Northern Tigers vs St. George Saints Prediction

North Turramurra Recreation Area 05/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
6.4 / 10
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.65
SignalSOLIDModel48%SurpriseMediumGap+7.1%
Northern Tigers Rest
6 days
St. George Saints Rest
6 days

Northern Tigers vs St. George Saints: the result in context

Northern Tigers and St. George Saints drew 0-0 in the New South Wales NPL on 5 Sep 2026. Northern Tigers had gone in with the better form, having won 4 of their previous five against 2 for St. George Saints.

Northern Tigers have had the better of this fixture, winning 4 of the 6 previous meetings, which averaged 2.2 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
62%2.21
X
21%3.58
2
17%2.72
Double Chance
1X
83%1.36
X2
38%1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.55
No
44%2.22
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.12 + 1.04 = 3.16
Over 1.5
82%1.18
Over 2.5
63%1.65
Over 3.5
42%2.59
Under 1.5
18%3.92
Under 2.5
37%2.08
Under 3.5
58%1.41
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

15'(Penalty missed)

Team Comparison

Northern TigersNorthern Tigers
St. George SaintsSt. George Saints
1546Elo Rating 1390
1.49Attack 1.26
1.72Defense 1.42
36%Hit Rate 58%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+156 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.16 goals
📈BTTS Trend33% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Northern TigersNorthern Tigers
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
St. George SaintsSt. George Saints
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

Northern TigersNorthern Tigers4Wins · 66%
Draws117%
St. George SaintsSt. George Saints1Wins · 17%
2.2Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored2 of 6
33%3+ goals2 of 6

Previous meetings

New South Wales NPL 215/07/2023
St. George SaintsNorthern Tigers
20
New South Wales NPL 201/04/2023
Northern TigersSt. George Saints
30
New South Wales NPL 218/06/2022
St. George SaintsNorthern Tigers
11
New South Wales NPL 202/04/2022
Northern TigersSt. George Saints
21
New South Wales NPL 219/06/2021
Northern TigersSt. George Saints
20
New South Wales NPL 203/04/2021
St. George SaintsNorthern Tigers
01

Bracket

Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Northern Tigers
Seeded
St. George Saints
Seeded
Sydney United
Seeded
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
Seeded
Sydney United3
Manly United1
Northern Tigers
Seeded
St. George Saints
Seeded

League Table

New South Wales NPL 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1APIA Leichhardt TigersAPIA Leichhardt Tigers30215466:35+3168WDWDW
2Sydney UnitedSydney United30204647:20+2764WDWWW
3Marconi StallionsMarconi Stallions30195650:22+2862DWWLL
4Sutherland SharksSutherland Sharks301441246:38+846LWLDW
5Manly UnitedManly United301281039:35+444WWLWD
6Rockdale City SunsRockdale City Suns301341348:42+643WLLLD
7NWS SpiritNWS Spirit301251337:38-141DWWWL
8SD RaidersSD Raiders301251344:49-541WLLWW
9Sydney FC U23Sydney FC U23301181138:43-541DWLDL
10Western Sydney Wanderers U23Western Sydney Wanderers U23301151455:49+638WLLLW
11Wollongong WolvesWollongong Wolves301151435:43-838LWWLL
12St George City FASt George City FA301071330:46-1637LLWWW
13Blacktown CityBlacktown City30881441:48-732LLDLW
14UNSWUNSW30951638:49-1132LLDLL
15St. George SaintsSt. George Saints30831928:55-2727LWWDL
16Sydney OlympicSydney Olympic30651932:62-3023DLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1APIA Leichhardt TigersAPIA Leichhardt Tigers3066:3568
2Sydney UnitedSydney United3047:2064
3Marconi StallionsMarconi Stallions3050:2262
4Sutherland SharksSutherland Sharks3046:3846
5Manly UnitedManly United3039:3544
6Rockdale City SunsRockdale City Suns3048:4243
7NWS SpiritNWS Spirit3037:3841
8SD RaidersSD Raiders3044:4941
9Sydney FC U23Sydney FC U233038:4341
10Western Sydney Wanderers U23Western Sydney Wanderers U233055:4938
11Wollongong WolvesWollongong Wolves3035:4338
12St George City FASt George City FA3030:4637
13Blacktown CityBlacktown City3041:4832
14UNSWUNSW3038:4932
15St. George SaintsSt. George Saints3028:5527
16Sydney OlympicSydney Olympic3032:6223

About the Northern Tigers vs St. George Saints forecast

As a knockout tie in the New South Wales NPL, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About New South Wales NPL

More New South Wales NPL fixtures and forecasts are on the New South Wales NPL Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.