Celta de Vigo II vs Sabadell Prediction

Celta de Vigo II
1-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Sabadell
Municipal de Balaídos, Vigo·Gorka Etayo Herrera 26/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
65%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.30
SignalSOLIDModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-12.1%
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.59
SignalGOODModel67%SurpriseMediumGap+5.1%
Celta de Vigo II Rest
6 days
Sabadell Rest
6 days

Celta de Vigo II vs Sabadell: the result in context

Celta de Vigo II and Sabadell drew 1-1 in the Segunda División on 26 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee Gorka Etayo Herrera averages 4.69 cards a game, 0.84 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
31%3.36
X
29%3.30
2
40%2.11
Double Chance
1X
60%1.68
X2
69%1.30
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.75
No
44%1.97
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.4 + 1.31 = 2.71
Over 1.5
74%1.30
Over 2.5
50%2.00
Over 3.5
28%3.50
Under 1.5
26%3.30
Under 2.5
50%1.78
Under 3.5
72%1.28
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 4.3 = 9.2
Over 8.5
58%2.00
Over 9.5
49%2.59
Over 10.5
38%3.70
Under 8.5
42%1.71
Under 9.5
51%1.39
Under 10.5
62%1.20
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.3 = 4.3
Over 3.5
63%-
Over 4.5
44%1.66
Under 3.5
37%-
Under 4.5
56%2.13

Match Events

6'Alvaro·Marin Sesma
20'Pere PonsFoul
23'Edgar GonzalezAssist: Ton Ripoll
32'Edgar GonzalezFoul
45'Pere Pons INÁngel Baena out
54'José Luis CatalàFoul
54'Albert Orriols CerarolsFoul
60'José Luis Català INJavi López-Pinto out
60'Gastón Joaquín Valles Velázquez INNikolay Obolskiy out
60'Óscar Marcos INÁngel Arcos out
71'Joel Priego INAlain Ribeiro out
72'Hugo Burcio INPablo González Meixús out
72'Pablo Gavián Alonso INJoel Lopez out
78'Anxo Rodríguez ÁlvarezFoul
81'Alvaro·Marin Sesma INJorge Pérez-Lafuente Rey out
81'Aldrine Kibet INAngel Davila Outerelo out
86'Ton Ripoll INEneko Aguilar out
89'Seyni Mbaye NdiayeFoul

Lineups

Celta de Vigo II
3-4-3Coach: Fredi
Sabadell
3-5-2Coach: Ferran Costa
Avg rating6.44
Avg rating6.58
Coke Carrillo6.81C. Carrillo
K. Ribes6.23K. Ribes
S. M. Ndiaye6.14S. M. Ndiaye
A. Rodriguez6.520A. Rodriguez
P. Gavian6.32P. Gavian
Adrià Capdevila6.016A. Capdevila
H. Burcio6.75H. Burcio
G. Miller6.223G. Miller
A. Kibet6.615A. Kibet
A. Marin7.59A. Marin
O. Marcos6.310O. Marcos
Diego Fuoli6.31D. Fuoli
Óscar Sanz6.414Ó. Sanz
Edgar González7.76E. González
José Luis Català6.027J. Luis Català
Ton Ripoll6.57T. Ripoll
Q. Liameed6.722Q. Liameed
Urri6.820Urri
Pere Pons6.18P. Pons
Miki Codina6.44M. Codina
Gastón Valles6.612G. Valles
J. Priego6.823J. Priego

Celta de Vigo II Substitutes

11Ángel Arcos60'for Óscar Marcos6.8
13Caio Barone
19A. Davila Outerelo81'for Aldrine Kibet6.5
32H. Lopez
18Joel López72'for Pablo Gavián Alonso5.9
6P. Meixus72'for Hugo Burcio6.5
21Alexis Olmedo
25M. Gonzalez
26Jorge Pérez-Lafuente Rey81'replaced by Alvaro·Marin Sesma
33David Sueiro Muiños

Sabadell Substitutes

2Pipa
11Javi López60'for José Luis Català6.9
10Ángel Baena45'for Pere Pons6.6
24Eneko Aguilar86'for Ton Ripoll6.3
9N. Obolskiy60'for Gastón Joaquín Valles Velázquez6.9
13J. Ortega
19Y. Rahmani
21Alain Ribeiro71'for Joel Priego6.3
25Marc Vidal

Match Stats

Celta de Vigo IISabadell
45%Ball Possession55%
3Corner Kicks7
2Yellow Cards4
4Total Shots10
1Shots on Goal2
0Shots off Goal5
1Shots Inside Box9
3Shots Outside Box1
3Blocked Shots3
15Fouls14
3Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves0
363Total Passes382
260Passes Accurate271
12Free Kicks15

Team Comparison

Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II
SabadellSabadell
1561Elo Rating 1603
1.75Attack 1.05
0.59Defense 2.19
19%Hit Rate 37%
9.4Shots per Game 12.0
4.7Shots on Target 3.1
3.1Corners per Game 5.5
3.1Cards per Game 2.3

Game State Tendencies

Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
SabadellSabadell
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.4 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1Wins · 50%
Draws00%
SabadellSabadell1Wins · 50%
4.5Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored2 of 2
100%3+ goals2 of 2

Previous meetings

Primera División RFEF - Group 121/01/2024
SabadellCelta de Vigo II
21
Primera División RFEF - Group 128/10/2023
Celta de Vigo IISabadell
42

Recent Form

Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II
5W2D3L
20/09/2026
AlmeriaCelta de Vigo II
20
L
14/09/2026
Celta de Vigo IIEibar
04
L
05/09/2026
AD Ceuta FCCelta de Vigo II
02
W
31/08/2026
Celta de Vigo IICastellón
12
L
24/08/2026
Celta de Vigo IIFC Andorra
42
W
15/08/2026
CadizCelta de Vigo II
00
D
01/08/2026
VizelaCelta de Vigo II
01
W
20/06/2026
Celta de Vigo IIPonferradina
41
W
13/06/2026
PonferradinaCelta de Vigo II
00
D
07/06/2026
Celta de Vigo IIEuropa Fc
3222
W
SabadellSabadell
4W5D1L
20/09/2026
SabadellOviedo
31
W
13/09/2026
MallorcaSabadell
20
L
07/09/2026
SabadellCordoba
32
W
29/08/2026
SabadellAlmeria
10
W
23/08/2026
CastellónSabadell
00
D
17/08/2026
Sporting GijonSabadell
00
D
09/08/2026
OlotSabadell
03
W
07/08/2026
GironaSabadell
22
D
01/08/2026
FC AndorraSabadell
00
D
25/07/2026
EspanyolSabadell
11
D

Referee Profile

Gorka Etayo Herrera93 matches

4.69Cards per match
4.50Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
26.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Gorka Etayo Herrera4.69
Other referees5.53

4.69 cards a match, 0.84 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.53).

Cards come from 26 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Segunda División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CastellónCastellón1182122:4+1826WWLDW
2AlmeriaAlmeria1181222:9+1325DWWWW
3EibarEibar1171320:13+722LDLWW
4GironaGirona1163222:10+1221WWDDW
5Granada CFGranada CF1162318:14+420WWWWL
6BurgosBurgos1162316:12+420WWLLW
7MallorcaMallorca1154213:6+719DDWDL
8Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1161411:13-219LWWWL
9OviedoOviedo1153315:12+318DWWLW
10SabadellSabadell1145211:9+217DLWDD
11CordobaCordoba1150617:20-315WWLWL
12TenerifeTenerife1135313:15-214DDDLD
13EldenseEldense1142513:15-214LWWWL
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1142514:19-514WLLDL
15ValladolidValladolid1133516:16012LLWDW
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1133516:21-512LDWLD
17LeganesLeganes113357:16-912DLLLL
18CadizCadiz1124514:14010WLLWD
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1131715:20-510LLWDW
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1122714:22-88LLLLL
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1112810:25-155LLLDW
22AlbaceteAlbacete111198:22-144WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1CastellónCastellón1122:426
2AlmeriaAlmeria1122:925
3EibarEibar1120:1322
4GironaGirona1122:1021
5Granada CFGranada CF1118:1420
6BurgosBurgos1116:1220
7MallorcaMallorca1113:619
8Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1111:1319
9OviedoOviedo1115:1218
10SabadellSabadell1111:917
11CordobaCordoba1117:2015
12TenerifeTenerife1113:1514
13EldenseEldense1113:1514
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1114:1914
15ValladolidValladolid1116:1612
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1116:2112
17LeganesLeganes117:1612
18CadizCadiz1114:1410
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1115:2010
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1114:228
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1110:255
22AlbaceteAlbacete118:224
PromotionRelegation

About the Celta de Vigo II vs Sabadell forecast

The forecasts for this Segunda División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Celta de Vigo II and Sabadell in the Segunda División table

In the Segunda División table, Sabadell are 10th and Celta de Vigo II 16th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Celta de Vigo II 16-21, Sabadell 11-9. The full standings are on the Segunda División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Celta de Vigo II and Sabadell have met only 2 times recently, averaging 4.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.