CSKA Moscow vs Rubin Prediction

CSKA Moscow
1-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Rubin
VEB Arena, Moscow 12/09/2026
CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow
1-1
Finished
RubinRubin

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
54%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.83
SignalNEUTRALModel54%SurpriseMediumGap+3.6%
CSKA Moscow Rest
7 days
Rubin Rest
5 days

CSKA Moscow vs Rubin: the result in context

CSKA Moscow and Rubin drew 1-1 in the Premier League on 12 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
49%1.68
X
25%3.96
2
26%4.97
Double Chance
1X
74%1.18
X2
51%2.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.74
No
47%1.98
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.46 + 1.18 = 2.64
Over 1.5
76%1.24
Over 2.5
52%1.83
Over 3.5
28%2.88
Under 1.5
24%3.78
Under 2.5
48%2.06
Under 3.5
72%1.37
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 4 = 9.8
Over 8.5
63%1.67
Over 9.5
52%2.11
Over 10.5
42%2.77
Under 8.5
37%2.07
Under 9.5
48%1.65
Under 10.5
58%1.36
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.2 = 4
Over 3.5
57%-
Over 4.5
38%-
Under 3.5
43%-
Under 4.5
62%-

Match Events

2'Penalty confirmedMatvey Kislyak
6'Ivan Oblyakov(Penalty)
14'Card upgrade confirmedMatheus Reis
15'Matheus ReisSerious foul
18'Nikita LobovFoul
45'Ilya Rozhkov INNazmi Gripshi out
45'Nikita Lobov INIlya Samoshnikov out
54'Ivan OblyakovFoul
58'Anderson ArroyoAssist: Aleksandar Jukic
66'Aleksandar Jukic INRuslan Bezrukov out
68'Tamerlan Musaev INLuciano Gondou out
71'Luciano GondouFoul
74'Jacques Siwe INDaniil Motorin out
81'Daniil MotorinFoul
81'Kirill Glebov INIvan Oleynikov out
87'Igor Vujacic INDenil Maldonado out
88'Ugochukwu IwuFoul
90+2'Jakhongir UrozovFoul

Lineups

CSKA Moscow
3-4-2-1Coach: Dmitriy Igdisamov
Rubin
5-4-1Coach: Franc Artiga
Avg rating6.44
Avg rating6.67
V. Torop6.149V. Torop
João Victor7.14J. Victor
M. Zea6.679M. Zea
Dzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov6.923D. Abdulkadyrov
M. Azzi6.421M. Azzi
I. Oblyakov6.410I. Oblyakov
M. Kislyak6.731M. Kislyak
Matheus Reis5.52M. Reis
D. Krugovoy6.83D. Krugovoy
K. Glebov6.217K. Glebov
T. Musaev6.211T. Musaev
E. Staver7.038E. Staver
N. Lobov6.598N. Lobov
E. Teslenko6.92E. Teslenko
I. Vujačić7.05I. Vujačić
J. Urozov6.913J. Urozov
I. Rozhkov6.051I. Rozhkov
A. Arroyo7.612A. Arroyo
V. Hodža6.422V. Hodža
U. Iwu6.76U. Iwu
A. Jukić7.477A. Jukić
J. Siwe6.443J. Siwe

CSKA Moscow Substitutes

99Nikolay Barovskiy
39M. Borisko
62I. Firov
37Henrique
18D. Kozlov
90M. Lukin
7Matheus Alves
19I. Oleynikov81'for Kirill Glebov6.3
20Matija Popovic
52A. Bandikyan
32L. Gondou68'for Tamerlan Musaev71'6.5
84A. Vakulich

Rubin Substitutes

71I. Samoshnikov45'for Nikita Lobov6.5
86N. Korets
14I. Saavedra
4K. Nizhegorodov
25A. Nigmatullin
59D. N. Motorin74'for Jacques Siwe81'6.3
3D. Maldonado87'for Igor Vujacic6.3
44D. Kuznetsov
8B. Jočić
18M. Ignatjev
11N. Gripshi45'for Ilya Rozhkov6.7
23R. Bezrukov66'for Aleksandar Jukic6.2

Match Stats

CSKA MoscowRubin
39%Ball Possession61%
4Corner Kicks8
2Yellow Cards4
1Red Cards0
12Total Shots19
3Shots on Goal5
8Shots off Goal7
9Shots Inside Box15
3Shots Outside Box4
1Blocked Shots7
10Fouls13
1Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves2
306Total Passes487
226Passes Accurate421
12Free Kicks10

Team Comparison

CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow
RubinRubin
1670Elo Rating 1476
2.55Attack 0.17
2.15Defense 0.69
81%Hit Rate 0%
14.5Shots per Game 12.2
6.0Shots on Target 3.3
5.0Corners per Game 3.1
2.0Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+195 Elo
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (2 vs 0.6 in second half)
RubinRubin
  • No tendency data available

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow3Wins · 30%
Draws660%
RubinRubin1Wins · 10%
2.7Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier League25/04/2026
RubinCSKA Moscow
00
Premier League09/08/2025
CSKA MoscowRubin
51
Premier League30/11/2024
CSKA MoscowRubin
22
Cup26/11/2024
CSKA MoscowRubin
30
Cup06/11/2024
RubinCSKA Moscow
00
Premier League21/09/2024
RubinCSKA Moscow
11
Premier League06/05/2024
CSKA MoscowRubin
22
Premier League21/10/2023
RubinCSKA Moscow
00
Premier League20/03/2022
CSKA MoscowRubin
61
Premier League30/10/2021
RubinCSKA Moscow
10

Recent Form

RubinRubin
4W4D2L
07/09/2026
RubinAkhmat
11
D
02/09/2026
FC OrenburgRubin
2141
W
30/08/2026
RubinDinamo Makhachkala
31
W
24/08/2026
BaltikaRubin
11
D
19/08/2026
RubinSpartak Moscow
5131
W
15/08/2026
FC RostovRubin
11
D
09/08/2026
RubinFC Orenburg
11
D
04/08/2026
Rodina MoskvaRubin
50
L
01/08/2026
AkronRubin
12
W
26/07/2026
RubinFC Krasnodar
13
L

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1DynamoDynamo1391321:12+928WLWWW
2ZenitZenit1290327:13+1427WWWWW
3CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1375121:12+926DWLWW
4Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1382325:10+1526WLWDW
5FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1365221:16+523LDDLD
6FC RostovFC Rostov1353516:17-118WWDWL
7BaltikaBaltika1345417:14+317WDDDL
8FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1338214:12+217DWDWD
9Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1236317:17015WLDDW
10RubinRubin1336413:18-515WLLLD
11Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1341816:26-1013LLDLL
12Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1333715:28-1312WWDLD
13AkronAkron1326516:23-712LWDLW
14LokomotivLokomotiv1325616:20-411LLDWD
15AkhmatAkhmat1325615:19-411LLLDL
16FakelFakel131398:21-136LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1DynamoDynamo1321:1228
2ZenitZenit1227:1327
3CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1321:1226
4Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1325:1026
5FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1321:1623
6FC RostovFC Rostov1316:1718
7BaltikaBaltika1317:1417
8FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1314:1217
9Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1217:1715
10RubinRubin1313:1815
11Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1316:2613
12Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1315:2812
13AkronAkron1316:2312
14LokomotivLokomotiv1316:2011
15AkhmatAkhmat1315:1911
16FakelFakel138:216
Relegation

About the CSKA Moscow vs Rubin forecast

The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

CSKA Moscow and Rubin in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, CSKA Moscow are 3rd and Rubin 10th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: CSKA Moscow 21-12, Rubin 13-18. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

CSKA Moscow have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.