Romania vs Sweden Prediction

Romania
0-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Sweden
Arena Națională, Bucharest·Elcin Masiyev 05/10/2026
RomaniaRomania
0-1
Finished
SwedenSweden

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.14
SignalHIGHModel60%SurpriseMediumGap-9.0%
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.60
SignalGOODModel69%SurpriseMediumGap+9.3%
Romania Rest
3 days
Sweden Rest
3 days

Romania vs Sweden: result, form and history

Sweden beat Romania 1-0 in the UEFA Nations League on 5 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 3 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 2 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
19%4.80
X
23%4.20
2
58%1.65
Double Chance
1X
42%2.25
X2
81%1.20
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.57
No
46%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.79 + 1.8 = 2.59
Over 1.5
80%1.14
Over 2.5
59%1.54
Over 3.5
39%2.40
Under 1.5
20%5.00
Under 2.5
41%2.38
Under 3.5
61%1.57
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 4.3 = 9.2
Over 8.5
55%1.94
Over 9.5
45%2.51
Over 10.5
33%3.42
Under 8.5
45%1.80
Under 9.5
55%1.44
Under 10.5
67%1.23
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 1.4 = 3.4
Over 3.5
44%1.67
Over 4.5
25%2.13
Under 3.5
56%2.10
Under 4.5
75%1.66

Match Events

5'Nicușor BancuFoul
13'Viktor Gyökeres
45'Nicușor Bancu INLisav Naif Eissat out
48'Răzvan MarinFoul
53'Felix BeijmoFoul
54'Jesper Karlstrom INHugo Larsson out
54'Gabriel Gudmundsson INDaniel Svensson out
62'Alexander BernhardssonFoul
69'Nicolae Stanciu INIanis Hagi out
69'Darius Olaru INAlexandru Cicâldău out
69'Răzvan Marin INValentin Mihăilă out
75'Besfort Zeneli INHugo Bolin out
77'Sebastian Nanasi INSamuel Dahl out
82'Valentin MihăilăArgument
83'Florin Tănase INCatalin Cirjan out
89'Alexander Bernhardsson INHampus Skoglund out
90+3'Catalin CirjanFoul

Lineups

Romania
4-2-3-1Coach: G. Hagi
Sweden
4-4-2Coach: G. Potter
Avg rating6.54
Avg rating6.86
O. Hindrich6.312O. Hindrich
A. Rațiu6.82A. Rațiu
A. Coubiș7.44A. Coubiș
M. Ilie6.93M. Ilie
N. Bancu5.911N. Bancu
V. Dragomir6.722V. Dragomir
R. Marin7.018R. Marin
D. Man6.720D. Man
N. Stanciu6.610N. Stanciu
D. Olaru5.97D. Olaru
F. Tănase6.49F. Tănase
V. Johansson7.912V. Johansson
F. Beijmo6.52F. Beijmo
E. Smith7.34E. Smith
V. Lindelöf7.13V. Lindelöf
G. Gudmundsson7.05G. Gudmundsson
A. Bernhardsson6.821A. Bernhardsson
L. Bergvall6.67L. Bergvall
J. Karlström6.716J. Karlström
S. Nanasi6.319S. Nanasi
B. Zeneli6.322B. Zeneli
V. Gyökeres8.217V. Gyökeres

Romania Substitutes

8A. Cicâldău69'for Darius Olaru6.5
13V. Mihăilă69'for Răzvan Marin82'6.1
14I. Hagi69'for Nicolae Stanciu6.5
5L. Eissat45'for Nicușor Bancu6.8
19C. Cîrjan83'for Florin Tănase90+3'6.0
16V. Cojocaru
21O. Moruțan
15R. Opruț
1I. Radu
17V. Screciu
23T. Strata
6T. Băluță

Sweden Substitutes

1N. Törnqvist
11W. Swedberg
8D. Svensson54'for Gabriel Gudmundsson6.7
14E. Skoglund89'for Alexander Bernhardsson6.4
13K. Sema
20H. Larsson54'for Jesper Karlstrom6.9
15V. Eriksson
23M. Ellborg
18S. Dahl77'for Sebastian Nanasi6.4
10H. Bolin75'for Besfort Zeneli6.5
9P. Abraham

Match Stats

RomaniaSweden
52%Ball Possession48%
5Corner Kicks4
4Yellow Cards2
13Total Shots12
4Shots on Goal2
3Shots off Goal9
7Shots Inside Box10
6Shots Outside Box2
6Blocked Shots1
15Fouls11
3Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves4
529Total Passes498
464Passes Accurate421
88%Pass Accuracy85%

Team Comparison

RomaniaRomania
SwedenSweden
1524Elo Rating 1648
0.56Attack 1.41
0.10Defense 1.99
0%Hit Rate 63%
10.8Shots per Game 10.4
2.7Shots on Target 3.7
2.8Corners per Game 2.5
3.0Cards per Game 0.9

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

RomaniaRomania
  • No tendency data available
SwedenSweden
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

RomaniaRomania0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
SwedenSweden3Wins · 100%
2.7Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored2 of 3
67%3+ goals2 of 3

Previous meetings

UEFA Nations League25/09/2026
SwedenRomania
21
Euro Championship15/11/2019
RomaniaSweden
02
Euro Championship23/03/2019
SwedenRomania
21

Recent Form

RomaniaRomania
3W2D5L
02/10/2026
PolandRomania
60
L
28/09/2026
RomaniaBosnia & Herzegovina
24
L
25/09/2026
SwedenRomania
21
L
06/06/2026
RomaniaWales
21
W
02/06/2026
GeorgiaRomania
11
D
26/03/2026
TürkiyeRomania
10
L
18/11/2025
RomaniaSan Marino
71
W
15/11/2025
Bosnia & HerzegovinaRomania
31
L
12/10/2025
RomaniaAustria
10
W
09/09/2025
CyprusRomania
22
D
SwedenSweden
4W3D3L

League Table

UEFA Nations League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1SwedenSweden43107:3+410WDWW
2Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina42206:3+38WDWD
3PolandPoland41127:4+34LWLD
4RomaniaRomania40043:13-100LLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1SwedenSweden47:310
2Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina46:38
3PolandPoland47:44
4RomaniaRomania43:130
PromotionRelegation

About the Romania vs Sweden forecast

This is a UEFA Nations League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Romania and Sweden in the UEFA Nations League table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Sweden are 1st in the UEFA Nations League, 10 points ahead of Romania in 4th. League goal record so far: Romania 3-13, Sweden 7-3. The full standings are on the UEFA Nations League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.