CSKA Moscow vs Krylia Sovetov Prediction

CSKA Moscow
1-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Krylia Sovetov
VEB Arena, Moscow·Evgeniy Bulanov, Russia 01/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.60
SignalGOODModel55%SurpriseMediumGap+11.9%
CSKA Moscow Rest
7 days
Krylia Sovetov Rest
7 days

CSKA Moscow vs Krylia Sovetov: the result in context

CSKA Moscow and Krylia Sovetov drew 1-1 in the Premier League on 1 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

CSKA Moscow have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
67%1.46
X
20%4.78
2
13%6.72
Double Chance
1X
87%1.11
X2
33%2.73
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.80
No
46%1.90
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.52 + 1.1 = 2.62
Over 1.5
72%1.19
Over 2.5
47%1.68
Over 3.5
24%2.61
Under 1.5
28%4.45
Under 2.5
53%2.26
Under 3.5
76%1.45
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.1 + 4 = 10.1
Over 8.5
62%1.41
Over 9.5
50%1.65
Over 10.5
41%2.00
Under 8.5
38%2.70
Under 9.5
50%2.10
Under 10.5
59%1.73
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2.5 = 4.2
Over 3.5
51%1.77
Over 4.5
31%2.17
Under 3.5
49%1.95
Under 4.5
69%1.60

Match Events

32'M. PopovicAssist: L. Gondou
63'M. VityugovAssist: M. Banjac
64'M. Popovic INHenrique Carmo out
64'K. Glebov IND. Barinov out
64'A. Rahmanovic INM. Kramaric out
70'M. Vityugov IND. Makarov out
71'M. Banjac INT. Galdames out
73'D. Kozlov INMatheus Alves out
80'L. Gondou INT. Musaev out
80'M. Kislyak INI. Firov out
84'N. Rasskazov INV. Shitov out
84'I. Oleynikov IND. Oroz out
87'D. Oroz
90'T. Galdames
90+3'S. Babkin

Lineups

CSKA Moscow
4-1-4-1Coach: Dmitriy Igdisamov
Krylia Sovetov
4-2-3-1Coach: Sergey Bulatov
Avg rating6.82
Avg rating6.70
Vladislav Torop6.649V. Torop
Danil Krugovoy7.63D. Krugovoy
João Victor7.24J. Victor
Kirill Danilov6.579K. Danilov
Moisés5.927Moisés
Matvey Kislyak8.231M. Kislyak
Matija Popović7.320M. Popović
Ivan OblyakovC7.210I. Oblyakov
Danila Kozlov6.218D. Kozlov
Kirill Glebov6.317K. Glebov
Luciano Gondou7.232L. Gondou
Sergey PesyakovC6.930S. Pesyakov
Fernando Costanza7.222F. Costanza
Nikita Chernov7.023N. Chernov
Sergey Bozhin6.247S. Bozhin
Kirill Pechenin5.62K. Pechenin
Maksim Vityugov7.98M. Vityugov
Sergey Babkin7.26S. Babkin
Nikolay Rasskazov7.215N. Rasskazov
Mihajlo Banjac6.97M. Banjac
Ivan Oleynikov6.719I. Oleynikov
Amar Rahmanović6.211A. Rahmanović

CSKA Moscow Substitutes

6Dmitriy Barinov64'for K. Glebov6.7
37Henrique Carmo64'for M. Popovic6.9
7Matheus Alves73'for D. Kozlov6.7
62Imran Firov80'for M. Kislyak6.3
11Tamerlan Musaev80'for L. Gondou6.3
85Egor Besaev
39Maksim Borisko
22Milan Gajić
2Matheus Reis
23Dzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov
90Matvey Lukin
52Artem Bandikyan

Krylia Sovetov Substitutes

10Martin Kramarič64'for A. Rahmanovic6.3
3Thomas Galdames71'for M. Banjac90'6.5
77Denis Makarov70'for M. Vityugov6.2
5Dominik Oroz84'for I. Oleynikov87'6.6
73Vladislav Shitov84'for N. Rasskazov6.6
39Evgeni Frolov
80Nikita Kokarev
18Ivan Lepskiy
72Dani Fernández
78Denis Malikov
26Jimmy Marín
9Chinedu Geoffrey

Match Stats

CSKA MoscowKrylia Sovetov
56%Ball Possession44%
2Corner Kicks5
0Yellow Cards3
18Total Shots10
6Shots on Goal5
9Shots off Goal5
10Shots Inside Box4
8Shots Outside Box6
3Blocked Shots0
15Fouls18
0Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves5
483Total Passes387
415Passes Accurate307
86%Pass Accuracy79%

Team Comparison

CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow
Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov
1670Elo Rating 1544
2.55Attack 1.33
2.15Defense 2.14
81%Hit Rate 50%
14.5Shots per Game 13.4
6.0Shots on Target 4.8
5.0Corners per Game 5.6
2.0Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+126 Elo
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (2 vs 0.6 in second half)
Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.5 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow6Wins · 60%
Draws440%
Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov0Wins · 0%
3.0Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier League18/04/2026
Krylia SovetovCSKA Moscow
11
Cup07/04/2026
Krylia SovetovCSKA Moscow
25
Premier League25/10/2025
CSKA MoscowKrylia Sovetov
10
Premier League20/04/2025
CSKA MoscowKrylia Sovetov
11
Premier League10/11/2024
Krylia SovetovCSKA Moscow
12
Premier League08/03/2024
Krylya SovetovCSKA Moscow
02
Premier League16/09/2023
CSKA MoscowKrylya Sovetov
22
Cup05/04/2023
CSKA MoscowKrylya Sovetov
10
Cup15/03/2023
Krylya SovetovCSKA Moscow
22
Premier League12/03/2023
CSKA MoscowKrylya Sovetov
40

Recent Form

CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow
3W2D5L
24/07/2026
CSKA MoscowBaltika
21
W
18/07/2026
DynamoCSKA Moscow
52
L
14/07/2026
LokomotivCSKA Moscow
10
L
11/07/2026
FC OrenburgCSKA Moscow
20
L
04/07/2026
CSKA MoscowArsenal Tula
11
D
30/06/2026
CSKA MoscowShinnik Yaroslavl
11
D
17/05/2026
CSKA MoscowLokomotiv
31
W
11/05/2026
Nizhny NovgorodCSKA Moscow
12
W
06/05/2026
Spartak MoscowCSKA Moscow
10
L
02/05/2026
CSKA MoscowZenit
13
L
Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov
3W2D5L
25/07/2026
DynamoKrylia Sovetov
00
D
18/07/2026
AkronKrylia Sovetov
21
L
11/07/2026
RubinKrylia Sovetov
20
L
04/07/2026
Spartak MoscowKrylia Sovetov
32
L
01/07/2026
Krylia SovetovFK Sokol Saratov
23
L
28/06/2026
Krylia SovetovFK Neftekhimik
11
D
17/05/2026
Krylia SovetovAkron
41
W
10/05/2026
FC OrenburgKrylia Sovetov
10
L
01/05/2026
Krylia SovetovSpartak Moscow
21
W
25/04/2026
Krylia SovetovLokomotiv
20
W

Referee Profile

Evgeniy Bulanov4 matches analysed

4.44Cards per match
4.27Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
25.4Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 47% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ZenitZenit13100330:13+1730WWWWW
2DynamoDynamo1391321:12+928WLWWW
3CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1375121:12+926DWLWW
4Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1382325:10+1526WLWDW
5FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1365221:16+523LDDLD
6FC RostovFC Rostov1353516:17-118WWDWL
7BaltikaBaltika1345417:14+317WDDDL
8FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1338214:12+217DWDWD
9Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1336417:20-315LWLDD
10RubinRubin1336413:18-515WLLLD
11Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1341816:26-1013LLDLL
12Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1333715:28-1312WWDLD
13AkronAkron1326516:23-712LWDLW
14LokomotivLokomotiv1325616:20-411LLDWD
15AkhmatAkhmat1325615:19-411LLLDL
16FakelFakel131398:21-136LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1ZenitZenit1330:1330
2DynamoDynamo1321:1228
3CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1321:1226
4Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1325:1026
5FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1321:1623
6FC RostovFC Rostov1316:1718
7BaltikaBaltika1317:1417
8FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1314:1217
9Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1317:2015
10RubinRubin1313:1815
11Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1316:2613
12Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1315:2812
13AkronAkron1316:2312
14LokomotivLokomotiv1316:2011
15AkhmatAkhmat1315:1911
16FakelFakel138:216
Relegation

About the CSKA Moscow vs Krylia Sovetov forecast

The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

CSKA Moscow and Krylia Sovetov in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, CSKA Moscow are 3rd and Krylia Sovetov 9th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: CSKA Moscow 21-12, Krylia Sovetov 17-20. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

CSKA Moscow have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.