Ponte Preta vs Cuiaba Prediction

Ponte Preta
1-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Cuiaba
Moisés Lucarelli, Campinas·Marcelo de Lima Henrique, Brazil 10/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.62
SignalGOODModel10%SurpriseHigh
Ponte Preta Rest
8 days
Cuiaba Rest
8 days

Ponte Preta vs Cuiaba: result, form and history

Cuiaba beat Ponte Preta 2-1 in the Serie B on 9 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee Marcelo de Lima Henrique averages 4.43 cards a game, 0.81 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
31%3.40
X
31%2.77
2
38%2.40
Double Chance
1X
61%1.53
X2
69%1.30
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%2.26
No
49%1.56
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.03 + 1.25 = 2.28
Over 1.5
69%1.62
Over 2.5
42%2.88
Over 3.5
21%6.00
Under 1.5
31%2.23
Under 2.5
58%1.38
Under 3.5
79%1.11
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 4.4 = 9.5
Over 8.5
62%1.57
Over 9.5
51%1.96
Over 10.5
38%2.45
Under 8.5
38%2.22
Under 9.5
49%1.77
Under 10.5
62%1.47
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.8 + 2.2 = 5
Over 3.5
73%-
Over 4.5
57%1.56
Under 3.5
27%-
Under 4.5
43%2.25

Match Events

7'David MiguelFoul
36'Joao BassoAssist: Pepe
41'Danilo BarcelosFoul
41'Lucas CunhaUnsportsmanlike conduct
45+3'Tarik
46'Jonathan Cafu INBaianinho out
56'David Miguel INLuis Soares out
56'Vinicius Peixoto INKauan Cristtyan out
64'Marlon INEric Melo out
64'Calebe Costa INWeverson out
65'Kauan CristtyanAssist: Rodrigo Rodrigues
69'David da Hora INGustavo Telles out
69'Leo Gomes INMiguel Morais out
75'Danilo Barcelos INKevyson out
76'Willian PottkerFoul
83'Pepe INLuiz Otavio out
84'Willian Pottker INBrandao out
85'ElvisFoul
90+6'BaianinhoUnsportsmanlike conduct

Lineups

Ponte Preta
4-2-3-1Coach: Edson Boaro
Cuiaba
4-1-4-1Coach: Eduardo Barros
Avg rating6.59
Avg rating6.87
Diogo Silva6.512D. Silva
Julio de Oliveira7.220J. de Oliveira
Sergio Palacios6.723S. Palacios
Lucas Cunha6.73L. Cunha
Danilo Barcelos6.314D. Barcelos
Tarik8.038Tarik
Léo Gomes6.316L. Gomes
Jonathan Cafú6.319J. Cafú
ElvisC6.310Elvis
David da Hora6.218D. da Hora
William Pottker6.09W. Pottker
Marcelo Carné7.331M. Carné
Railan6.937Railan
João Basso7.613J. Basso
Vitor Mendes7.54V. Mendes
Marlon Lopes7.06M. Lopes
RaulC7.630Raul
Pepê6.98Pepê
Calebe Costa6.25C. Costa
David6.588David
Rodrigo Rodrigues6.527R. Rodrigues
Vinicius Peixoto6.229V. Peixoto

Ponte Preta Substitutes

26Daniel Baianinho46'for Jonathan Cafu90+6'6.5
17Miguel69'for Leo Gomes6.7
35Gustavo Telles69'for David da Hora6.3
13Diego Porfirio
32Kevyson75'for Danilo Barcelos7.0
2Justen
4Diego Leão
22Thalys
6Juan
21Brandão84'for Willian Pottker6.5
90Rodriguinho
30Vinicius

Cuiaba Substitutes

91Luisão56'for David Miguel6.6
41Kauan Cristtyan56'for Vinicius Peixoto65'7.6
14Eric64'for Marlon6.6
53Weverson64'for Calebe Costa6.7
1João Carlos
26João Victor
19Mateus Criciuma
17Victor Hugo
97Luiz Otavio83'replaced by Pepe6.3
23Marcos Júnior

Match Stats

Ponte PretaCuiaba
46%Ball Possession54%
7Corner Kicks3
4Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards0
13Total Shots7
3Shots on Goal5
8Shots off Goal0
6Shots Inside Box5
7Shots Outside Box2
2Blocked Shots2
18Fouls12
1Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves2
337Total Passes407
259Passes Accurate332
77%Pass Accuracy82%

Team Comparison

Ponte PretaPonte Preta
CuiabaCuiaba
1334Elo Rating 1612
0.50Attack 0.33
0.58Defense 2.08
0%Hit Rate 17%
8.6Shots per Game 18.0
3.5Shots on Target 5.0
2.0Corners per Game 8.1
3.3Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Ponte PretaPonte Preta
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0 in second half)
CuiabaCuiaba
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Recent Form

Ponte PretaPonte Preta
2W2D6L
02/06/2026
Ponte PretaBotafogo SP
00
D
24/05/2026
CRBPonte Preta
42
L
19/05/2026
Ponte PretaLondrina
14
L
09/05/2026
Ponte PretaSport Recife
13
L
03/05/2026
São BernardoPonte Preta
30
L
25/04/2026
Ponte PretaAmerica Mineiro
10
W
19/04/2026
AvaiPonte Preta
12
W
11/04/2026
Ponte PretaVila Nova
01
L
04/04/2026
Nautico RecifePonte Preta
10
L
02/04/2026
Ponte PretaCeara
11
D
CuiabaCuiaba
2W6D2L
01/06/2026
CuiabaCRB
20
W
23/05/2026
Nautico RecifeCuiaba
10
L
17/05/2026
CuiabaNovorizontino
00
D
09/05/2026
Athletic ClubCuiaba
00
D
02/05/2026
CuiabaCriciuma
11
D
23/04/2026
CuiabaBotafogo SP
11
D
19/04/2026
GoiasCuiaba
02
W
12/04/2026
Operario-PRCuiaba
00
D
04/04/2026
CuiabaCeara
02
L
01/04/2026
Fortaleza ECCuiaba
00
D

Referee Profile

Marcelo de Lima Henrique165 matches

4.43Cards per match
4.14Yellow cards per match
0.29Red cards per match
26.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Marcelo de Lima Henrique4.43
Other referees5.24

4.43 cards a match, 0.81 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.24).

Cards come from 133 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino351810762:30+3264WDWWW
2JuventudeJuventude351810745:23+2264WDDWW
3Vila NovaVila Nova35188950:36+1462LDWDW
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC351613643:31+1261DWDWD
5CriciumaCriciuma351781036:30+659LWWLW
6CRBCRB351671253:49+455WLDWL
7Sport RecifeSport Recife351412947:38+954WLDWW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense351412942:33+954LDDLW
9GoiasGoias351571336:40-452WDWWL
10Operario-PROperario-PR351491245:46-151WLLLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3513101249:39+1049WLDLW
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP351381440:38+247WWWWL
13CuiabaCuiaba3511141032:28+447LLLDW
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3510141140:40044LDDLL
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3511101439:46-743LDLLD
16CearaCeara3511101437:44-743LDLWW
17AvaiAvai351071833:45-1237LDWWL
18LondrinaLondrina35881944:51-732LWDLL
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro35652423:54-3123WWLLL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta35362621:76-5515DDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3562:3064
2JuventudeJuventude3545:2364
3Vila NovaVila Nova3550:3662
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3543:3161
5CriciumaCriciuma3536:3059
6CRBCRB3553:4955
7Sport RecifeSport Recife3547:3854
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3542:3354
9GoiasGoias3536:4052
10Operario-PROperario-PR3545:4651
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3549:3949
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3540:3847
13CuiabaCuiaba3532:2847
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3540:4044
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3539:4643
16CearaCeara3537:4443
17AvaiAvai3533:4537
18LondrinaLondrina3544:5132
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3523:5423
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3521:7615
PromotionRelegation

About the Ponte Preta vs Cuiaba forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Ponte Preta and Cuiaba in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Cuiaba are 13th and Ponte Preta 20th, 32 points apart. League goal record so far: Ponte Preta 21-76, Cuiaba 32-28. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Ponte Preta and Cuiaba have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.