Nautico Recife vs Fortaleza EC Prediction

Serie BBrazil Brazil · Regular Season - 12
Nautico Recife
0-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Fortaleza EC
Estádio dos Aflitos, Recife·Lucas Casagrande, Brazil 10/06/2026
Nautico RecifeNautico Recife
0-1
Finished
Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.33
SignalHIGHModel56%SurpriseMediumGap+1.9%
Nautico Recife Rest
9 days
Fortaleza EC Rest
3 days

Nautico Recife vs Fortaleza EC: result, form and history

Fortaleza EC beat Nautico Recife 1-0 in the Serie B on 9 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%2.30
X
24%3.06
2
23%3.20
Double Chance
1X
77%1.33
X2
47%1.57
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.92
No
49%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.57 + 0.86 = 2.43
Over 1.5
72%1.40
Over 2.5
49%2.30
Over 3.5
25%4.33
Under 1.5
28%2.75
Under 2.5
51%1.60
Under 3.5
75%1.20
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4.5 = 10.1
Over 8.5
66%1.48
Over 9.5
56%1.85
Over 10.5
47%2.29
Under 8.5
34%2.46
Under 9.5
44%1.88
Under 10.5
53%1.56
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.4 = 4.2
Over 3.5
57%-
Over 4.5
38%1.37
Under 3.5
43%-
Under 4.5
62%2.80

Match Events

36'E. BritezFoul
39'Luiz FernandoUnsportsmanlike conduct
39'Leonai SouzaUnsportsmanlike conduct
44'Mateus SilvaOG
46'Vitinho INT. Pochettino out
46'J. B. Miritello INLucas Crispim out
52'RodriguinhoSerious foul
60'Igor Fernandes INYuri out
62'Luiz Fernando INKayke out
64'Leonai Souza INRamon out
65'Derek INJuninho out
67'KaykeDelay of game
76'Mauricio JuniorUnsportsmanlike conduct
80'Mauricio Junior ING. Fuentes out
80'Betao INWanderson out
80'Wenderson INRosa out
85'Mateus SilvaFoul
90'Lucas Sasha INRyan out
90+5'JuninhoFoul
90+6'J. B. MiritelloUnsportsmanlike conduct

Lineups

Nautico Recife
4-2-3-1Coach: Anjos Helio dos
Fortaleza EC
5-4-1Coach: Carpini Thiago
Avg rating6.90
Avg rating6.85
MurielC6.91Muriel
Reginaldo6.393Reginaldo
Mateus Silva6.925M. Silva
Betão6.93Betão
Igor Fernandes6.923I. Fernandes
Leonai6.319Leonai
Wenderson8.78Wenderson
Vinícius6.67Vinícius
Dodô8.910Dodô
Todinho6.529Todinho
Derek Freitas6.572D. Freitas
João Ricardo10.01J. Ricardo
Rodriguinho5.975Rodriguinho
Emanuel BrítezC7.62E. Brítez
Luan Freitas7.04L. Freitas
Lucas Gazal6.93L. Gazal
Maurício Júnior6.713M. Júnior
Vitinho6.711Vitinho
Lucas Sasha6.788L. Sasha
Rodrigo Santos6.229R. Santos
Luiz Fernando6.732L. Fernando
Juan Miritello6.39J. Miritello

Nautico Recife Substitutes

6Yuri60'for Igor Fernandes6.3
40Ramon64'for Leonai Souza6.9
77Juninho65'for Derek90+5'6.7
55Gastón Guruceaga
14Matheus Ribeiro
2Arnaldo
34Wanderson80'for Betao6.9
5Auremir
30Felipe Cardoso
41Samuel
18Halan
31Rosa80'replaced by Wenderson6.2

Fortaleza EC Substitutes

10Lucas Crispim46'for J. B. Miritello6.7
7Tomás Pochettino46'for Vitinho6.7
99Kayke62'for Luiz Fernando67'6.2
25Vinicius Silvestre
22Maílton
33Kauã Rocha
18Gabriel Fuentes80'for Mauricio Junior6.5
77Paulo Baya
31Welliton
8Ronald
38Lucca Prior
37Ryan Gustavo90'for Lucas Sasha

Match Stats

Nautico RecifeFortaleza EC
73%Ball Possession27%
10Corner Kicks4
3Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards2
31Total Shots4
10Shots on Goal1
13Shots off Goal2
17Shots Inside Box3
14Shots Outside Box1
8Blocked Shots1
6Fouls16
3Offsides6
1Goalkeeper Saves9
506Total Passes192
464Passes Accurate130
92%Pass Accuracy68%

Team Comparison

Nautico RecifeNautico Recife
Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC
1553Elo Rating 1713
0.59Attack 1.64
1.85Defense 2.09
14%Hit Rate 46%
14.2Shots per Game 11.5
3.0Shots on Target 3.5
6.6Corners per Game 5.0
1.7Cards per Game 2.1

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Nautico RecifeNautico Recife
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.4 in second half)

Recent Form

Nautico RecifeNautico Recife
6W1D3L
31/05/2026
Sport RecifeNautico Recife
20
L
23/05/2026
Nautico RecifeCuiaba
10
W
16/05/2026
Operario-PRNautico Recife
26
W
10/05/2026
Nautico RecifeAmerica Mineiro
40
W
02/05/2026
Botafogo SPNautico Recife
11
D
28/04/2026
Athletic ClubNautico Recife
01
W
18/04/2026
Nautico RecifeSão Bernardo
03
L
12/04/2026
CearaNautico Recife
10
L
04/04/2026
Nautico RecifePonte Preta
10
W
02/04/2026
Atletico GoianienseNautico Recife
12
W
Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC
3W2D5L
06/06/2026
VitoriaFortaleza EC
21
L
03/06/2026
Fortaleza ECVitoria
12
L
30/05/2026
Athletic ClubFortaleza EC
10
L
28/05/2026
Sport RecifeFortaleza EC
02
W
23/05/2026
Fortaleza ECLondrina
30
W
21/05/2026
Fortaleza ECSport Recife
12
L
17/05/2026
CearaFortaleza EC
21
L
15/05/2026
CRBFortaleza EC
00
D
10/05/2026
AvaiFortaleza EC
00
D
03/05/2026
Fortaleza ECGoias
41
W

Referee Profile

Lucas Casagrande69 matches

4.60Cards per match
4.36Yellow cards per match
0.25Red cards per match
27.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Lucas Casagrande4.60
Other referees5.09

4.60 cards a match, 0.49 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.09).

Cards come from 53 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino351810762:30+3264WDWWW
2JuventudeJuventude351810745:23+2264WDDWW
3Vila NovaVila Nova35188950:36+1462LDWDW
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC351613643:31+1261DWDWD
5CriciumaCriciuma351781036:30+659LWWLW
6CRBCRB351671253:49+455WLDWL
7Sport RecifeSport Recife351412947:38+954WLDWW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense351412942:33+954LDDLW
9GoiasGoias351571336:40-452WDWWL
10Operario-PROperario-PR351491245:46-151WLLLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3513101249:39+1049WLDLW
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP351381440:38+247WWWWL
13CuiabaCuiaba3511141032:28+447LLLDW
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3510141140:40044LDDLL
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3511101439:46-743LDLLD
16CearaCeara3511101437:44-743LDLWW
17AvaiAvai351071833:45-1237LDWWL
18LondrinaLondrina35881944:51-732LWDLL
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro35652423:54-3123WWLLL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta35362621:76-5515DDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3562:3064
2JuventudeJuventude3545:2364
3Vila NovaVila Nova3550:3662
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3543:3161
5CriciumaCriciuma3536:3059
6CRBCRB3553:4955
7Sport RecifeSport Recife3547:3854
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3542:3354
9GoiasGoias3536:4052
10Operario-PROperario-PR3545:4651
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3549:3949
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3540:3847
13CuiabaCuiaba3532:2847
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3540:4044
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3539:4643
16CearaCeara3537:4443
17AvaiAvai3533:4537
18LondrinaLondrina3544:5132
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3523:5423
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3521:7615
PromotionRelegation

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About the Nautico Recife vs Fortaleza EC forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Nautico Recife and Fortaleza EC in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Fortaleza EC are 4th and Nautico Recife 15th, 18 points apart. League goal record so far: Nautico Recife 39-46, Fortaleza EC 43-31. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Fortaleza EC have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Nautico Recife and Fortaleza EC have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.