Sabadell vs Oviedo Prediction

Sabadell
3-1
Finished
HT 2-0
Oviedo
Nova Creu Alta, Sabadell·Morilla Turrion, Alejandro 20/09/2026
SabadellSabadell
3-1
Finished
OviedoOviedo

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.27
SignalGOODModel43%SurpriseMediumGap-6.6%
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.74
SignalSOLIDModel64%SurpriseMediumGap+8.2%
Sabadell Rest
6 days
Oviedo Rest
6 days

Sabadell vs Oviedo: the result in context

Sabadell beat Oviedo 3-1 in the Segunda División on 20 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
41%2.15
X
33%3.00
2
26%3.60
Double Chance
1X
74%1.27
X2
59%1.66
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%2.05
No
55%1.68
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 0.98 = 2.18
Over 1.5
63%1.51
Over 2.5
36%2.55
Over 3.5
17%5.20
Under 1.5
37%2.49
Under 2.5
64%1.51
Under 3.5
83%1.13
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.2 = 9.6
Over 8.5
63%1.85
Over 9.5
51%2.37
Over 10.5
40%3.28
Under 8.5
37%1.89
Under 9.5
49%1.50
Under 10.5
60%1.26
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.1 = 4.4
Over 3.5
65%1.32
Over 4.5
45%1.75
Under 3.5
35%3.16
Under 4.5
55%2.00

Match Events

23'Gastón Joaquín Valles VelázquezAssist: Joel Priego
44'Óscar SanzAssist: Ton Ripoll
45'Aisar Ahmed INEstanis Pedrola out
45'Alexandru Mihai Isfan INMikel Goti Lopez out
45'Youness Lachhab Didi INChris Ramos out
58'Gastón Joaquín Valles Velázquez INNikolay Obolskiy out
65'Daniel VillahermosaFoul
67'Alberto Reina
70'Miki Codina INÁngel Baena out
70'Joel Priego INJavi López-Pinto out
70'José Luis Català INEneko Aguilar out
70'Juan Cruz INSamuel Rodríguez de la Riva out
71'Ton RipollFoul
78'Ángel BaenaAssist: Quadri Liameed
80'Ton Ripoll INPipa out
80'Daniel Villahermosa INEnzo Pérez Miranda out
84'Carlos DominguezFoul
90+3'Nikolay ObolskiyTime wasting

Lineups

Sabadell
4-4-2Coach: Ferran Costa
Oviedo
4-2-3-1Coach: Julián Calero
Avg rating6.78
Avg rating6.13
Diego Fuoli6.01D. Fuoli
Óscar Sanz7.814Ó. Sanz
José Luis Català6.527J. Luis Català
Edgar González6.46E. González
Miki Codina6.64M. Codina
Ton Ripoll6.87T. Ripoll
Urri6.220Urri
Pere Pons6.48P. Pons
Q. Liameed7.422Q. Liameed
J. Priego7.723J. Priego
Gastón Valles7.712G. Valles
Aarón Escandell6.313A. Escandell
Aisar6.12Aisar
Dani Calvo6.212D. Calvo
Carlos Domínguez5.923C. Domínguez
Juan Cruz5.23J. Cruz
Aritz Aldasoro5.616A. Aldasoro
Y. Didi6.05Y. Didi
Dani Villahermosa5.66D. Villahermosa
Alberto Reina7.610A. Reina
Pablo Sáenz6.620P. Sáenz
A. Ișfan6.124A. Ișfan

Sabadell Substitutes

10Ángel Baena70'for Miki Codina78'7.3
11Javi López70'for Joel Priego6.7
30Xavier Moreno Hernández
24Eneko Aguilar70'for José Luis Català6.6
9N. Obolskiy58'for Gastón Joaquín Valles Velázquez90+3'6.3
13J. Ortega
29P. Nuamah
19Y. Rahmani
21Alain Ribeiro
25Marc Vidal
2Pipa80'for Ton Ripoll6.1

Oviedo Substitutes

4David Costas
30Marco Esteban
18V. Mingo
11Jacobo González
8Mikel Goti45'for Alexandru Mihai Isfan6.0
21David Jiménez
28D. Menendez
17Estanis45'for Aisar Ahmed6.4
32Enzo Perez80'for Daniel Villahermosa6.3
9Chris Ramos45'for Youness Lachhab Didi6.5
15S. Rodriguez70'for Juan Cruz5.7
1Miguel Narváez

Match Stats

SabadellOviedo
44%Ball Possession56%
5Corner Kicks1
2Yellow Cards2
16Total Shots9
7Shots on Goal2
7Shots off Goal4
10Shots Inside Box3
6Shots Outside Box6
2Blocked Shots3
18Fouls8
3Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves4
323Total Passes491
233Passes Accurate372
8Free Kicks18

Team Comparison

SabadellSabadell
OviedoOviedo
1603Elo Rating 1643
1.05Attack 2.03
2.19Defense 1.37
37%Hit Rate 56%
12.0Shots per Game 17.6
3.1Shots on Target 7.1
5.5Corners per Game 6.1
2.3Cards per Game 4.0

Game State Tendencies

SabadellSabadell
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.4 in second half)
OviedoOviedo
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

SabadellSabadell0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
OviedoOviedo2Wins · 100%
2.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Segunda División09/05/2021
OviedoSabadell
21
Segunda División06/12/2020
SabadellOviedo
01

Recent Form

SabadellSabadell
3W5D2L
13/09/2026
MallorcaSabadell
20
L
07/09/2026
SabadellCordoba
32
W
29/08/2026
SabadellAlmeria
10
W
23/08/2026
CastellónSabadell
00
D
17/08/2026
Sporting GijonSabadell
00
D
09/08/2026
OlotSabadell
03
W
07/08/2026
GironaSabadell
22
D
01/08/2026
FC AndorraSabadell
00
D
25/07/2026
EspanyolSabadell
11
D
18/07/2026
CastellónSabadell
20
L
OviedoOviedo
3W3D4L
13/09/2026
ValladolidOviedo
03
W
06/09/2026
OviedoBurgos
00
D
29/08/2026
AlbaceteOviedo
01
W
22/08/2026
OviedoLeganes
01
L
15/08/2026
OviedoGranada CF
00
D
01/08/2026
1. FC NürnbergOviedo
21
L
29/07/2026
OviedoPonferradina
40
W
25/07/2026
OviedoDeportivo La Coruna
00
D
23/05/2026
MallorcaOviedo
30
L
17/05/2026
OviedoAlaves
01
L

Referee Profile

Morilla Turrion3 matches analysed

4.44Cards per match
4.28Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
24.2Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 51% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

League Table

Segunda División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CastellónCastellón1182122:4+1826WWLDW
2AlmeriaAlmeria1181222:9+1325DWWWW
3EibarEibar1171320:13+722LDLWW
4GironaGirona1163222:10+1221WWDDW
5Granada CFGranada CF1162318:14+420WWWWL
6BurgosBurgos1162316:12+420WWLLW
7MallorcaMallorca1154213:6+719DDWDL
8Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1161411:13-219LWWWL
9OviedoOviedo1153315:12+318DWWLW
10SabadellSabadell1145211:9+217DLWDD
11CordobaCordoba1150617:20-315WWLWL
12TenerifeTenerife1135313:15-214DDDLD
13EldenseEldense1142513:15-214LWWWL
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1142514:19-514WLLDL
15ValladolidValladolid1133516:16012LLWDW
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1133516:21-512LDWLD
17LeganesLeganes113357:16-912DLLLL
18CadizCadiz1124514:14010WLLWD
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1131715:20-510LLWDW
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1122714:22-88LLLLL
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1112810:25-155LLLDW
22AlbaceteAlbacete111198:22-144WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1CastellónCastellón1122:426
2AlmeriaAlmeria1122:925
3EibarEibar1120:1322
4GironaGirona1122:1021
5Granada CFGranada CF1118:1420
6BurgosBurgos1116:1220
7MallorcaMallorca1113:619
8Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1111:1319
9OviedoOviedo1115:1218
10SabadellSabadell1111:917
11CordobaCordoba1117:2015
12TenerifeTenerife1113:1514
13EldenseEldense1113:1514
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1114:1914
15ValladolidValladolid1116:1612
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1116:2112
17LeganesLeganes117:1612
18CadizCadiz1114:1410
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1115:2010
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1114:228
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1110:255
22AlbaceteAlbacete118:224
PromotionRelegation

About the Sabadell vs Oviedo forecast

The forecasts for this Segunda División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Sabadell and Oviedo in the Segunda División table

Oviedo and Sabadell are close in the Segunda División table, 9th and 10th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Sabadell 11-9, Oviedo 15-12. The full standings are on the Segunda División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Oviedo have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Sabadell and Oviedo have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.