FC Orenburg vs Zenit Prediction

FC Orenburg
0-3
Finished
HT 0-1
Zenit
Gazovik Stadium, Rostoshi·Evgeniy Kukulyak, Russia 02/08/2026
FC OrenburgFC Orenburg
0-3
Finished
ZenitZenit

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
57%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 5.5
2.04
SignalNEUTRALModel57%SurpriseMediumGap+11.1%
FC Orenburg Rest
6 days
Zenit Rest
7 days

FC Orenburg vs Zenit: result, form and history

Zenit beat FC Orenburg 3-0 in the Premier League on 2 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Zenit have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 4.3 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
9%8.75
X
21%5.25
2
70%1.34
Double Chance
1X
30%3.17
X2
91%1.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%2.02
No
46%1.71
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.91 + 1.84 = 2.75
Over 1.5
76%1.21
Over 2.5
55%1.72
Over 3.5
29%2.71
Under 1.5
24%3.99
Under 2.5
45%2.15
Under 3.5
71%1.41
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.6 + 5.2 = 8.8
Over 8.5
57%1.46
Over 9.5
38%1.80
Over 10.5
37%2.23
Under 8.5
43%2.51
Under 9.5
62%1.93
Under 10.5
63%1.57
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 1.4 = 3.8
Over 3.5
47%-
Over 4.5
31%-
Under 3.5
53%-
Under 4.5
69%-

Match Events

6'M. GlushenkovAssist: Pedrinho
21'A. Tataev
23'R. Vega
25'A. Kasadzhikov
46'D. Vedernikov INE. Tsenov out
46'R. Vega INDouglas Santos out
58'M. Glushenkov
61'A. Kasadzhikov INR. Golybin out
66'M. GlushenkovAssist: Jhon Jhon
66'A. Tataev INAlexandre Jesus out
66'D. Rybchinskiy INA. Kasimov out
69'Jhon Jhon INLuiz Henrique out
69'Nino INK. Andrade out
76'J. Palacios
78'D. Puebla INB. Bosch out
84'A. Sobolev INFelipe Augusto out
84'Pedrinho INA. Mostovoy out

Lineups

FC Orenburg
4-2-3-1Coach: Ildar Akhmetzyanov
Zenit
4-2-3-1Coach: Sergey Semak
Avg rating6.39
Avg rating7.20
Maksim Rudakov5.988M. Rudakov
Maxime Sivis5.924M. Sivis
Jhon Palacios6.26J. Palacios
Aleksey TataevC6.25A. Tataev
Danila Vedernikov6.03D. Vedernikov
Evgeniy Bolotov6.057E. Bolotov
Ruslan Kul7.278R. Kul
Dmitry Rybchinskiy6.720D. Rybchinskiy
Damián Puebla6.78D. Puebla
Andrey Kasadzhikov5.977A. Kasadzhikov
Gedeon Guzina6.230G. Guzina
Denis Adamov6.916D. Adamov
Gustavo Mantuan7.231G. Mantuan
Igor Diveev7.678I. Diveev
Nino7.333Nino
Román Vega6.966R. Vega
Wílmar BarriosC7.05W. Barrios
Wendel7.68Wendel
Maksim Glushenkov9.910M. Glushenkov
Pedro6.920Pedro
Jhon Jhon7.214J. Jhon
Aleksandr Sobolev7.07A. Sobolev

FC Orenburg Substitutes

26Emil Tsenov46'for D. Vedernikov6.2
27Renat Golybin61'for A. Kasadzhikov6.9
38Artem Kasimov66'for D. Rybchinskiy6.9
19Alexandre Jesus66'for A. Tataev6.6
21Benjamín Bosch78'for D. Puebla6.7
95Andrey Khodanovich
53Vyacheslav Korobov
2Stanislav Poroykov
63Omar Minatulaev
96Kirill Dudarin
11Egor Nazarenko
65Ivan Ivashchenko

Zenit Substitutes

3Douglas Santos46'for R. Vega6.6
25Kevin Andrade69'for Nino6.9
11Luiz Henrique69'for Jhon Jhon6.9
17Andrey Mostovoy84'for Pedrinho6.6
9Felipe Augusto84'for A. Sobolev6.7
71Daniil Odoevskiy
57Bogdan Moskvichev
28Nuraly Alip
15Vyacheslav Karavaev
6Vanja Drkušić
61Daniil Kondakov
21Alexandr Erokhin

Match Stats

FC OrenburgZenit
31%Ball Possession69%
5Corner Kicks2
3Yellow Cards1
13Total Shots12
2Shots on Goal5
8Shots off Goal2
7Shots Inside Box5
6Shots Outside Box7
3Blocked Shots5
18Fouls11
3Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves2
253Total Passes590
201Passes Accurate527
79%Pass Accuracy89%

Team Comparison

FC OrenburgFC Orenburg
ZenitZenit
1575Elo Rating 1781
2.38Attack 2.61
2.18Defense 1.62
81%Hit Rate 100%
10.5Shots per Game 13.6
4.6Shots on Target 6.3
5.2Corners per Game 7.1
4.2Cards per Game 2.1

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

FC OrenburgFC Orenburg
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
ZenitZenit
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

FC OrenburgFC Orenburg2Wins · 20%
Draws110%
ZenitZenit7Wins · 70%
4.3Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier League08/03/2026
FC OrenburgZenit
21
Cup22/10/2025
ZenitFC Orenburg
60
Premier League27/09/2025
ZenitFC Orenburg
52
Cup26/08/2025
FC OrenburgZenit
35
Premier League23/11/2024
FC OrenburgZenit
01
Premier League05/10/2024
ZenitFC Orenburg
10
Premier League21/04/2024
Zenit Saint PetersburgOrenburg
10
Premier League30/09/2023
OrenburgZenit Saint Petersburg
31
Premier League20/05/2023
OrenburgZenit Saint Petersburg
22
Premier League11/09/2022
Zenit Saint PetersburgOrenburg
80

Recent Form

FC OrenburgFC Orenburg
6W0D4L
26/07/2026
FC OrenburgFC Rostov
21
W
11/07/2026
FC OrenburgCSKA Moscow
20
W
07/07/2026
DynamoFC Orenburg
21
L
03/07/2026
RubinFC Orenburg
12
W
25/06/2026
FC OrenburgFK Neftekhimik
01
L
17/05/2026
FC KrasnodarFC Orenburg
30
L
10/05/2026
FC OrenburgKrylia Sovetov
10
W
03/05/2026
FC SochiFC Orenburg
31
L
25/04/2026
FC RostovFC Orenburg
01
W
22/04/2026
FC OrenburgNizhny Novgorod
21
W
ZenitZenit
8W2D0L
25/07/2026
AkronZenit
05
W
18/07/2026
ZenitSpartak Moscow
4121
W
13/07/2026
ZenitDinamo Makhachkala
11
D
12/07/2026
ZenitFK Crvena Zvezda
31
W
08/07/2026
ZenitNeftchi
41
W
05/07/2026
ZenitGimnasia L.P.
11
D
01/07/2026
ZenitDinamo Makhachkala
20
W
17/05/2026
FC RostovZenit
01
W
10/05/2026
ZenitFC Sochi
21
W
02/05/2026
CSKA MoscowZenit
13
W

Referee Profile

Evgeniy Kukulyak105 matches

4.71Cards per match
4.56Yellow cards per match
0.15Red cards per match
23.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Evgeniy Kukulyak4.71
Other referees4.92

4.71 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.92).

Cards come from 80 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1DynamoDynamo1391321:12+928WLWWW
2ZenitZenit1290327:13+1427WWWWW
3CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1375121:12+926DWLWW
4FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1365221:16+523LDDLD
5Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1272321:10+1123LWDWW
6FC RostovFC Rostov1353516:17-118WWDWL
7BaltikaBaltika1345417:14+317WDDDL
8FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1338214:12+217DWDWD
9Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1236317:17015WLDDW
10RubinRubin1336413:18-515WLLLD
11Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1341816:26-1013LLDLL
12Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1333715:28-1312WWDLD
13AkronAkron1326516:23-712LWDLW
14LokomotivLokomotiv1225516:16011LDWDL
15AkhmatAkhmat1325615:19-411LLLDL
16FakelFakel131398:21-136LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1DynamoDynamo1321:1228
2ZenitZenit1227:1327
3CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1321:1226
4FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1321:1623
5Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1221:1023
6FC RostovFC Rostov1316:1718
7BaltikaBaltika1317:1417
8FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1314:1217
9Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1217:1715
10RubinRubin1313:1815
11Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1316:2613
12Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1315:2812
13AkronAkron1316:2312
14LokomotivLokomotiv1216:1611
15AkhmatAkhmat1315:1911
16FakelFakel138:216
Relegation

About the FC Orenburg vs Zenit forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FC Orenburg and Zenit in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, Zenit are 2nd and FC Orenburg 8th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: FC Orenburg 14-12, Zenit 27-13. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

FC Orenburg have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.