Sutherland Sharks vs Manly United Prediction

Sutherland Sharks
1-1
After Penalties
HT 0-0AET 0-0PEN 4-5
Manly United
Seymour Shaw Park 02/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.8 / 10
Value Analysis
61%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.76
SignalSOLIDModel34%SurpriseHighGap+8.3%
Sutherland Sharks Rest
3 days
Manly United Rest
3 days

Sutherland Sharks vs Manly United: the result in context

Manly United beat Sutherland Sharks on penalties (5-4) after a 1-1 draw in the New South Wales NPL on 2 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
46%2.52
X
22%3.30
2
32%2.45
Double Chance
1X
68%1.44
X2
54%1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%1.60
No
41%2.17
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.61 + 1.49 = 3.10
Over 1.5
81%1.22
Over 2.5
60%1.76
Over 3.5
36%2.80
Under 1.5
19%3.65
Under 2.5
40%1.95
Under 3.5
64%1.35
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

67'
90'

Penalty Shootout4 - 5

1(Penalty)
1(Penalty)
2(Penalty missed)
2(Penalty)
3(Penalty)
3(Penalty)
4(Penalty)
4(Penalty)
5(Penalty)
5(Penalty)

Team Comparison

Sutherland SharksSutherland Sharks
Manly UnitedManly United
1519Elo Rating 1516
1.18Attack 1.61
2.10Defense 1.40
41%Hit Rate 36%

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.1 goals

Game State Tendencies

Sutherland SharksSutherland Sharks
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Manly UnitedManly United
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Sutherland SharksSutherland Sharks5Wins · 50%
Draws00%
Manly UnitedManly United5Wins · 50%
2.3Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

New South Wales NPL11/07/2026
Manly UnitedSutherland Sharks
21
New South Wales NPL28/03/2026
Sutherland SharksManly United
30
New South Wales NPL31/05/2025
Sutherland SharksManly United
01
New South Wales NPL14/02/2025
Manly UnitedSutherland Sharks
03
New South Wales NPL26/07/2024
Manly UnitedSutherland Sharks
12
New South Wales NPL20/04/2024
Sutherland SharksManly United
12
New South Wales NPL29/07/2023
Manly UnitedSutherland Sharks
10
New South Wales NPL15/04/2023
Sutherland SharksManly United
10
New South Wales NPL03/06/2022
Manly UnitedSutherland Sharks
21
New South Wales NPL19/03/2022
Sutherland SharksManly United
20

Bracket

Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Northern Tigers
Seeded
St. George Saints
Seeded
Sydney United
Seeded
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
Seeded
Sydney United3
Manly United1
Northern Tigers
Seeded
St. George Saints
Seeded
Northern Tigers
Seeded
St. George Saints
Seeded
Sydney United
Seeded
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
Seeded

League Table

New South Wales NPL 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1APIA Leichhardt TigersAPIA Leichhardt Tigers30215466:35+3168WDWDW
2Sydney UnitedSydney United30204647:20+2764WDWWW
3Marconi StallionsMarconi Stallions30195650:22+2862DWWLL
4Sutherland SharksSutherland Sharks301441246:38+846LWLDW
5Manly UnitedManly United301281039:35+444WWLWD
6Rockdale City SunsRockdale City Suns301341348:42+643WLLLD
7NWS SpiritNWS Spirit301251337:38-141DWWWL
8SD RaidersSD Raiders301251344:49-541WLLWW
9Sydney FC U23Sydney FC U23301181138:43-541DWLDL
10Western Sydney Wanderers U23Western Sydney Wanderers U23301151455:49+638WLLLW
11Wollongong WolvesWollongong Wolves301151435:43-838LWWLL
12St George City FASt George City FA301071330:46-1637LLWWW
13Blacktown CityBlacktown City30881441:48-732LLDLW
14UNSWUNSW30951638:49-1132LLDLL
15St. George SaintsSt. George Saints30831928:55-2727LWWDL
16Sydney OlympicSydney Olympic30651932:62-3023DLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1APIA Leichhardt TigersAPIA Leichhardt Tigers3066:3568
2Sydney UnitedSydney United3047:2064
3Marconi StallionsMarconi Stallions3050:2262
4Sutherland SharksSutherland Sharks3046:3846
5Manly UnitedManly United3039:3544
6Rockdale City SunsRockdale City Suns3048:4243
7NWS SpiritNWS Spirit3037:3841
8SD RaidersSD Raiders3044:4941
9Sydney FC U23Sydney FC U233038:4341
10Western Sydney Wanderers U23Western Sydney Wanderers U233055:4938
11Wollongong WolvesWollongong Wolves3035:4338
12St George City FASt George City FA3030:4637
13Blacktown CityBlacktown City3041:4832
14UNSWUNSW3038:4932
15St. George SaintsSt. George Saints3028:5527
16Sydney OlympicSydney Olympic3032:6223

About the Sutherland Sharks vs Manly United forecast

As a knockout tie in the New South Wales NPL, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Sutherland Sharks and Manly United in the New South Wales NPL table

Sutherland Sharks and Manly United are close in the New South Wales NPL table, 4th and 5th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Sutherland Sharks 46-38, Manly United 39-35. The full standings are on the New South Wales NPL Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Sutherland Sharks have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.