Ponte Preta vs Novorizontino Prediction

Ponte Preta
0-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Novorizontino
Moisés Lucarelli, Campinas·Maguielson Lima Barbosa, Brazil 23/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.40
SignalGOODModel21%SurpriseHighGap+5.9%
Ponte Preta Rest
8 days
Novorizontino Rest
8 days

Ponte Preta vs Novorizontino: the result in context

Novorizontino beat Ponte Preta 2-0 in the Serie B on 23 Jun 2026. It was in line with recent form: Novorizontino had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Ponte Preta.

Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 1.7 goals a game. Novorizontino tend to win more corners, 4.5 a game to 2.0 for Ponte Preta.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
30%4.42
X
27%3.17
2
43%1.88
Double Chance
1X
57%1.85
X2
70%1.19
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%2.00
No
46%1.73
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.12 + 1.31 = 2.43
Over 1.5
72%1.40
Over 2.5
48%2.26
Over 3.5
25%4.10
Under 1.5
28%2.75
Under 2.5
52%1.60
Under 3.5
75%1.20
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 4.6 = 9.3
Over 8.5
56%1.36
Over 9.5
47%1.64
Over 10.5
36%2.00
Under 8.5
44%2.83
Under 9.5
53%2.13
Under 10.5
64%1.72
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 2 = 4.6
Over 3.5
69%-
Over 4.5
51%1.37
Under 3.5
31%-
Under 4.5
49%2.80

Match Events

7'TavinhoDelay of game
17'Marcio SilvaUnsportsmanlike conduct
24'Andre LimaFoul
32'Robson
45+4'N. CastrillonFoul
46'Baianinho INDiego Tavares out
46'Andre Lima INLeo Gomes out
46'Rodrigo Souza INM. L. Diego out
46'N. Castrillon INJuninho out
46'Tavinho INIvan Alvarino out
56'Elvis INDavid da Hora out
59'RobsonAssist: Maykon Jesus
67'Willian Pottker INGustavo Telles out
70'Gabriel BahiaFoul
73'Robson INCarlao out
74'Enderson MoreiraUnsportsmanlike conduct
74'Marcio ZanardiUnsportsmanlike conduct
80'Romulo INC. Ortiz out
82'Reidiney INNicolas Careca out

Lineups

Ponte Preta
4-2-3-1
Novorizontino
4-2-3-1
Diogo Silva12D. Silva
Thalys22Thalys
Marcio Silva44M. Silva
Lucas Cunha3L. Cunha
Danilo Barcelos14D. Barcelos
Rodrigo de Souza5R. de Souza
André Lima8A. Lima
Daniel Baianinho26D. Baianinho
Elvis10Elvis
Kevyson32Kevyson
William Pottker9W. Pottker
Jordi93Jordi
Nilson Castrillón20N. Castrillón
Gabriel Bahia26G. Bahia
Patrick4Patrick
Maykon Jesus66M. Jesus
Luís Oyama6L. Oyama
Leo Naldi18L. Naldi
Tavinho15Tavinho
Rômulo10Rômulo
Reidiney41Reidiney
Robson11Robson

Ponte Preta Substitutes

1Guilherme Viana
4Diego Leão46'for Rodrigo Souza
13Diego Porfirio
2Justen
16Léo Gomes46'for Andre Lima
7Diego Tavares46'replaced by Baianinho
38Tarik
19Jonathan Cafú
35Gustavo Telles67'for Willian Pottker
90Rodriguinho
21Brandão
18David da Hora56'for Elvis

Novorizontino Substitutes

31César
21Alemão
14Eduardo Brock
50Juninho46'for N. Castrillon
19Diego Galo
77Hélio Borges
27Diego Mathias
8Christian Ortíz80'for Romulo
7Ronald Barcellos
9Carlão73'for Robson
30Nicolas Careca82'for Reidiney

Team Comparison

Ponte PretaPonte Preta
NovorizontinoNovorizontino
1334Elo Rating 1740
0.50Attack 2.46
0.58Defense 2.35
0%Hit Rate 77%
8.6Shots per Game 16.0
3.5Shots on Target 6.6
2.0Corners per Game 4.5
3.3Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Ponte PretaPonte Preta
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0 in second half)
NovorizontinoNovorizontino
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Ponte PretaPonte Preta4Wins · 40%
Draws220%
NovorizontinoNovorizontino4Wins · 40%
1.7Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
10%3+ goals1 of 10

Previous meetings

Paulista - A115/01/2025
NovorizontinoPonte Preta
01
Serie B01/10/2024
NovorizontinoPonte Preta
21
Serie B15/06/2024
Ponte PretaNovorizontino
10
Paulista - A103/03/2024
Ponte PretaNovorizontino
11
Serie B28/10/2023
NovorizontinoPonte Preta
20
Serie B03/07/2023
Ponte PretaNovorizontino
10
Serie B26/08/2022
NovorizontinoPonte Preta
11
Serie B14/05/2022
Ponte PretaNovorizontino
01
Paulista - A102/02/2022
Ponte PretaNovorizontino
20
Paulista - A121/05/2021
NovorizontinoPonte Preta
20

Recent Form

Ponte PretaPonte Preta
2W1D7L
14/06/2026
JuventudePonte Preta
30
L
10/06/2026
Ponte PretaCuiaba
12
L
02/06/2026
Ponte PretaBotafogo SP
00
D
24/05/2026
CRBPonte Preta
42
L
19/05/2026
Ponte PretaLondrina
14
L
09/05/2026
Ponte PretaSport Recife
13
L
03/05/2026
São BernardoPonte Preta
30
L
25/04/2026
Ponte PretaAmerica Mineiro
10
W
19/04/2026
AvaiPonte Preta
12
W
11/04/2026
Ponte PretaVila Nova
01
L
NovorizontinoNovorizontino
3W5D2L
15/06/2026
NovorizontinoNautico Recife
22
D
11/06/2026
GoiasNovorizontino
04
W
31/05/2026
São BernardoNovorizontino
11
D
28/05/2026
Chapecoense-scNovorizontino
22
D
23/05/2026
NovorizontinoCeara
21
W
21/05/2026
NovorizontinoChapecoense-sc
02
L
17/05/2026
CuiabaNovorizontino
00
D
11/05/2026
NovorizontinoBotafogo SP
10
W
04/05/2026
AvaiNovorizontino
33
D
26/04/2026
Sport RecifeNovorizontino
10
L

Referee Profile

Maguielson Lima Barbosa90 matches

5.74Cards per match
5.37Yellow cards per match
0.37Red cards per match
29.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Maguielson Lima Barbosa5.74
Other referees5.31

5.74 cards a match, 0.43 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.31).

Cards come from 62 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino351810762:30+3264WDWWW
2JuventudeJuventude351810745:23+2264WDDWW
3Vila NovaVila Nova35188950:36+1462LDWDW
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC351613643:31+1261DWDWD
5CriciumaCriciuma351781036:30+659LWWLW
6CRBCRB351671253:49+455WLDWL
7Sport RecifeSport Recife351412947:38+954WLDWW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense351412942:33+954LDDLW
9GoiasGoias351571336:40-452WDWWL
10Operario-PROperario-PR351491245:46-151WLLLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3513101249:39+1049WLDLW
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP351381440:38+247WWWWL
13CuiabaCuiaba3511141032:28+447LLLDW
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3510141140:40044LDDLL
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3511101439:46-743LDLLD
16CearaCeara3511101437:44-743LDLWW
17AvaiAvai351071833:45-1237LDWWL
18LondrinaLondrina35881944:51-732LWDLL
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro35652423:54-3123WWLLL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta35362621:76-5515DDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3562:3064
2JuventudeJuventude3545:2364
3Vila NovaVila Nova3550:3662
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3543:3161
5CriciumaCriciuma3536:3059
6CRBCRB3553:4955
7Sport RecifeSport Recife3547:3854
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3542:3354
9GoiasGoias3536:4052
10Operario-PROperario-PR3545:4651
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3549:3949
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3540:3847
13CuiabaCuiaba3532:2847
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3540:4044
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3539:4643
16CearaCeara3537:4443
17AvaiAvai3533:4537
18LondrinaLondrina3544:5132
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3523:5423
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3521:7615
PromotionRelegation

About the Ponte Preta vs Novorizontino forecast

The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Ponte Preta and Novorizontino in the Serie B table

The table shows a wide gap: Novorizontino are 1st in the Serie B, while Ponte Preta sit 20th, 49 points behind. League goal record so far: Ponte Preta 21-76, Novorizontino 62-30. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Novorizontino have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.