Real Monarchs vs Minnesota United II Prediction

Real Monarchs
0-0
After Penalties
HT 0-0AET 0-0PEN 3-4
Minnesota United II
Zions Bank Stadium 17/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.37
SignalGOODModel65%SurpriseHighGap-0.6%
Real Monarchs Rest
2 days
Minnesota United II Rest
4 days

Real Monarchs vs Minnesota United II: the result in context

Minnesota United II beat Real Monarchs on penalties (4-3) after a 0-0 draw in the MLS Next Pro on 17 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Minnesota United II had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Real Monarchs.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.3 a game across 9 meetings, with both teams scoring in 7.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
20%2.65
X
18%3.85
2
62%2.10
Double Chance
1X
38%1.62
X2
81%1.37
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%1.30
No
35%3.08
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.22 + 2.48 = 3.70
Over 1.5
90%1.05
Over 2.5
72%1.35
Over 3.5
54%1.89
Under 1.5
10%6.90
Under 2.5
28%2.90
Under 3.5
46%1.75
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

54'J. Clarkson
63'O. Anderson INN. Silva out
63'L. O'Gara INR. Mesalles out
70'H. Sargis ING. Villa out
74'J. Adebayo-Smith IND. Randell out
74'M. Harwood INA. Kabia out
74'B. Schauf INN. Dang out
74'T. Putt INJ. Friedman out
74'K. Romanshyn INH. Cruz out
80'R. Hashimoto INH. Bwana out
80'Z. Lifferth INL. Djiro out
90+1'I. Murphy

Penalty Shootout3 - 4

1N. Silva(Penalty)
1L. Hille(Penalty)
2R. Mesalles(Penalty missed)
2J. Clarkson(Penalty)
3H. Bwana(Penalty)
3J. Friedman(Penalty)
4L. Djiro(Penalty)
4H. Cruz(Penalty)
5I. Amparo(Penalty missed)

Team Comparison

Real MonarchsReal Monarchs
Minnesota United IIMinnesota United II
1382Elo Rating 1518
1.13Attack 2.34
1.29Defense 1.84
41%Hit Rate 54%

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.69 goals
📈BTTS Trend78% in H2H
⚠️Home Rotation Risk60%

Game State Tendencies

Real MonarchsReal Monarchs
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Minnesota United IIMinnesota United II
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.7 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

Real MonarchsReal Monarchs3Wins · 33%
Draws222%
Minnesota United IIMinnesota United II4Wins · 45%
3.3Avg Goals
78%Both teams scored7 of 9
78%3+ goals7 of 9

Previous meetings

MLS Next Pro20/10/2025
Real MonarchsMinnesota United II
12
MLS Next Pro25/08/2025
Real MonarchsMinnesota United II
32
MLS Next Pro13/07/2025
Minnesota United IIReal Monarchs
21
MLS Next Pro31/08/2024
Minnesota United IIReal Monarchs
4232
MLS Next Pro28/03/2024
Real MonarchsMinnesota United II
21
MLS Next Pro10/07/2023
Minnesota United IIReal Monarchs
02
MLS Next Pro25/03/2023
Real MonarchsMinnesota United II
03
MLS Next Pro22/08/2022
Minnesota United IIReal Monarchs
3111
MLS Next Pro09/04/2022
Real MonarchsMinnesota United II
23

Recent Form

Minnesota United IIMinnesota United II
5W0D5L
13/09/2026
Minnesota United IIVancouver Whitecaps II
51
W
06/09/2026
Minnesota United IIColorado Rapids II
20
W
31/08/2026
Houston Dynamo FC IIMinnesota United II
02
W
23/08/2026
North TexasMinnesota United II
5141
L
09/08/2026
Minnesota United IIThe Town
1131
L
01/08/2026
Minnesota United IIPortland Timbers II
12
L
20/07/2026
Sporting KC IIMinnesota United II
10
L
13/07/2026
Austin IIMinnesota United II
23
W
05/07/2026
Houston Dynamo FC IIMinnesota United II
40
L
29/06/2026
Minnesota United IITacoma Defiance
4212
W

League Table

MLS Next Pro 2026

Pacific Division

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Portland Timbers IIPortland Timbers II28190937:29+857DDDWD
2Ventura CountyVentura County281801058:36+2253LWWDW
3Los Angeles FC IILos Angeles FC II281401450:48+245LWDLL
4The TownThe Town281401451:36+1542WWLLW
5Tacoma DefianceTacoma Defiance281401440:44-441DLWLW
6Real MonarchsReal Monarchs281201638:55-1733WDLLW
7Vancouver Whitecaps IIVancouver Whitecaps II281001839:62-2327LLDWW
#TeamMPGPts
1Portland Timbers IIPortland Timbers II2837:2957
2Ventura CountyVentura County2858:3653
3Los Angeles FC IILos Angeles FC II2850:4845
4The TownThe Town2851:3642
5Tacoma DefianceTacoma Defiance2840:4441
6Real MonarchsReal Monarchs2838:5533
7Vancouver Whitecaps IIVancouver Whitecaps II2839:6227

Frontier Division

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Austin IIAustin II28210754:21+3365WWWLW
2Houston Dynamo FC IIHouston Dynamo FC II281801053:33+2052LDWLL
3Minnesota United IIMinnesota United II281501343:39+445WDWWW
4St. Louis City IISt. Louis City II281401442:40+244LDWDD
5North TexasNorth Texas281401442:41+140LDLWD
6Sporting KC IISporting KC II28702136:75-3923WLLLL
7Colorado Rapids IIColorado Rapids II28602228:52-2421WLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Austin IIAustin II2854:2165
2Houston Dynamo FC IIHouston Dynamo FC II2853:3352
3Minnesota United IIMinnesota United II2843:3945
4St. Louis City IISt. Louis City II2842:4044
5North TexasNorth Texas2842:4140
6Sporting KC IISporting KC II2836:7523
7Colorado Rapids IIColorado Rapids II2828:5221

Eastern Conference — Group 2

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Austin IIAustin II28210754:21+3365WWWLW
2Portland Timbers IIPortland Timbers II28190937:29+857DDDWD
3Ventura CountyVentura County281801058:36+2253LWWDW
4Houston Dynamo FC IIHouston Dynamo FC II281801053:33+2052LDWLL
5Minnesota United IIMinnesota United II281501343:39+445WDWWW
6Los Angeles FC IILos Angeles FC II281401450:48+245LWDLL
7St. Louis City IISt. Louis City II281401442:40+244LDWDD
8The TownThe Town281401451:36+1542WWLLW
9Tacoma DefianceTacoma Defiance281401440:44-441DLWLW
10North TexasNorth Texas281401442:41+140LDLWD
11Real MonarchsReal Monarchs281201638:55-1733WDLLW
12Vancouver Whitecaps IIVancouver Whitecaps II281001839:62-2327LLDWW
13Sporting KC IISporting KC II28702136:75-3923WLLLL
14Colorado Rapids IIColorado Rapids II28602228:52-2421WLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Austin IIAustin II2854:2165
2Portland Timbers IIPortland Timbers II2837:2957
3Ventura CountyVentura County2858:3653
4Houston Dynamo FC IIHouston Dynamo FC II2853:3352
5Minnesota United IIMinnesota United II2843:3945
6Los Angeles FC IILos Angeles FC II2850:4845
7St. Louis City IISt. Louis City II2842:4044
8The TownThe Town2851:3642
9Tacoma DefianceTacoma Defiance2840:4441
10North TexasNorth Texas2842:4140
11Real MonarchsReal Monarchs2838:5533
12Vancouver Whitecaps IIVancouver Whitecaps II2839:6227
13Sporting KC IISporting KC II2836:7523
14Colorado Rapids IIColorado Rapids II2828:5221
Promotion

About the Real Monarchs vs Minnesota United II forecast

The forecasts for this MLS Next Pro match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Real Monarchs and Minnesota United II in the MLS Next Pro table

In the MLS Next Pro table, Minnesota United II are 5th and Real Monarchs 11th, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: Real Monarchs 38-55, Minnesota United II 43-39. The full standings are on the MLS Next Pro Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.