Almeria vs Celta de Vigo II Prediction

Almeria
2-0
Finished
HT 2-0
Celta de Vigo II
UD Almería Stadium, Almeria·Rafael Sanchez Lopez 20/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
61%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.41
SignalNEUTRALModel65%SurpriseMediumGap-9.8%
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.58
SignalGOODModel67%SurpriseMediumGap+4.2%
Almeria Rest
7 days
Celta de Vigo II Rest
5 days

Almeria vs Celta de Vigo II: result, form and history

Almeria beat Celta de Vigo II 2-0 in the Segunda División on 20 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
63%1.41
X
22%4.50
2
15%6.60
Double Chance
1X
85%1.10
X2
37%2.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.72
No
46%1.99
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.48 + 1.01 = 2.49
Over 1.5
78%1.15
Over 2.5
57%1.58
Over 3.5
36%2.40
Under 1.5
22%4.60
Under 2.5
43%2.29
Under 3.5
64%1.54
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.2 = 9.6
Over 8.5
63%1.38
Over 9.5
51%1.66
Over 10.5
40%2.10
Under 8.5
37%2.83
Under 9.5
49%2.10
Under 10.5
60%1.67
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.4 = 4.5
Over 3.5
65%-
Over 4.5
46%1.57
Under 3.5
35%-
Under 4.5
54%2.32

Match Events

6'Nicolás Melamed RibaudoAssist: Javier Muñoz Jiménez
18'Javier Muñoz JiménezAssist: Marcos Luna
45'Stefan Džodić INMikel Vesga out
45'Ángel Arcos INMateo Sobral Sabajanes out
45'Bernard Sarpong Somuah INAlvaro·Marin Sesma out
62'Nicolás Melamed Ribaudo INSergio Arribas Calvo out
64'Joel Lopez INPablo Gavián Alonso out
73'Hugo Cuenca INVladimir Henrique Silva out
79'Adrián Embarba INÁlex Sola out
79'Brian Cipenga INJon Morcillo out
83'Óscar Marcos INAldrine Kibet out
87'Adrià CapdevilaFoul
88'Miguel De La Fuente INThalys Henrique Gomes de Araújo out

Lineups

Almeria
4-2-3-1Coach: Xavier García Pimienta
Celta de Vigo II
3-4-3Coach: Fredi
Avg rating7.22
Avg rating6.37
Andrés Fernández6.91A. Fernández
Marcos Luna7.82M. Luna
Chumi7.621Chumi
F. Bonini7.518F. Bonini
Álex Muñoz7.33Á. Muñoz
S. Džodić7.129S. Džodić
Javi Muñoz8.914J. Muñoz
Adri Embarba7.023A. Embarba
Nico Melamed8.210N. Melamed
B. Cipenga6.617B. Cipenga
Miguel de la Fuente6.424M. de la Fuente
Coke Carrillo7.01C. Carrillo
K. Ribes6.83K. Ribes
P. Meixus6.36P. Meixus
A. Rodriguez6.420A. Rodriguez
G. Miller6.523G. Miller
Adrià Capdevila6.316A. Capdevila
H. Cuenca5.817H. Cuenca
Joel López5.918J. López
O. Marcos6.610O. Marcos
B. Somuah6.27B. Somuah
Ángel Arcos6.611Á. Arcos

Almeria Substitutes

22D. Chirino
9Thalys88'for Miguel De La Fuente6.5
12Léo Baptistão
30Jesús López
13Fernando Martínez
7Jon Morcillo79'for Brian Cipenga6.9
5Jorge Pulido
20Álex Sola79'for Adrián Embarba6.5
6Mikel Vesga45'for Stefan Džodić7.2
15Leonardo Lelo
11Sergio Arribas62'for Nicolás Melamed Ribaudo7.2

Celta de Vigo II Substitutes

13Caio Barone
19A. Davila Outerelo
2P. Gavian64'for Joel Lopez6.1
25M. Gonzalez
28Vladimir Henrique Silva73'replaced by Hugo Cuenca
15A. Kibet83'for Óscar Marcos6.0
9A. Marin45'for Bernard Sarpong Somuah6.7
4S. M. Ndiaye
14Jan Oliveras
21Alexis Olmedo
29M. Sobral45'for Ángel Arcos6.2

Match Stats

AlmeriaCelta de Vigo II
51%Ball Possession49%
2Corner Kicks5
0Yellow Cards1
16Total Shots12
6Shots on Goal1
9Shots off Goal8
12Shots Inside Box8
4Shots Outside Box4
1Blocked Shots3
14Fouls6
2Offsides4
1Goalkeeper Saves4
483Total Passes450
415Passes Accurate395
6Free Kicks14

Team Comparison

AlmeriaAlmeria
Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II
1727Elo Rating 1561
2.51Attack 1.75
1.84Defense 0.59
73%Hit Rate 19%
12.8Shots per Game 9.4
5.0Shots on Target 4.7
4.7Corners per Game 3.1
1.9Cards per Game 3.1

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+166 Elo
📈BTTS Trend
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

AlmeriaAlmeria
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 1.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Recent Form

AlmeriaAlmeria
5W0D5L
12/09/2026
CordobaAlmeria
02
W
06/09/2026
AlmeriaCadiz
32
W
29/08/2026
SabadellAlmeria
10
L
23/08/2026
TenerifeAlmeria
10
L
17/08/2026
AlmeriaEldense
30
W
07/08/2026
CordobaAlmeria
04
W
04/08/2026
Al-NassrAlmeria
02
W
01/08/2026
Real BetisAlmeria
10
L
29/07/2026
Granada CFAlmeria
20
L
20/06/2026
AlmeriaMalaga
12
L
Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II
5W3D2L
14/09/2026
Celta de Vigo IIEibar
04
L
05/09/2026
AD Ceuta FCCelta de Vigo II
02
W
31/08/2026
Celta de Vigo IICastellón
12
L
24/08/2026
Celta de Vigo IIFC Andorra
42
W
15/08/2026
CadizCelta de Vigo II
00
D
01/08/2026
VizelaCelta de Vigo II
01
W
20/06/2026
Celta de Vigo IIPonferradina
41
W
13/06/2026
PonferradinaCelta de Vigo II
00
D
07/06/2026
Celta de Vigo IIEuropa Fc
3222
W
31/05/2026
Europa FcCelta de Vigo II
11
D

Referee Profile

Rafael Sanchez Lopez200 matches

4.94Cards per match
4.68Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
25.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Rafael Sanchez Lopez4.94
Other referees5.14

4.94 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.14).

Cards come from 120 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Segunda División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CastellónCastellón1182122:4+1826WWLDW
2AlmeriaAlmeria1181222:9+1325DWWWW
3EibarEibar1171320:13+722LDLWW
4GironaGirona1163222:10+1221WWDDW
5Granada CFGranada CF1162318:14+420WWWWL
6BurgosBurgos1162316:12+420WWLLW
7MallorcaMallorca1154213:6+719DDWDL
8Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1161411:13-219LWWWL
9OviedoOviedo1153315:12+318DWWLW
10SabadellSabadell1145211:9+217DLWDD
11CordobaCordoba1150617:20-315WWLWL
12TenerifeTenerife1135313:15-214DDDLD
13EldenseEldense1142513:15-214LWWWL
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1142514:19-514WLLDL
15ValladolidValladolid1133516:16012LLWDW
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1133516:21-512LDWLD
17LeganesLeganes113357:16-912DLLLL
18CadizCadiz1124514:14010WLLWD
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1131715:20-510LLWDW
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1122714:22-88LLLLL
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1112810:25-155LLLDW
22AlbaceteAlbacete111198:22-144WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1CastellónCastellón1122:426
2AlmeriaAlmeria1122:925
3EibarEibar1120:1322
4GironaGirona1122:1021
5Granada CFGranada CF1118:1420
6BurgosBurgos1116:1220
7MallorcaMallorca1113:619
8Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1111:1319
9OviedoOviedo1115:1218
10SabadellSabadell1111:917
11CordobaCordoba1117:2015
12TenerifeTenerife1113:1514
13EldenseEldense1113:1514
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1114:1914
15ValladolidValladolid1116:1612
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1116:2112
17LeganesLeganes117:1612
18CadizCadiz1114:1410
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1115:2010
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1114:228
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1110:255
22AlbaceteAlbacete118:224
PromotionRelegation

About the Almeria vs Celta de Vigo II forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Almeria and Celta de Vigo II in the Segunda División table

In the Segunda División table, Almeria are 2nd and Celta de Vigo II 16th, 13 points apart. League goal record so far: Almeria 22-9, Celta de Vigo II 16-21. The full standings are on the Segunda División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Almeria have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Almeria and Celta de Vigo II have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.