Avai vs Cuiaba Prediction

Avai
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Cuiaba
Ressacada·Y. Ferreira 21/06/2026
AvaiAvai
1-0
Finished
CuiabaCuiaba

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.51
SignalGOODModel10%SurpriseHighGap+6.8%
Avai Rest
5 days
Cuiaba Rest
6 days

Avai vs Cuiaba: result, form and history

Avai beat Cuiaba 1-0 in the Serie B on 21 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 4 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 2 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
36%2.50
X
32%2.85
2
32%3.10
Double Chance
1X
69%1.33
X2
64%1.49
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%2.09
No
53%1.66
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.15 + 0.91 = 2.06
Over 1.5
69%1.51
Over 2.5
38%2.60
Over 3.5
14%5.00
Under 1.5
31%2.46
Under 2.5
62%1.47
Under 3.5
86%1.14
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 4.3 = 9
Over 8.5
50%1.68
Over 9.5
44%2.06
Over 10.5
36%2.73
Under 8.5
50%2.06
Under 9.5
56%1.67
Under 10.5
64%1.39
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.4 + 2.5 = 3.9
Over 3.5
45%-
Over 4.5
26%1.52
Under 3.5
55%-
Under 4.5
74%2.30

Match Events

31'Jean LucasAssist: Sorriso
46'Vinicius Peixoto INKauan Cristtyan out
52'Joao Maistro INGuilherme Aquino out
54'Sorriso INDG out
54'Leo GamalhoFoul
57'MarlonFoul
62'David Miguel INLuiz Otavio out
66'Leo Gamalho INWalace Franca out
66'William INWenderson out
69'Jean LucasDelay of game
73'Calebe Costa INVictor Barbara out
73'Pepe INWeverson out
79'Thayllon INJamerson out
79'Luiz Henrique INPaulo Vitor out
80'Marlon INEric Melo out
81'Vitor Mendes INMarcos Junior out
90+2'Cauan de AlmeidaUnsportsmanlike conduct

Team Comparison

AvaiAvai
CuiabaCuiaba
1532Elo Rating 1612
0.53Attack 0.33
2.15Defense 2.08
36%Hit Rate 17%
18.4Shots per Game 18.0
5.5Shots on Target 5.0
8.6Corners per Game 8.1
3.2Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

AvaiAvai
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
CuiabaCuiaba
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

AvaiAvai1Wins · 25%
Draws125%
CuiabaCuiaba2Wins · 50%
2.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

Serie B10/08/2025
AvaiCuiaba
20
Serie B11/04/2025
CuiabaAvai
22
Serie A28/10/2022
CuiabaAvai
10
Serie A03/07/2022
AvaiCuiaba
12

Recent Form

AvaiAvai
3W2D5L
16/06/2026
LondrinaAvai
32
L
11/06/2026
CearaAvai
21
L
07/06/2026
Chapecoense-scAvai
4350
W
04/06/2026
AvaiChapecoense-sc
30
W
30/05/2026
AvaiCriciuma
12
L
28/05/2026
AvaiVolta Redonda
30
W
25/05/2026
AvaiGoias
02
L
21/05/2026
Volta RedondaAvai
22
D
17/05/2026
Vila NovaAvai
20
L
10/05/2026
AvaiFortaleza EC
00
D
CuiabaCuiaba
4W5D1L
14/06/2026
CuiabaVila Nova
10
W
10/06/2026
Ponte PretaCuiaba
12
W
01/06/2026
CuiabaCRB
20
W
23/05/2026
Nautico RecifeCuiaba
10
L
17/05/2026
CuiabaNovorizontino
00
D
09/05/2026
Athletic ClubCuiaba
00
D
02/05/2026
CuiabaCriciuma
11
D
23/04/2026
CuiabaBotafogo SP
11
D
19/04/2026
GoiasCuiaba
02
W
12/04/2026
Operario-PRCuiaba
00
D

Referee Profile

Y. Ferreira116 matches

5.38Cards per match
5.17Yellow cards per match
0.21Red cards per match
28.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Y. Ferreira5.38
Other referees5.40

5.38 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.40).

Cards come from 77 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino351810762:30+3264WDWWW
2JuventudeJuventude351810745:23+2264WDDWW
3Vila NovaVila Nova35188950:36+1462LDWDW
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC351613643:31+1261DWDWD
5CriciumaCriciuma351781036:30+659LWWLW
6CRBCRB351671253:49+455WLDWL
7Sport RecifeSport Recife351412947:38+954WLDWW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense351412942:33+954LDDLW
9GoiasGoias351571336:40-452WDWWL
10Operario-PROperario-PR351491245:46-151WLLLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3513101249:39+1049WLDLW
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP351381440:38+247WWWWL
13CuiabaCuiaba3511141032:28+447LLLDW
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3510141140:40044LDDLL
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3511101439:46-743LDLLD
16CearaCeara3511101437:44-743LDLWW
17AvaiAvai351071833:45-1237LDWWL
18LondrinaLondrina35881944:51-732LWDLL
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro35652423:54-3123WWLLL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta35362621:76-5515DDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3562:3064
2JuventudeJuventude3545:2364
3Vila NovaVila Nova3550:3662
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3543:3161
5CriciumaCriciuma3536:3059
6CRBCRB3553:4955
7Sport RecifeSport Recife3547:3854
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3542:3354
9GoiasGoias3536:4052
10Operario-PROperario-PR3545:4651
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3549:3949
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3540:3847
13CuiabaCuiaba3532:2847
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3540:4044
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3539:4643
16CearaCeara3537:4443
17AvaiAvai3533:4537
18LondrinaLondrina3544:5132
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3523:5423
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3521:7615
PromotionRelegation

About the Avai vs Cuiaba forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Avai and Cuiaba in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Cuiaba are 13th and Avai 17th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Avai 33-45, Cuiaba 32-28. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.