for Maximiliano Núñez6.8
15Jhojan Fenando Arce Pari
1E. Arauz
8L. Pavia75'for P. Azogue6.8
30Y. Martínez
7M. Solís88'for M. Tomianovic6.5
9T. Tobar61'for Wilson Álvarez90+4'7.4
99D. Villalba
2Rodrigo Fabián Ávila Sóliz
27C. Abastoflor45'for Schneider Peña Vaca69'7.8

Guabirá Substitutes

42Óscar Fabricio Ríos Aponte
17M. Maciel77'for Juan Carlos Parada5.9
40P. Luján
33D. Fernandez63'for S.Garzón6.4
27Rafael Corrales64'for D. Da Silva6.0
25Roger David Coronado Corcuy
37T. Chavez
28Yuto Baigorria
9Facundo Alarcón
22M. Tellez77'for Enrique Flores6.8
91V. Abrego35'for Gustavo Peredo6.5

Match Stats

Nacional PotosíGuabirá
68%Ball Possession32%
10Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards3
29Total Shots8
9Shots on Goal2
13Shots off Goal3
17Shots Inside Box4
12Shots Outside Box4
7Blocked Shots3
10Fouls7
3Offsides6
2Goalkeeper Saves6
487Total Passes234
442Passes Accurate185
7Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

Nacional PotosíNacional Potosí
GuabiráGuabirá
1555Elo Rating 1434
2.02Attack 1.04
1.50Defense 0.88
41%Hit Rate 31%
22.4Shots per Game 11.7
7.5Shots on Target 2.0
6.9Corners per Game 3.3
2.2Cards per Game 3.0

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+122 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.53 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Nacional PotosíNacional Potosí
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.6 in first half)
GuabiráGuabirá
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Nacional PotosíNacional Potosí5Wins · 50%
Draws110%
GuabiráGuabirá4Wins · 40%
3.5Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera División18/05/2026
GuabiráNacional Potosí
21
Primera División24/08/2025
GuabiráNacional Potosí
10
Primera División14/04/2025
Nacional PotosíGuabirá
30
Primera División26/10/2024
Nacional PotosíGuabirá
30
Primera División26/05/2024
GuabiráNacional Potosí
11
Primera División25/11/2023
GuabiráNacional Potosí
61
Primera División28/05/2023
Nacional PotosíGuabirá
60
Primera División05/10/2022
Nacional PotosíGuabirá
31
Primera División23/07/2022
GuabiráNacional Potosí
21
Primera División29/04/2022
GuabiráNacional Potosí
12

Recent Form

Nacional PotosíNacional Potosí
3W3D4L
22/10/2026
Oriente PetroleroNacional Potosí
32
L
18/10/2026
Nacional PotosíBolívar
01
L
11/10/2026
AuroraNacional Potosí
22
D
08/10/2026
Always ReadyNacional Potosí
23
W
03/10/2026
Nacional PotosíReal Oruro
20
W
01/10/2026
Real TomayapoNacional Potosí
11
D
26/09/2026
Nacional PotosíAlways Ready
90
W
23/09/2026
Nacional PotosíReal Potosí
01
L
20/09/2026
Real PotosíNacional Potosí
22
D
17/09/2026
Nacional PotosíAlways Ready
04
L
GuabiráGuabirá
4W1D5L
19/10/2026
GuabiráOriente Petrolero
11
D
12/10/2026
Gualberto Villarroel SJGuabirá
41
L
08/10/2026
GuabiráThe Strongest
21
W
04/10/2026
GuabiráOriente Petrolero
21
W
29/09/2026
Universitario de VintoGuabirá
31
L
26/09/2026
The StrongestGuabirá
21
L
22/09/2026
GuabiráSan Antonio Bulo Bulo
21
W
16/09/2026
GuabiráAurora
31
W
13/09/2026
Always ReadyGuabirá
60
L
09/09/2026
Oriente PetroleroGuabirá
10
L

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BolívarBolívar24183360:24+3657WWWWW
2Always ReadyAlways Ready24166258:17+4154WWLWW
3The StrongestThe Strongest24146446:28+1848WLWLW
4Real PotosíReal Potosí24109531:17+1439DLWWW
5Oriente PetroleroOriente Petrolero24115841:30+1138DWDWW
6AuroraAurora24811535:31+435DWLDL
7Nacional PotosíNacional Potosí24951036:32+432DWLDL
8BloomingBlooming24710733:26+731WLDLD
9Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero24861032:40-830DWDLL
10GuabiráGuabirá24861035:49-1430LLDLW
11Real OruroReal Oruro24841238:57-1928DLWWL
12San Antonio Bulo BuloSan Antonio Bulo Bulo24831327:45-1827WWLDW
13Universitario de VintoUniversitario de Vinto24631531:48-1721LLWLD
14Gualberto Villarroel SJGualberto Villarroel SJ24481229:44-1520LWLWL
15ABBABB24621635:54-1920LLLLL
16Real TomayapoReal Tomayapo24551417:42-2520LLWDL
#TeamMPGPts
1BolívarBolívar2460:2457
2Always ReadyAlways Ready2458:1754
3The StrongestThe Strongest2446:2848
4Real PotosíReal Potosí2431:1739
5Oriente PetroleroOriente Petrolero2441:3038
6AuroraAurora2435:3135
7Nacional PotosíNacional Potosí2436:3232
8BloomingBlooming2433:2631
9Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero2432:4030
10GuabiráGuabirá2435:4930
11Real OruroReal Oruro2438:5728
12San Antonio Bulo BuloSan Antonio Bulo Bulo2427:4527
13Universitario de VintoUniversitario de Vinto2431:4821
14Gualberto Villarroel SJGualberto Villarroel SJ2429:4420
15ABBABB2435:5420
16Real TomayapoReal Tomayapo2417:4220

About the Nacional Potosí vs Guabirá forecast

The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Nacional Potosí and Guabirá in the Primera División table

In the Primera División table, Nacional Potosí are 7th and Guabirá 10th, 2 points apart. League goal record so far: Nacional Potosí 36-32, Guabirá 35-49. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.