AD Ceuta FC vs Real Sociedad II Prediction
Spain · Regular Season - 7
Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube, Ceuta·Miranda Bolano, Daniel 26/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Over 4.5
1.71
SignalGOODModel66%SurpriseMediumGap+8.1%
AD Ceuta FC Rest
5 days
Real Sociedad II Rest
7 days
AD Ceuta FC vs Real Sociedad II: result, form and history
AD Ceuta FC beat Real Sociedad II 3-1 in the Segunda División on 26 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
135%2.80
X28%3.40
237%2.44
Double Chance
1X63%1.48
X265%1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes55%1.62
No45%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1.02 = 2.22
Over 1.573%1.25
Over 2.548%1.81
Over 3.528%3.15
Under 1.527%3.60
Under 2.552%1.96
Under 3.572%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4.2 = 9.9
Over 8.564%1.61
Over 9.552%2.00
Over 10.540%2.56
Under 8.536%2.18
Under 9.548%1.72
Under 10.560%1.41
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.5 = 4.5
Over 3.566%-
Over 4.547%1.45
Under 3.534%-
Under 4.553%2.62
Match Events
33'Arkaitz MariezkurrenaViolent conduct
44'Kazunari KitaFoul
48'Kazunari Kita
51'Goal cancelledCarlos Hernández
64'Joaquín Felipe González Rodríguez INJordi Escobar out
66'Kazunari Kita
67'Alex Marchal García INUnax Agote out
67'Carlos HernándezAssist: Kialy Abdoul Kone
68'José Juan Romero GilDissent
71'Gorka Carrera ZarranzArgument
71'José MatosFoul
71'Gorka Carrera Zarranz INJavier Soroeta out
72'Alex Lebarbier INIbai Aguirre out
72'Dani Diaz INGorka Gorosabel out
73'Chidiebere Gabriel OkoroFoul
76'Chidiebere Gabriel Okoro INMarino Illesca out
76'José Antonio Abad Martínez INAlejandro Meléndez out
81'Carlos HernándezAssist: Kialy Abdoul Kone
86'Kialy Abdoul Kone INAbraham Bueno Espinosa out
86'Iker Ropero INSydney Osazuwa out
86'Anuar Mohamed Tuhami INArick Betancourt out
89'Unax AgoteFoul
90'Kuki ZalazarDissent
90+7'Jon BaldaFoul
90+9'Jordi EscobarAssist: Abraham Bueno Espinosa
Lineups
AD Ceuta FCReal Sociedad II
4-4-2Coach: Ion AnsotegiAvg ratingAvg rating
13G. Vallejo
2T. Abad
6C. Hernández
4A. Caparrós
3J. Matos
23A. Tuhami
15Joaquín3232C. Gabriel Okoro
22K. Koné
8Kuki
7A. Camacho Ramírez
1A. Fraga
2J. Garro
29I. Ropero
5K. Kita
3J. Balda
7D. Díaz
14T. Carbonell
6A. Lebarbier
11A. Garcia
18G. Carrera
10A. MariezkurrenaAD Ceuta FC Substitutes
9Jordi Escobar64'for Joaquín Felipe González Rodríguez90+9'
28Abraham Bueno Espinosa86'replaced by Kialy Abdoul Kone
14Y. Bodiger
26Arick Betancourt86'for Anuar Mohamed Tuhami
10Marino Illescas76'replaced by Chidiebere Gabriel Okoro
27U. Konare
1Pedro López
34D. Mas
20Álex Meléndez76'for José Antonio Abad Martínez
17Mawuli Mensah
Real Sociedad II Substitutes
16Gorka Gorosabel72'for Dani Diaz
12J. Oleaga
20Sydney Osazuwa86'for Iker Ropero
22Rupérez
19Javier Soroeta71'for Gorka Carrera Zarranz
13T. Folgado
21Jon Eceizabarrena
15I. Calderon
24A. Unax
17Lander Astiazarán
8Ibai Aguirre72'for Alex Lebarbier
23Unax Agote67'for Alex Marchal García89'
Match Stats
AD Ceuta FCReal Sociedad II 70%Ball Possession30%
9Corner Kicks2
3Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards2
25Total Shots5
8Shots on Goal2
10Shots off Goal3
16Shots Inside Box1
9Shots Outside Box4
7Blocked Shots0
10Fouls24
3Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves5
479Total Passes208
410Passes Accurate138
24Free Kicks10
Team Comparison
AD Ceuta FCReal Sociedad II1490Elo Rating 1499
1.28Attack 1.55
1.04Defense 0.54
14%Hit Rate 14%
22.1Shots per Game 17.9
5.5Shots on Target 5.6
8.9Corners per Game 7.0
2.8Cards per Game 2.7
AI Insights
📉Home Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
AD Ceuta FC- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Real Sociedad II- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.6 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 2 meetings, all competitions
AD Ceuta FC1Wins · 50%Draws150%
Real Sociedad II0Wins · 0%
0Wins · 0%2.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2
Previous meetings
10/04/2026AD Ceuta FCReal Sociedad II00
21/12/2025Real Sociedad IIAD Ceuta FC13
Recent Form
AD Ceuta FC3W1D6L
20/09/2026AD Ceuta FC
Valladolid
BurgosAD Ceuta FC
MallorcaAD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC
Las Palmas
FC AndorraAD Ceuta FC
AD Ceuta FCValladolid11
D11/09/2026BurgosAD Ceuta FC31
L05/09/2026AD Ceuta FC
Celta de Vigo II
30/08/2026AD Ceuta FCCelta de Vigo II02
LMallorcaAD Ceuta FC30
L22/08/2026AD Ceuta FCLas Palmas02
L15/08/2026FC AndorraAD Ceuta FC51
L07/08/2026AD Ceuta FC
Malaga
AD Ceuta FCMalaga21
W29/07/2026
CadizAD Ceuta FC
CadizAD Ceuta FC13
W26/07/2026
SevillaAD Ceuta FC
SevillaAD Ceuta FC21
L30/05/2026AD Ceuta FC
Albacete
AD Ceuta FCAlbacete10
WReal Sociedad II2W2D6L
19/09/2026Real Sociedad IIMallorcaReal Sociedad II
Castellón
Real Sociedad IIMallorca01
L15/09/2026
Aston Villa U21Real Sociedad II
Aston Villa U21Real Sociedad II51
L12/09/2026FC AndorraReal Sociedad II
FC AndorraReal Sociedad II13
W05/09/2026Real Sociedad II
Tenerife
Real Sociedad IITenerife11
D31/08/2026BurgosReal Sociedad II
BurgosReal Sociedad II22
D22/08/2026AlbaceteReal Sociedad II
14/08/2026AlbaceteReal Sociedad II12
WReal Sociedad IICastellón01
L08/08/2026
ZaragozaReal Sociedad II
ZaragozaReal Sociedad II21
L01/08/2026Real Sociedad II
Huesca
Real Sociedad IIHuesca02
L29/07/2026Real Sociedad II
Eibar
Real Sociedad IIEibar01
LLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Castellón | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 23:5 | +18 | 27 | DWWLD |
| 2 |  Almeria | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 23:10 | +13 | 26 | DDWWW |
| 3 | Eibar | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | +7 | 23 | DLDLW |
| 4 |  Granada CF | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 20:14 | +6 | 23 | WWWWW |
| 5 | Mallorca | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 15:7 | +8 | 22 | WDDWD |
| 6 |  Sporting Gijon | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 22 | WLWWW |
| 7 |  Girona | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 22:11 | +11 | 21 | LWWDD |
| 8 | Burgos | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17:13 | +4 | 21 | DWWLL |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17:15 | +2 | 18 | LDWWL |
| 10 |  Sabadell | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12:11 | +1 | 17 | LDLWD |
| 11 | Las Palmas | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 17 | WWLLD |
| 12 |  Cordoba | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19:22 | -3 | 16 | DWWLW |
| 13 | Valladolid | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 20:19 | +1 | 15 | WLLWD |
| 14 | Tenerife | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 13:15 | -2 | 14 | DDDLD |
| 15 |  Eldense | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13:17 | -4 | 14 | LLWWW |
| 16 | Celta de Vigo II | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 18:23 | -5 | 13 | DLDWL |
| 17 |  Leganes | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:20 | -10 | 12 | LDLLL |
| 18 | Real Sociedad II | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15:22 | -7 | 11 | WLLLL |
| 19 | Cadiz | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15:16 | -1 | 10 | LWLLW |
| 20 | FC Andorra | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15:20 | -5 | 10 | LLWDW |
| 21 | Albacete | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10:23 | -13 | 7 | WWLLL |
| 22 | AD Ceuta FC | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10:27 | -17 | 5 | LLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Castellón | 12 | 23:5 | 27 |
| 2 | Almeria | 12 | 23:10 | 26 |
| 3 | Eibar | 12 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 4 | Granada CF | 12 | 20:14 | 23 |
| 5 | Mallorca | 12 | 15:7 | 22 |
| 6 | Sporting Gijon | 12 | 13:13 | 22 |
| 7 | Girona | 12 | 22:11 | 21 |
| 8 | Burgos | 12 | 17:13 | 21 |
| 9 | Oviedo | 12 | 17:15 | 18 |
| 10 | Sabadell | 12 | 12:11 | 17 |
| 11 | Las Palmas | 12 | 17:21 | 17 |
| 12 | Cordoba | 12 | 19:22 | 16 |
| 13 | Valladolid | 12 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 14 | Tenerife | 11 | 13:15 | 14 |
| 15 | Eldense | 12 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 16 | Celta de Vigo II | 12 | 18:23 | 13 |
| 17 | Leganes | 12 | 10:20 | 12 |
| 18 | Real Sociedad II | 12 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 19 | Cadiz | 12 | 15:16 | 10 |
| 20 | FC Andorra | 11 | 15:20 | 10 |
| 21 | Albacete | 12 | 10:23 | 7 |
| 22 | AD Ceuta FC | 12 | 10:27 | 5 |
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About the AD Ceuta FC vs Real Sociedad II forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
AD Ceuta FC and Real Sociedad II in the Segunda División table
In the Segunda División table, Real Sociedad II are 18th and AD Ceuta FC 22nd, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: AD Ceuta FC 10-27, Real Sociedad II 15-22. The full standings are on the Segunda División Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
AD Ceuta FC and Real Sociedad II have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.