Rhode Island vs Loudoun United Prediction

Centreville Bank Stadium·A. Pennington 15/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
60%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.50
SignalNEUTRALModel62%SurpriseMediumGap-6.3%
Rhode Island Rest
4 days
Loudoun United Rest
4 days

Rhode Island vs Loudoun United: result, form and history

Rhode Island beat Loudoun United 1-0 in the USL Championship on 15 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.4 goals a game across 5 matches.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
60%1.50
X
21%4.30
2
19%5.00
Double Chance
1X
81%1.15
X2
41%2.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.66
No
45%2.06
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.63 + 1.07 = 2.70
Over 1.5
77%1.16
Over 2.5
56%1.57
Over 3.5
36%2.42
Under 1.5
23%4.54
Under 2.5
44%2.25
Under 3.5
64%1.51
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

3'N. ScardinaAssist: H. Bacharach Capdevila
57'G. Lomtadze INP. Santos out
59'J. MurphyFoul
61'Y. TsukadaFoul
62'N. Fuson INLeo Afonso out
62'S. Korzeniowski INO. Foyo out
62'L. Piras INP. Niyongabire out
75'J. Murphy INL. Butts out
75'N. Adnan INA. O'Connor out
78'Y. TsukadaFoul
78'Y. TsukadaFoul
81'A. AboukouraFoul
84'J. Kwizera INZ. Herivaux out
84'N. Scardina ING. Stoneman out
87'P. NiyongabireFoul
90+2'A. Shapiro-Thompson IND. Rovira out

Team Comparison

Rhode IslandRhode Island
Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United
1534Elo Rating 1434
1.14Attack 1.55
2.37Defense 1.86
54%Hit Rate 44%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+100 Elo

Game State Tendencies

Rhode IslandRhode Island
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

Rhode IslandRhode Island1Wins · 20%
Draws360%
Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United1Wins · 20%
1.4Avg Goals
20%Both teams scored1 of 5
20%3+ goals1 of 5

Previous meetings

USL Championship14/06/2026
Loudoun UnitedRhode Island
14
USL Championship10/08/2025
Rhode IslandLoudoun United
00
USL Championship29/03/2025
Loudoun UnitedRhode Island
20
USL Championship13/10/2024
Rhode IslandLoudoun United
00
USL Championship25/08/2024
Loudoun UnitedRhode Island
00

Recent Form

Rhode IslandRhode Island
4W1D5L
11/10/2026
Detroit CityRhode Island
10
L
04/10/2026
BrooklynRhode Island
13
W
01/10/2026
Rhode IslandIndy Eleven
10
W
27/09/2026
Charleston BatteryRhode Island
20
L
20/09/2026
Rhode IslandMiami FC
12
L
13/09/2026
Sporting JAXRhode Island
03
W
06/09/2026
Rhode IslandLouisville City
11
D
30/08/2026
FC TulsaRhode Island
10
L
23/08/2026
Rhode IslandMonterey Bay
31
W
16/08/2026
Tampa Bay RowdiesRhode Island
20
L
Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United
2W3D5L
11/10/2026
Miami FCLoudoun United
02
W
04/10/2026
Loudoun UnitedIndy Eleven
11
D
26/09/2026
Sporting JAXLoudoun United
14
W
20/09/2026
Louisville CityLoudoun United
21
L
13/09/2026
Pittsburgh RiverhoundsLoudoun United
10
L
05/09/2026
Loudoun UnitedColorado Springs
45
L
30/08/2026
El Paso LocomotiveLoudoun United
41
L
23/08/2026
Loudoun UnitedNew Mexico United
00
D
16/08/2026
Detroit CityLoudoun United
00
D
09/08/2026
Loudoun UnitedCharleston Battery
01
L

League Table

USL Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Tampa Bay RowdiesTampa Bay Rowdies30187552:26+2661WWWLD
2Charleston BatteryCharleston Battery30165956:35+2153WWDLW
3Detroit CityDetroit City30149734:21+1351DLWWW
4Louisville CityLouisville City30138951:43+847DWWWD
5Pittsburgh RiverhoundsPittsburgh Riverhounds301361133:30+345WDWLL
6Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic301013735:33+243WLDLD
7Rhode IslandRhode Island301261242:33+942LDWLW
8Miami FCMiami FC30991239:49-1036LLWWW
9Indy ElevenIndy Eleven30971435:41-634LLLDL
10Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United306131138:48-1031WDLWD
11Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion306121240:46-630LWDWL
12BrooklynBrooklyn30561934:63-2921LLWLL
13Sporting JAXSporting JAX30352232:78-4614LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Tampa Bay RowdiesTampa Bay Rowdies3052:2661
2Charleston BatteryCharleston Battery3056:3553
3Detroit CityDetroit City3034:2151
4Louisville CityLouisville City3051:4347
5Pittsburgh RiverhoundsPittsburgh Riverhounds3033:3045
6Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic3035:3343
7Rhode IslandRhode Island3042:3342
8Miami FCMiami FC3039:4936
9Indy ElevenIndy Eleven3035:4134
10Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United3038:4831
11Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion3040:4630
12BrooklynBrooklyn3034:6321
13Sporting JAXSporting JAX3032:7814

About the Rhode Island vs Loudoun United forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Rhode Island and Loudoun United in the USL Championship table

In the USL Championship table, Rhode Island are 7th and Loudoun United 10th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Rhode Island 42-33, Loudoun United 38-48. The full standings are on the USL Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Rhode Island have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.