Numancia vs Oviedo Prediction
Spain · Round of 128
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Numancia vs Oviedo: the result in context
Numancia beat Oviedo on penalties (4-2) after a 3-3 draw in the Copa del Rey on 29 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Oviedo had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Numancia.
Referee Daniel Palencia Caballero averages 5.73 cards a game, 0.50 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
Extra Time0 - 0
Penalty Shootout4 - 2
Lineups
Numancia
13G. Súnico
5F. González
23B. López
27S. Alejandro Flores
18P. Cortés
14C. Moreno
4P. Suarez
17A. Aranzabe
19I. León Gutiérrez
6L. Roldán
1M. Narvaez
15S. Rodríguez
23C. Domínguez
30M. Esteban
21D. Jiménez
28D. Menendez
16A. Aldasoro
6D. Villahermosa
11J. González
17E. Pedrola
18V. MingoNumancia Substitutes
Oviedo Substitutes
Team Comparison
NumanciaOviedoAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Numancia- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.1 in second half)
Oviedo- Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Recent Form
NumanciaNumancia
NavalcarneroNumancia
CF Talavera
Real ÁvilaNumancia
Getafe IINumanciaNumancia
Guadalajara
SS ReyesNumanciaNumancia
A Madrid III
Atlético PasoNumanciaNumancia
Zaragoza
PoblenseNumanciaOviedo
AlmeriaOviedo
AD Ceuta FCOviedoOviedo
Eibar
EldenseOviedoOviedo
Sporting Gijon
SabadellOviedo
ValladolidOviedoOviedo
Burgos
AlbaceteOviedoOviedo
LeganesReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
5.73 cards a match, 0.50 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.23).
Cards come from 48 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsBracket
Cuarte
Girona
Sestao River
Espanyol
Calamocha
Europa Fc
Elche
CastellonenseAlmeria
Ciudad de Lucena
Rayo Majadahonda
Llanera
Ponferradina
RSD Alcalá
Las Palmas
Gimnástica Segoviana
Cultural Leonesa
Atlético Tordesillas
Mirandes
Manresa
Sant Andreu
Don Benito
Extremadura 1924Atlético Paso
Cordoba
Manacor
Villarreal
Recreativo Huelva
Rayo Vallecano
TudelanoZaragoza
Malaga
Arosa
Pontevedra
UteboSabadell
Portugalete
Real Unión
Tarancón
Levante
PamplonaEibar
Alaves
Amorebieta
UD Logroñés
Trival ValderasLeganes
Calvo SoteloAlbacete
Badajoz
Tenerife
Alcoyano
Mallorca
Deportiva Minera
FC Cartagena
Reddis
Barakaldo
ValenciaNavalcarnero
Real Betis
Salamanca UDS
Celta VigoNumanciaOviedo
Peña Sport
Huesca
OsasunaSS Reyes
CD Coria
Getafe
Atlético BalearesEldense
Coruxo
ZamoraPoblenseAD Ceuta FC
Cieza
Granada CF
Varea
FC Andorra
CovadongaValladolid
Antequera
Águilas
Conquense
Castellón
GuijueloSporting Gijon
LaredoBurgosReal Ávila
Unionistas de Salamanca
Mijas Las Lagunas
Real Jaén
Gimnástica Torrelavega
UD Ourense
Xerez
Cadiz
Racing Santander
Sevilla
Deportivo La Coruna
Athletic ClubCuarte0Girona2
Pinatar1Elche3Atlético Tordesillas32Mirandes34Manacor0Villarreal5
Tarancón-Levante-
Anaitasuna-Alaves-Alcoyano-Mallorca-
Tavernes-Valencia-Navalcarnero-Real Betis-
Atletico Calatayud0Osasuna6
Lebrijana2Getafe3Conquense0Castellón3
Ribadesella CF0Racing Santander2
Hortaleza0Sevilla3
Auriense0Deportivo La Coruna3
Prat1Athletic Club6Cuarte0Girona2Pinatar1Elche3Atlético Tordesillas32Mirandes34Manacor0Villarreal5Tarancón-Levante-Anaitasuna-Alaves-Alcoyano-Mallorca-Tavernes-Valencia-Navalcarnero-Real Betis-Atletico Calatayud0Osasuna6Lebrijana2Getafe3Conquense0Castellón3Ribadesella CF0Racing Santander2Hortaleza0Sevilla3Auriense0Deportivo La Coruna3Prat1Athletic Club6Explore more predictions
This match
More Copa del Rey matches
About the Numancia vs Oviedo forecast
As a knockout tie in the Copa del Rey, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About Copa del Rey
More Copa del Rey fixtures and forecasts are on the Copa del Rey Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
Oviedo have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Numancia and Oviedo have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.