Las Palmas vs Burgos Prediction

Las Palmas
1-2
Finished
HT 1-0
Burgos
Gran Canaria, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria·Jose Guzman 20/09/2026
Las PalmasLas Palmas
1-2
Finished
BurgosBurgos

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.22
SignalGOODModel46%SurpriseMediumGap-8.8%
Value Analysis
57%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.85
SignalNEUTRALModel57%SurpriseMediumGap+4.1%
Las Palmas Rest
8 days
Burgos Rest
8 days

Las Palmas vs Burgos: result, form and history

Burgos beat Las Palmas 2-1 in the Segunda División on 20 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 0.7 goals a game across 6 matches.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%1.94
X
29%3.18
2
24%4.00
Double Chance
1X
76%1.22
X2
53%1.79
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.91
No
51%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.41 + 0.96 = 2.37
Over 1.5
70%1.36
Over 2.5
44%2.12
Over 3.5
23%3.95
Under 1.5
30%3.00
Under 2.5
56%1.69
Under 3.5
77%1.23
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.9 + 4.4 = 9.3
Over 8.5
58%1.80
Over 9.5
49%2.23
Over 10.5
39%2.92
Under 8.5
42%1.96
Under 9.5
51%1.56
Under 10.5
61%1.31
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.4 = 4.2
Over 3.5
61%1.35
Over 4.5
41%1.77
Under 3.5
39%2.99
Under 4.5
59%1.97

Match Events

29'Manu FusterFoul
34'Enzo LoiodiceFoul
37'Jesé RodríguezAssist: Manu Fuster
45'Curro INÁlex Forés out
45'Marcelo Expósito INJosé Gragera out
56'José GrageraPersistent infringement
58'Álex ForésAssist: Jon Karrikaburu
64'Manu Fuster INRafael Cruz Suarez out
67'Brais Martínez INIgnasi Vilarrasa Palacios out
67'Jon Karrikaburu INVictor Mollejo out
71'Taisei Miyashiro INSandro Ramírez out
71'Iván Jaime INJefte Betancor Sanchez out
73'Oier Luengo RedondoFoul
75'Oier Luengo Redondo INIván Martínez out
80'Kirian Rodríguez INElías Romero out
80'Jesé Rodríguez INIvan Medina out
87'Grego SierraFoul
90+4'David GonzalezAssist: Javier Llabrés Exposito

Lineups

Las Palmas
4-2-3-1Coach: Rubén De La Barrera
Burgos
4-4-2Coach: Sergio Francisco
Avg rating6.56
Avg rating6.57
José Caro5.913J. Caro
Valentín Pezzolesi7.025V. Pezzolesi
Juan Herzog6.815J. Herzog
G. Bonfanti6.521G. Bonfanti
E. Loiodice6.112E. Loiodice
Kirian Rodríguez6.620K. Rodríguez
Iñaki González Zambrano6.76I. González Zambrano
T. Miyashiro6.311T. Miyashiro
Manu Fuster7.014M. Fuster
Iván Jaime7.124I. Jaime
Jesé7.510Jesé
Ander Cantero6.213A. Cantero
Alberto Dadie6.223A. Dadie
Oier Luengo6.315O. Luengo
Grego6.38Grego
Brais Martínez6.522B. Martínez
David González7.614D. González
Marcelo Expósito6.95M. Expósito
Unai Vencedor6.512U. Vencedor
Javi Llabrés5.819J. Llabrés
Curro Sánchez6.716C. Sánchez
Jon Karrikaburu7.07J. Karrikaburu

Las Palmas Substitutes

40Aidán Pieter Pérez Kraaijeveld
19Sandro Ramírez71'for Taisei Miyashiro6.0
9J. Recoba
23A. Rodriguez
29Elías Romero80'for Kirian Rodríguez6.3
42Rachid Saiah Bouchaiba
35Adrián Suárez
43Eduard Mohedano Serrano
30I. Medina80'for Jesé Rodríguez6.4
32Rafa Cruz64'for Manu Fuster6.7
7Jefté Betancor71'for Iván Jaime6.2
16Mateo Acimovic

Burgos Substitutes

36I. Martinez75'for Oier Luengo Redondo6.4
17Mario Cantero
18Saúl del Cerro
9Álex Forés45'for Curro58'8.1
4P. Galdames
21Fermin Garcia
20José Gragera45'for Marcelo Expósito56'5.9
1Bruno Iribarne
24S. Lencinas
39David Hernáiz García
11Víctor Mollejo67'for Jon Karrikaburu6.6
3Ignasi Vilarrasa67'for Brais Martínez6.1

Match Stats

Las PalmasBurgos
63%Ball Possession37%
9Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards3
13Total Shots8
3Shots on Goal3
9Shots off Goal2
4Shots Inside Box6
9Shots Outside Box2
1Blocked Shots3
12Fouls21
2Offsides5
1Goalkeeper Saves2
570Total Passes335
505Passes Accurate259
21Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

Las PalmasLas Palmas
BurgosBurgos
1620Elo Rating 1669
1.08Attack 0.91
0.97Defense 2.24
27%Hit Rate 58%
9.0Shots per Game 12.6
3.1Shots on Target 4.6
3.6Corners per Game 5.1
4.5Cards per Game 3.0

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Las PalmasLas Palmas
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
BurgosBurgos
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

Las PalmasLas Palmas0Wins · 0%
Draws467%
BurgosBurgos2Wins · 33%
0.7Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 6
0%3+ goals0 of 6

Previous meetings

Segunda División07/02/2026
Las PalmasBurgos
00
Segunda División07/09/2025
BurgosLas Palmas
00
Segunda División06/02/2023
BurgosLas Palmas
00
Segunda División01/11/2022
Las PalmasBurgos
02
Segunda División13/02/2022
Las PalmasBurgos
02
Segunda División20/09/2021
BurgosLas Palmas
00

Recent Form

Las PalmasLas Palmas
4W2D4L
12/09/2026
CadizLas Palmas
01
W
04/09/2026
Las PalmasLeganes
00
D
29/08/2026
GironaLas Palmas
52
L
22/08/2026
AD Ceuta FCLas Palmas
02
W
16/08/2026
Las PalmasAlbacete
21
W
31/07/2026
Las PalmasNEOM
01
L
28/07/2026
Las PalmasUnião de Leiria
32
W
25/07/2026
Las PalmasAl-Ittihad FC
12
L
22/07/2026
Orlando PiratesLas Palmas
10
L
10/06/2026
MalagaLas Palmas
11
D
BurgosBurgos
5W3D2L
11/09/2026
BurgosAD Ceuta FC
31
W
06/09/2026
OviedoBurgos
00
D
31/08/2026
BurgosReal Sociedad II
22
D
23/08/2026
Sporting GijonBurgos
10
L
16/08/2026
BurgosCordoba
32
W
08/08/2026
BurgosCultural Leonesa
0000
D
01/08/2026
BurgosAthletic Club
03
L
29/07/2026
Unionistas de SalamancaBurgos
01
W
31/05/2026
BurgosFC Andorra
10
W
24/05/2026
Cultural LeonesaBurgos
02
W

Referee Profile

Jose Guzman117 matches

5.19Cards per match
4.93Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
26.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Jose Guzman5.19
Other referees5.04

5.19 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.04).

Cards come from 88 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Segunda División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CastellónCastellón1182122:4+1826WWLDW
2AlmeriaAlmeria1181222:9+1325DWWWW
3EibarEibar1171320:13+722LDLWW
4GironaGirona1163222:10+1221WWDDW
5Granada CFGranada CF1162318:14+420WWWWL
6BurgosBurgos1162316:12+420WWLLW
7MallorcaMallorca1154213:6+719DDWDL
8Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1161411:13-219LWWWL
9OviedoOviedo1153315:12+318DWWLW
10SabadellSabadell1145211:9+217DLWDD
11CordobaCordoba1150617:20-315WWLWL
12TenerifeTenerife1135313:15-214DDDLD
13EldenseEldense1142513:15-214LWWWL
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1142514:19-514WLLDL
15ValladolidValladolid1133516:16012LLWDW
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1133516:21-512LDWLD
17LeganesLeganes113357:16-912DLLLL
18CadizCadiz1124514:14010WLLWD
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1131715:20-510LLWDW
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1122714:22-88LLLLL
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1112810:25-155LLLDW
22AlbaceteAlbacete111198:22-144WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1CastellónCastellón1122:426
2AlmeriaAlmeria1122:925
3EibarEibar1120:1322
4GironaGirona1122:1021
5Granada CFGranada CF1118:1420
6BurgosBurgos1116:1220
7MallorcaMallorca1113:619
8Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1111:1319
9OviedoOviedo1115:1218
10SabadellSabadell1111:917
11CordobaCordoba1117:2015
12TenerifeTenerife1113:1514
13EldenseEldense1113:1514
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1114:1914
15ValladolidValladolid1116:1612
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1116:2112
17LeganesLeganes117:1612
18CadizCadiz1114:1410
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1115:2010
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1114:228
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1110:255
22AlbaceteAlbacete118:224
PromotionRelegation

About the Las Palmas vs Burgos forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Las Palmas and Burgos in the Segunda División table

In the Segunda División table, Burgos are 6th and Las Palmas 14th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Las Palmas 14-19, Burgos 16-12. The full standings are on the Segunda División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.