Rhode Island vs Indy Eleven Prediction

USL ChampionshipUSA USA · Group Stage
Rhode Island
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Indy Eleven
Centreville Bank Stadium·C. May 01/10/2026
Rhode IslandRhode Island
1-0
Finished
Indy ElevenIndy Eleven

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.20
SignalGOODModel55%SurpriseMediumGap-10.4%
Rhode Island Rest
4 days
Indy Eleven Rest
4 days

Rhode Island vs Indy Eleven: result, form and history

Rhode Island beat Indy Eleven 1-0 in the USL Championship on 1 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 6 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 2 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
48%1.81
X
25%3.73
2
27%3.71
Double Chance
1X
73%1.20
X2
52%1.87
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.60
No
43%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.58 + 1.11 = 2.69
Over 1.5
76%1.20
Over 2.5
55%1.65
Over 3.5
34%2.55
Under 1.5
24%4.33
Under 2.5
45%2.19
Under 3.5
66%1.47
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

23'S. KorzeniowskiAssist: O. Foyo
39'K. YaoFoul
60'Z. Herivaux INA. Shapiro-Thompson out
63'A. MitranoFoul
71'J. O'Brien INE. Kizza out
72'J. Blake INH. Barry out
73'Y. Tsukada INN. Scardina out
73'O. Foyo INE. Klein out
77'H. Bacharach CapdevilaFoul
77'A. QuinnUnsportsmanlike conduct
81'K. SmithUnsportsmanlike conduct
81'A. Quinn INC. Lindley out
83'Leo AfonsoFoul
85'S. McAuleyUnsportsmanlike conduct
90+1'Leo Afonso INN. Pierre out

Team Comparison

Rhode IslandRhode Island
Indy ElevenIndy Eleven
1534Elo Rating 1422
1.14Attack 0.69
2.37Defense 0.59
54%Hit Rate 0%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+112 Elo

Game State Tendencies

Rhode IslandRhode Island
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Indy ElevenIndy Eleven
  • No tendency data available

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

Rhode IslandRhode Island2Wins · 33%
Draws117%
Indy ElevenIndy Eleven3Wins · 50%
2.5Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored2 of 6
33%3+ goals2 of 6

Previous meetings

USL Championship31/05/2026
Indy ElevenRhode Island
10
USL Championship14/09/2025
Rhode IslandIndy Eleven
10
USL Championship13/07/2025
Indy ElevenRhode Island
10
USL Championship03/11/2024
Indy ElevenRhode Island
23
USL Championship08/08/2024
Indy ElevenRhode Island
10
USL Championship06/07/2024
Rhode IslandIndy Eleven
33

Recent Form

Rhode IslandRhode Island
4W1D5L
27/09/2026
Charleston BatteryRhode Island
20
L
20/09/2026
Rhode IslandMiami FC
12
L
13/09/2026
Sporting JAXRhode Island
03
W
06/09/2026
Rhode IslandLouisville City
11
D
30/08/2026
FC TulsaRhode Island
10
L
23/08/2026
Rhode IslandMonterey Bay
31
W
16/08/2026
Tampa Bay RowdiesRhode Island
20
L
09/08/2026
Rhode IslandColorado Springs
20
W
03/08/2026
Birmingham LegionRhode Island
10
L26/07/2026
Pittsburgh RiverhoundsRhode Island
01
W
Indy ElevenIndy Eleven
3W3D4L
27/09/2026
Indy ElevenMiami FC
02
L
20/09/2026
Indy ElevenOakland Roots
01
L
16/09/2026
Indy ElevenBrooklyn
40
W
12/09/2026
New Mexico UnitedIndy Eleven
22
D
06/09/2026
Indy ElevenBirmingham Legion
22
D
30/08/2026
Phoenix RisingIndy Eleven
21
L
23/08/2026
Indy ElevenLouisville City
21
W
16/08/2026
Sporting JAXIndy Eleven
01
W
09/08/2026
Indy ElevenHartford Athletic
11
D
01/08/2026
San AntonioIndy Eleven
31
L

League Table

USL Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Tampa Bay RowdiesTampa Bay Rowdies30187552:26+2661WWWLD
2Charleston BatteryCharleston Battery30165956:35+2153WWDLW
3Detroit CityDetroit City30149734:21+1351DLWWW
4Louisville CityLouisville City30138951:43+847DWWWD
5Pittsburgh RiverhoundsPittsburgh Riverhounds301361133:30+345WDWLL
6Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic301013735:33+243WLDLD
7Rhode IslandRhode Island301261242:33+942LDWLW
8Miami FCMiami FC30991239:49-1036LLWWW
9Indy ElevenIndy Eleven30971435:41-634LLLDL
10Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United306131138:48-1031WDLWD
11Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion306121240:46-630LWDWL
12BrooklynBrooklyn30561934:63-2921LLWLL
13Sporting JAXSporting JAX30352232:78-4614LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Tampa Bay RowdiesTampa Bay Rowdies3052:2661
2Charleston BatteryCharleston Battery3056:3553
3Detroit CityDetroit City3034:2151
4Louisville CityLouisville City3051:4347
5Pittsburgh RiverhoundsPittsburgh Riverhounds3033:3045
6Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic3035:3343
7Rhode IslandRhode Island3042:3342
8Miami FCMiami FC3039:4936
9Indy ElevenIndy Eleven3035:4134
10Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United3038:4831
11Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion3040:4630
12BrooklynBrooklyn3034:6321
13Sporting JAXSporting JAX3032:7814

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About the Rhode Island vs Indy Eleven forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Rhode Island and Indy Eleven in the USL Championship table

Rhode Island and Indy Eleven are close in the USL Championship table, 7th and 9th, with 8 points between them. League goal record so far: Rhode Island 42-33, Indy Eleven 35-41. The full standings are on the USL Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Rhode Island have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.