Castellón vs Tenerife Prediction

Castellón
5-0
Finished
HT 3-0
Tenerife
Estadio Municipal Castalia, Castellon·Salvador Lax 19/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.57
SignalGOODModel72%SurpriseMediumGap+10.0%
Castellón Rest
7 days
Tenerife Rest
5 days

Castellón vs Tenerife: the result in context

Castellón beat Tenerife 5-0 in the Segunda División on 19 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Tenerife have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 5 previous meetings, which averaged 2.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%1.45
X
30%4.10
2
17%6.60
Double Chance
1X
83%1.10
X2
47%2.60
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%1.93
No
52%1.76
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.5 + 0.87 = 2.37
Over 1.5
69%1.25
Over 2.5
43%1.83
Over 3.5
22%3.25
Under 1.5
31%3.60
Under 2.5
57%1.95
Under 3.5
78%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 3.5 = 9.5
Over 8.5
57%1.46
Over 9.5
45%1.80
Over 10.5
39%2.25
Under 8.5
43%2.54
Under 9.5
55%1.94
Under 10.5
61%1.56
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.6 = 4.4
Over 3.5
64%-
Over 4.5
45%1.67
Under 3.5
36%-
Under 4.5
55%2.13

Match Events

9'Diego BarriAssist: Israel Suero Fernández
24'Matías OrozcoAssist: Adam Jakobsen
29'Ousmane CamaraAssist: Íñigo Córdoba
45'Matías Orozco INAlvaro Martin out
45'Juanjo Sánchez INMauro Pitton out
45'Fabricio Assis de Souza Barbosa INA. Krdžalić out
45'Ivan Chapela INNoel López out
60'Mauro PittonFoul
61'Adam Jakobsen INPablo Santiago out
61'Israel Suero Fernández INFrancisco Castillo out
62'Pablo SantiagoAssist: Juanjo Nieto
65'Víctor Moreno AlcaláFoul
69'Íñigo Córdoba INRaúl Sánchez out
73'Marc Mateu INMartin Pečar out
73'Christian Pierre Louis Gomis INGerard Valentín out
77'Ousmane CamaraAssist: Alberto Jiménez
78'Ousmane Camara INÁlvaro García Arana out

Lineups

Castellón
4-4-2Coach: Pablo Hernández
Tenerife
4-4-2Coach: Álvaro
Avg rating7.35
Avg rating5.99
R. Matthys7.913R. Matthys
J. Mellot6.922J. Mellot
Alberto Jiménez7.05A. Jiménez
A. Sienra7.14A. Sienra
Juanjo Nieto7.72J. Nieto
A. Jakobsen7.116A. Jakobsen
M. Orozco8.26M. Orozco
Barri9.08Barri
Iñigo Córdoba7.514I. Córdoba
Ousmane Camara8.99O. Camara
Israel Suero6.910I. Suero
Dani Martín5.51D. Martín
Jorge Moreno5.25J. Moreno
A. Landázuri6.212A. Landázuri
José León6.04J. León
David Rodríguez6.02D. Rodríguez
Iván Chapela5.624I. Chapela
Juanjo5.96Juanjo
Fabricio6.215Fabricio
Marc Mateu5.921M. Mateu
Víctor Moreno6.48V. Moreno
C. Gomis6.117C. Gomis

Castellón Substitutes

19Hamza Bellari
17F. Castillo61'for Israel Suero Fernández6.6
25J. Vlak
11F. Ceccherini
26Rodrigo Miguel Ferreira Rêgo
27A. Gala
23Varo García78'for Ousmane Camara6.4
21Álvaro Martín45'for Matías Orozco6.4
1A. Saipi
18Pablo Santiago61'for Adam Jakobsen62'7.3
7Raúl Sánchez69'for Íñigo Córdoba6.6
12Lucas Alcázar

Tenerife Substitutes

29Daniel Fernández
18Enric Gallego
3R. Jureškin
23A. Krdžalić45'for Fabricio Assis de Souza Barbosa6.6
40Gabriel Lozano
11Noel López45'for Ivan Chapela6.4
7M. Pečar73'for Marc Mateu5.8
20M. Pittón45'for Juanjo Sánchez60'5.7
14Gerard Valentín73'for Christian Pierre Louis Gomis6.6
27N. Viereck
9De Miguel
19César Álvarez

Match Stats

CastellónTenerife
64%Ball Possession36%
0Corner Kicks5
0Yellow Cards2
9Total Shots12
5Shots on Goal4
3Shots off Goal5
7Shots Inside Box9
2Shots Outside Box3
1Blocked Shots3
12Fouls7
1Offsides4
4Goalkeeper Saves0
675Total Passes362
591Passes Accurate289
6Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

CastellónCastellón
TenerifeTenerife
1726Elo Rating 1619
2.04Attack 1.05
2.58Defense 1.05
58%Hit Rate 0%
13.7Shots per Game 11.0
4.8Shots on Target 2.9
4.5Corners per Game 4.9
1.3Cards per Game 2.8

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+107 Elo

Game State Tendencies

CastellónCastellón
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.7 in second half)
TenerifeTenerife
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

CastellónCastellón1Wins · 20%
Draws120%
TenerifeTenerife3Wins · 60%
2.0Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored2 of 5
20%3+ goals1 of 5

Previous meetings

Segunda División11/01/2025
TenerifeCastellón
20
Segunda División29/09/2024
CastellónTenerife
21
Segunda División25/04/2021
TenerifeCastellón
11
Copa del Rey06/01/2021
CastellónTenerife
02
Segunda División03/01/2021
CastellónTenerife
01

Recent Form

CastellónCastellón
6W2D2L
12/09/2026
GironaCastellón
12
W
06/09/2026
CastellónAlbacete
20
W
31/08/2026
Celta de Vigo IICastellón
12
W
23/08/2026
CastellónSabadell
00
D
14/08/2026
Real Sociedad IICastellón
01
W
08/08/2026
CastellónLevante
13
L
07/08/2026
HérculesCastellón
4050
W
31/07/2026
AlavesCastellón
30
L
29/07/2026
GironaCastellón
33
D
25/07/2026
ValenciaCastellón
12
W
TenerifeTenerife
6W2D2L
13/09/2026
TenerifeLeganes
20
W
05/09/2026
Real Sociedad IITenerife
11
D
28/08/2026
TenerifeSporting Gijon
01
L
23/08/2026
TenerifeAlmeria
10
W
16/08/2026
EibarTenerife
13
W
08/08/2026
LeganesTenerife
3040
W
04/08/2026
TenerifeTamaraceite
32
W
01/08/2026
TenerifeCadiz
2222
D
26/07/2026
MarinoTenerife
06
W
22/07/2026
TenerifeGetafe
12
L

Referee Profile

Salvador Lax113 matches

4.72Cards per match
4.52Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
24.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Salvador Lax4.72
Other referees5.17

4.72 cards a match, 0.45 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.17).

Cards come from 67 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Segunda División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CastellónCastellón1182122:4+1826WWLDW
2AlmeriaAlmeria1181222:9+1325DWWWW
3EibarEibar1171320:13+722LDLWW
4GironaGirona1163222:10+1221WWDDW
5Granada CFGranada CF1162318:14+420WWWWL
6BurgosBurgos1162316:12+420WWLLW
7MallorcaMallorca1154213:6+719DDWDL
8Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1161411:13-219LWWWL
9OviedoOviedo1153315:12+318DWWLW
10SabadellSabadell1145211:9+217DLWDD
11CordobaCordoba1150617:20-315WWLWL
12TenerifeTenerife1135313:15-214DDDLD
13EldenseEldense1142513:15-214LWWWL
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1142514:19-514WLLDL
15ValladolidValladolid1133516:16012LLWDW
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1133516:21-512LDWLD
17LeganesLeganes113357:16-912DLLLL
18CadizCadiz1124514:14010WLLWD
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1131715:20-510LLWDW
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1122714:22-88LLLLL
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1112810:25-155LLLDW
22AlbaceteAlbacete111198:22-144WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1CastellónCastellón1122:426
2AlmeriaAlmeria1122:925
3EibarEibar1120:1322
4GironaGirona1122:1021
5Granada CFGranada CF1118:1420
6BurgosBurgos1116:1220
7MallorcaMallorca1113:619
8Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1111:1319
9OviedoOviedo1115:1218
10SabadellSabadell1111:917
11CordobaCordoba1117:2015
12TenerifeTenerife1113:1514
13EldenseEldense1113:1514
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1114:1914
15ValladolidValladolid1116:1612
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1116:2112
17LeganesLeganes117:1612
18CadizCadiz1114:1410
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1115:2010
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1114:228
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1110:255
22AlbaceteAlbacete118:224
PromotionRelegation

About the Castellón vs Tenerife forecast

The forecasts for this Segunda División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Castellón and Tenerife in the Segunda División table

In the Segunda División table, Castellón are 1st and Tenerife 12th, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: Castellón 22-4, Tenerife 13-15. The full standings are on the Segunda División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Castellón have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.