Rubin vs FC Orenburg Prediction

CupRussia Russia · Group Stage - 4
Rubin
1-4
Finished
HT 0-2
FC Orenburg
Ak Bars Arena, Kazan 15/10/2026
RubinRubin
1-4
Finished
FC OrenburgFC Orenburg

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.27
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-4.8%
Rubin Rest
3 days
FC Orenburg Rest
5 days

Rubin vs FC Orenburg: the result in context

FC Orenburg beat Rubin 4-1 in the Cup on 15 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them. FC Orenburg tend to win more corners, 5.2 a game to 3.1 for Rubin.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%1.97
X
27%3.52
2
26%3.86
Double Chance
1X
74%1.27
X2
53%1.86
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

6'Egor NazarenkoAssist: Dmitriy Rybchinskiy
10'Renat GolybinAssist: Egor Nazarenko
40'Renat Golybin
46'Ruslan Kul INEvgeniy Bolotov out
46'Ugochukwu Iwu INEddie Salcedo out
46'Egor Teslenko INDaniil Kuznetsov out
46'Ruslan Bezrukov INUlvi Babaev out
56'Dmitriy Rybchinskiy INDamian Puebla out
59'Egor Nazarenko
61'
62'Andrey Kasadzhikov
67'Jacques Siwe
67'Danila Khotulev
69'Danila Khotulev
70'Renat Golybin INGedeon Guzina out
70'Mikhail Pykhcheev INMaxime Sivis out
70'Ilya Rozhkov INIlya Samoshnikov out
75'Jacques Siwe INDaniil Motorin out
77'Andrey KasadzhikovAssist: Egor Nazarenko
80'Andrey Kasadzhikov
88'Anton Lukashov INJhon Alex Palacios out
90+1'

Lineups

Rubin
5-4-1Coach: Franc Artiga
FC Orenburg
4-2-3-1Coach: I. Akhmetzyanov
A. Nigmatullin25A. Nigmatullin
A. Arroyo12A. Arroyo
J. Urozov13J. Urozov
I. Vujačić5I. Vujačić
E. Teslenko2E. Teslenko
I. Rozhkov51I. Rozhkov
N. Gripshi11N. Gripshi
U. Iwu6U. Iwu
I. Saavedra14I. Saavedra
R. Bezrukov23R. Bezrukov
J. Siwe43J. Siwe
A. Degtev35A. Degtev
A. Lukashov22A. Lukashov
A. Kasimov38A. Kasimov
D. Khotulev4D. Khotulev
D. Vedernikov3D. Vedernikov
M. Pykhcheev80M. Pykhcheev
R. Kul78R. Kul
D. Rybchinskiy20D. Rybchinskiy
E. Nazarenko11E. Nazarenko
A. Kasadzhikov77A. Kasadzhikov
Renat Golybin27R. Golybin

Rubin Substitutes

27A. Gritsaenko
38E. Staver
7U. Babaev46'for Ruslan Bezrukov
18M. Ignatjev
89M. Ivanov
8B. Jočić
86N. Korets
44D. Kuznetsov46'for Egor Teslenko
98N. Lobov
59D. N. Motorin75'for Jacques Siwe
10E. Salcedo46'for Ugochukwu Iwu
71I. Samoshnikov70'for Ilya Rozhkov

FC Orenburg Substitutes

7J. González
30G. Guzina70'for Renat Golybin
53V. Korobov
63O. Minatulaev
1B. Ovsyannikov
6J. Palacios88'for Anton Lukashov
8D. Puebla56'for Dmitriy Rybchinskiy
24M. Sivis70'for Mikhail Pykhcheev
5A. Tataev
26E. Tsenov
57E. Bolotov46'for Ruslan Kul
21Benjamín Bosch

Match Stats

RubinFC Orenburg
75%Ball Possession25%
8Corner Kicks1
2Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards1
12Total Shots4
2Shots on Goal1
10Shots off Goal3
0Blocked Shots0

Team Comparison

RubinRubin
FC OrenburgFC Orenburg
1476Elo Rating 1575
0.17Attack 2.38
0.69Defense 2.18
0%Hit Rate 81%
12.2Shots per Game 10.5
3.3Shots on Target 4.6
3.1Corners per Game 5.2
2.2Cards per Game 4.2

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

RubinRubin
  • No tendency data available
FC OrenburgFC Orenburg
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

RubinRubin3Wins · 30%
Draws550%
FC OrenburgFC Orenburg2Wins · 20%
2.5Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Cup02/09/2026
FC OrenburgRubin
2141
Premier League09/08/2026
RubinFC Orenburg
11
Friendlies Clubs03/07/2026
RubinFC Orenburg
12
Premier League11/04/2026
RubinFC Orenburg
00
Cup16/09/2025
FC OrenburgRubin
4020
Premier League30/08/2025
FC OrenburgRubin
22
Cup31/07/2025
RubinFC Orenburg
20
Premier League24/05/2025
RubinFC Orenburg
42
Premier League27/10/2024
FC OrenburgRubin
12
Premier League08/04/2024
OrenburgRubin
30

Recent Form

RubinRubin
3W6D1L
11/10/2026
RubinDynamo
01
L
16/09/2026
Rodina MoskvaRubin
11
D
12/09/2026
CSKA MoscowRubin
11
D07/09/2026
RubinAkhmat
11
D
02/09/2026
FC OrenburgRubin
2141
W
30/08/2026
RubinDinamo Makhachkala
31
W
24/08/2026
BaltikaRubin
11
D
19/08/2026
RubinSpartak Moscow
5131
W
15/08/2026
FC RostovRubin
11
D
09/08/2026
RubinFC Orenburg
11
D
FC OrenburgFC Orenburg
3W4D3L
10/10/2026
FC OrenburgDinamo Makhachkala
40
W
03/10/2026
FC OrenburgTekstilshchik
32
W
03/10/2026
LokomotivFC Orenburg
20
L
17/09/2026
FC OrenburgFC Krasnodar
00
D12/09/2026
DynamoFC Orenburg
10
L
06/09/2026
FC OrenburgAkron
22
D
02/09/2026
FC OrenburgRubin
2141
L
30/08/2026
Spartak MoscowFC Orenburg
11
D
22/08/2026
FakelFC Orenburg
00
D
18/08/2026
Rodina MoskvaFC Orenburg
14
W

Explore more predictions

This match

More Cup matches

All predictions

About the Rubin vs FC Orenburg forecast

The forecasts for this Cup match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Cup

More Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the Cup Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

FC Orenburg have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.