Red Bull Salzburg vs Rapid Vienna Prediction

Red Bull Arena, Salzburg·J. Semler 02/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.61
SignalSOLIDModel41%SurpriseHighGap+4.9%
Red Bull Salzburg Rest
3 days
Rapid Vienna Rest
3 days

Red Bull Salzburg vs Rapid Vienna: result, form and history

Red Bull Salzburg beat Rapid Vienna 5-1 in the Bundesliga on 2 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. Referee J. Semler averages 3.75 cards a game, 0.88 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
49%1.77
X
27%4.05
2
24%3.91
Double Chance
1X
76%1.23
X2
51%2.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.44
No
44%2.60
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.57 + 1.29 = 2.86
Over 1.5
83%1.12
Over 2.5
60%1.44
Over 3.5
34%2.09
Under 1.5
17%5.47
Under 2.5
40%2.65
Under 3.5
66%1.68
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4.2 = 9.4
Over 8.5
59%1.44
Over 9.5
49%1.73
Over 10.5
38%2.16
Under 8.5
41%2.58
Under 9.5
51%2.01
Under 10.5
62%1.61
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.4 + 1.8 = 3.2
Over 3.5
40%1.75
Over 4.5
22%2.47
Under 3.5
60%1.92
Under 4.5
78%1.42

Match Events

4'Haris TabakovićAssist: Sota Kitano
15'Nikolas Veratschnig
21'Haris TabakovićAssist: Bartosz Mazurek
45'Jannes Horn INEaden roka out
45'Ercan Kara INPetter Nosakhare Dahl out
46'Edmund BaidooAssist: Bartosz Mazurek
51'Matthias SeidlAssist: Nicolas Bajlicz
59'Haris Tabaković INKarim Konate out
59'Yorbe Vertessen INAboubacar Sidiki Camara out
68'Sota Kitano INUmut Deger Tohumcu out
69'Nenad CvetkovićFoul
74'Moulaye Haïdara INMarco Tilio out
74'Tonni Adamsen INNikolaus Wurmbrand out
78'Danny RöhlDissent
83'Edmund Baidoo INEnrique Marlon Aguilar out
85'Nicolas Bajlicz INLouis Schaub out
90'Karim Konate

Lineups

Red Bull Salzburg
4-2-3-1Coach: D. Röhl
Rapid Vienna
4-3-3Coach: Johannes Thorup
Avg rating7.33
Avg rating6.37
Christian Zawieschitzky6.852C. Zawieschitzky
N. Veratschnig8.318N. Veratschnig
K. Boma7.144K. Boma
Valentin Zabransky7.147V. Zabransky
D. Schmid7.031D. Schmid
A. Barry6.832A. Barry
B. Mazurek8.415B. Mazurek
E. Baidoo8.120E. Baidoo
S. Kitano7.78S. Kitano
Y. Vertessen6.411Y. Vertessen
H. Tabaković9.59H. Tabaković
N. Hedl6.21N. Hedl
B. Bolla5.977B. Bolla
N. Cvetković5.855N. Cvetković
S. Raux-Yao5.96S. Raux-Yao
J. Horn6.338J. Horn
Y. Demir6.522Y. Demir
M. Seidl8.218M. Seidl
N. Bajlicz7.730N. Bajlicz
M. Haïdara6.043M. Haïdara
E. Kara6.49E. Kara
T. Adamsen6.28T. Adamsen

Red Bull Salzburg Substitutes

43E. Aguilar83'for Edmund Baidoo6.7
33A. Camara59'for Yorbe Vertessen6.1
21T. Drexler
1C. Früchtl
19K. Konaté59'for Haris Tabaković90'7.6
13F. Krätzig
4J. Mellberg
39L. Morgalla
7U. Tohumcu68'for Sota Kitano6.5

Rapid Vienna Substitutes

2Eaden Roka45'for Jannes Horn5.6
21L. Schaub85'for Nicolas Bajlicz5.8
7M. Tilio74'for Moulaye Haïdara6.5
47Amìn-Elias Gröller
25P. Gartler
61F. Demir
10P. Dahl45'for Ercan Kara6.7
15Nikolaus Wurmbrand74'for Tonni Adamsen6.4
71C. M'Buyi

Match Stats

Red Bull SalzburgRapid Vienna
57%Ball Possession43%
2Corner Kicks7
0Yellow Cards1
16Total Shots17
9Shots on Goal4
7Shots off Goal5
11Shots Inside Box8
5Shots Outside Box9
0Blocked Shots8
8Fouls8
2Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves4
560Total Passes558
512Passes Accurate508
8Free Kicks7

Team Comparison

Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg
Rapid ViennaRapid Vienna
1802Elo Rating 1810
2.38Attack 3.29
1.28Defense 2.58
66%Hit Rate 100%
14.4Shots per Game 14.6
5.5Shots on Target 6.0
3.1Corners per Game 5.2
1.4Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.86 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming
⚠️Away Rotation Risk60%

Game State Tendencies

Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
Rapid ViennaRapid Vienna
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.8 vs 1.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg3Wins · 30%
Draws220%
Rapid ViennaRapid Vienna5Wins · 50%
2.7Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Bundesliga26/04/2026
Rapid ViennaRed Bull Salzburg
10
Bundesliga15/03/2026
Red Bull SalzburgRapid Vienna
01
Bundesliga08/03/2026
Rapid ViennaRed Bull Salzburg
10
Bundesliga05/10/2025
Red Bull SalzburgRapid Vienna
21
Bundesliga24/05/2025
Red Bull SalzburgRapid Vienna
42
Bundesliga30/03/2025
Rapid ViennaRed Bull Salzburg
02
Bundesliga07/12/2024
Red Bull SalzburgRapid Vienna
22
Bundesliga01/09/2024
Rapid ViennaRed Bull Salzburg
32
Bundesliga05/05/2024
Rapid ViennaRed Bull Salzburg
20
Bundesliga07/04/2024
Red Bull SalzburgRapid Vienna
11

Recent Form

Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg
7W2D1L
30/08/2026
Red Bull SalzburgAustria Vienna
41
W
27/08/2026
Red Bull SalzburgMjallby AIF
30
W
20/08/2026
Mjallby AIFRed Bull Salzburg
01
W
16/08/2026
WSG WattensRed Bull Salzburg
03
W
13/08/2026
PafosRed Bull Salzburg
33
D
09/08/2026
Wolfsberger ACRed Bull Salzburg
11
D
06/08/2026
Red Bull SalzburgPafos
10
W
01/08/2026
Red Bull SalzburgTSV Hartberg
10
W
25/07/2026
OberwartRed Bull Salzburg
17
W
15/07/2026
Red Bull SalzburgBaşakşehir
12
L

Referee Profile

J. Semler104 matches

3.75Cards per match
3.64Yellow cards per match
0.11Red cards per match
26.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

J. Semler3.75
Other referees4.63

3.75 cards a match, 0.88 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.63).

Cards come from 53 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Bundesliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rapid ViennaRapid Vienna11100133:9+2430WWWWW
2Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg1183029:6+2327WWWDW
3Lask LinzLask Linz1171326:13+1322WLWLD
4Sturm GrazSturm Graz1154219:13+619DDWWL
5TSV HartbergTSV Hartberg1152420:19+117WWLWD
6RiedRied1144319:18+116DDWWW
7WSG WattensWSG Wattens1133514:17-312LDWLL
8SCR AltachSCR Altach1131711:17-610DWLWL
9Grazer AKGrazer AK112458:27-1910LDLDD
10Austria LustenauAustria Lustenau1122713:29-168LLLLW
11Austria ViennaAustria Vienna1121810:22-127LLLLD
12Wolfsberger ACWolfsberger AC111378:20-126DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Rapid ViennaRapid Vienna1133:930
2Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg1129:627
3Lask LinzLask Linz1126:1322
4Sturm GrazSturm Graz1119:1319
5TSV HartbergTSV Hartberg1120:1917
6RiedRied1119:1816
7WSG WattensWSG Wattens1114:1712
8SCR AltachSCR Altach1111:1710
9Grazer AKGrazer AK118:2710
10Austria LustenauAustria Lustenau1113:298
11Austria ViennaAustria Vienna1110:227
12Wolfsberger ACWolfsberger AC118:206
PromotionRelegation

About the Red Bull Salzburg vs Rapid Vienna forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Red Bull Salzburg and Rapid Vienna in the Bundesliga table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Rapid Vienna are 1st in the Bundesliga, 3 points ahead of Red Bull Salzburg in 2nd. League goal record so far: Red Bull Salzburg 29-6, Rapid Vienna 33-9. The full standings are on the Bundesliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Red Bull Salzburg have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Rapid Vienna have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.