Dinamo Makhachkala vs Lokomotiv Prediction

Anzhi-Arena, Makhachkala·Sergey Karasev, Russia 01/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
82%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.36
SignalSTRONGModel39%SurpriseHighGap+12.6%
Dinamo Makhachkala Rest
7 days
Lokomotiv Rest
6 days

Dinamo Makhachkala vs Lokomotiv: result, form and history

Dinamo Makhachkala beat Lokomotiv 2-1 in the Premier League on 1 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 5 previous meetings averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. Referee Sergey Karasev averages 5.48 cards a game, 0.99 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
32%3.54
X
24%3.39
2
44%2.13
Double Chance
1X
56%1.76
X2
68%1.31
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.90
No
44%1.82
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.5 + 1.46 = 2.96
Over 1.5
81%1.36
Over 2.5
57%2.24
Over 3.5
31%3.94
Under 1.5
19%2.97
Under 2.5
43%1.69
Under 3.5
69%1.23
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

26'A. Batrakov
31'V. RakovAssist: A. Batrakov
36'V. Rakov
46'G. Agalarov INA. Dzhabrailov out
46'A. Sandrachuk INM. Azzi out
46'V. Rakov INI. Eremeev out
57'MiroAssist: N. Glushkov
60'A. Mitryushkin INI. Lantratov out
60'S. Pinyaev INV. Golubev out
67'D. Lesovoy INV. Khubulov out
73'N. GlushkovAssist: H. Mrezigue
76'A. Rudenko INN. Saltykov out
81'M. Apshatsev INE. Smelov out
87'A. Karpukas INE. Pogostnov out
89'H. Mrezigue INS. Kagermazov out
90+5'V. Khubulov

Lineups

Dinamo Makhachkala
4-4-2Coach: Vadim Evseev
Lokomotiv
4-1-4-1Coach: Mikhail Galaktionov
Avg rating6.95
Avg rating6.63
Timur Magomedov6.939T. Magomedov
Aleksandr Sandrachuk6.372A. Sandrachuk
Andrés Alarcón6.724A. Alarcón
Mutalip AlibekovC6.699M. Alibekov
Temirkan Sundukov7.277T. Sundukov
Nikita Glushkov7.947N. Glushkov
Houssem Eddine Mrezigue7.316H. Eddine Mrezigue
Marat Apshatsev6.36M. Apshatsev
Daniil Lesovoy6.688D. Lesovoy
Miro7.611Miro
Gamid Agalarov6.725G. Agalarov
Anton MitryushkinC6.51A. Mitryushkin
Aleksandr Silyanov6.645A. Silyanov
Gerzino Nyamsi6.35G. Nyamsi
Evgeniy Morozov6.985E. Morozov
Lucas Fasson6.23L. Fasson
Artem Karpukas6.693A. Karpukas
Zelimkhan Bakaev6.77Z. Bakaev
Aleksey Batrakov7.310A. Batrakov
Vadim Rakov7.611V. Rakov
Sergey Pinyaev6.29S. Pinyaev
Aleksandr Rudenko6.719A. Rudenko

Dinamo Makhachkala Substitutes

22Mohamed Azzi46'for A. Sandrachuk7.2
21Abdulpasha Dzhabrailov46'for G. Agalarov7.5
8Vladimir Khubulov67'for D. Lesovoy90+5'6.9
52Egor Smelov81'for M. Apshatsev6.6
13Soslan Kagermazov89'for H. Mrezigue6.9
1David Volk
17Jan Đapo
19Kirill Zinovich
9Razhab Magomedov
10Mohammadjavad Hosseinnejad
28Serder Serderov
7Hazem Mastouri

Lokomotiv Substitutes

75Ilya Eremeev46'for V. Rakov7.0
22Ilya Lantratov60'for A. Mitryushkin6.3
63Vladislav Golubev60'for S. Pinyaev6.3
17Nikita Saltykov76'for A. Rudenko6.2
59Egor Pogostnov87'for A. Karpukas6.6
16Daniil Veselov
14Georgi Dzhikiya
24Maksim Nenakhov
8Aleksandr Kovalenko
32Lucas Vera
74Daniil Chevardin
88Mikhail Shchetinin

Match Stats

Dinamo MakhachkalaLokomotiv
41%Ball Possession59%
1Corner Kicks9
1Yellow Cards2
12Total Shots13
5Shots on Goal5
4Shots off Goal6
5Shots Inside Box11
7Shots Outside Box2
3Blocked Shots2
9Fouls11
1Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves3
318Total Passes447
234Passes Accurate360
74%Pass Accuracy81%

Team Comparison

Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala
LokomotivLokomotiv
1451Elo Rating 1529
0.36Attack 1.72
0.91Defense 0.98
0%Hit Rate 14%
8.7Shots per Game 8.4
2.6Shots on Target 3.7
2.1Corners per Game 4.0
2.3Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.96 goals
📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
LokomotivLokomotiv
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala0Wins · 0%
Draws360%
LokomotivLokomotiv2Wins · 40%
2.2Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored4 of 5
20%3+ goals1 of 5

Previous meetings

Premier League12/04/2026
LokomotivDinamo Makhachkala
11
Premier League20/09/2025
Dinamo MakhachkalaLokomotiv
11
Cup11/03/2025
Dinamo MakhachkalaLokomotiv
12
Premier League28/02/2025
Dinamo MakhachkalaLokomotiv
11
Premier League10/08/2024
LokomotivDinamo Makhachkala
20

Recent Form

Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala
5W3D2L
25/07/2026
FakelDinamo Makhachkala
12
W
16/07/2026
Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo St. Petersburg
31
W
13/07/2026
ZenitDinamo Makhachkala
11
D
07/07/2026
Dinamo MakhachkalaGimnasia L.P.
13
L
04/07/2026
Dinamo MakhachkalaLeningradets
30
W
01/07/2026
ZenitDinamo Makhachkala
20
L
23/05/2026
Dinamo MakhachkalaUral
20
W
20/05/2026
UralDinamo Makhachkala
01
W
17/05/2026
Dinamo MakhachkalaSpartak Moscow
00
D
10/05/2026
AkhmatDinamo Makhachkala
11
D
LokomotivLokomotiv
6W3D1L
26/07/2026
LokomotivAkhmat
11
D
18/07/2026
LokomotivRubin
31
W
14/07/2026
LokomotivCSKA Moscow
10
W
11/07/2026
LokomotivSpartak Moscow
20
W
11/07/2026
LokomotivAkron
30
W
03/07/2026
LokomotivSpartak Kostroma
20
W
27/06/2026
LokomotivRodina Moskva
00
D
17/05/2026
CSKA MoscowLokomotiv
31
L
10/05/2026
LokomotivBaltika
10
W
01/05/2026
LokomotivDynamo
11
D

Referee Profile

Sergey Karasev21 matches

5.48Cards per match
5.00Yellow cards per match
0.48Red cards per match
22.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Sergey Karasev5.48
Other referees4.49

5.48 cards a match, 0.99 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.49).

Cards come from 21 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ZenitZenit13100330:13+1730WWWWW
2DynamoDynamo1391321:12+928WLWWW
3CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1375121:12+926DWLWW
4Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1382325:10+1526WLWDW
5FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1365221:16+523LDDLD
6FC RostovFC Rostov1353516:17-118WWDWL
7BaltikaBaltika1345417:14+317WDDDL
8FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1338214:12+217DWDWD
9Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1336417:20-315LWLDD
10RubinRubin1336413:18-515WLLLD
11Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1341816:26-1013LLDLL
12Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1333715:28-1312WWDLD
13AkronAkron1326516:23-712LWDLW
14LokomotivLokomotiv1325616:20-411LLDWD
15AkhmatAkhmat1325615:19-411LLLDL
16FakelFakel131398:21-136LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1ZenitZenit1330:1330
2DynamoDynamo1321:1228
3CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1321:1226
4Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1325:1026
5FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1321:1623
6FC RostovFC Rostov1316:1718
7BaltikaBaltika1317:1417
8FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1314:1217
9Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1317:2015
10RubinRubin1313:1815
11Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1316:2613
12Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1315:2812
13AkronAkron1316:2312
14LokomotivLokomotiv1316:2011
15AkhmatAkhmat1315:1911
16FakelFakel138:216
Relegation

About the Dinamo Makhachkala vs Lokomotiv forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Dinamo Makhachkala and Lokomotiv in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, Dinamo Makhachkala are 11th and Lokomotiv 14th, 2 points apart. League goal record so far: Dinamo Makhachkala 16-26, Lokomotiv 16-20. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.